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Lake effect
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Joined: 17-December 12
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Lake effect

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2 Sep 2017
Thought I'd start this in case the run below, this morning's GFS, transpires. Would be a very damaging scenario for Ottawa/Montreal, and other parts, if it does. Serious flooding and damaging winds. Will more likely head up the coast than come inland like this, but that could be nasty for NS and St John's.

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_34.png ( 166.33K ) Number of downloads: 4
8 Feb 2017
This is looking better every day on the GFS. They have been rock solid with this, as were they with yesterdays storm, so feel this one may well lift our spirits:

Friday evening:

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_11.png ( 186.43K ) Number of downloads: 3


Total snowfall...looks like a solid 5-10 cms for many in southern and central Ontario.

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_13.png ( 147.94K ) Number of downloads: 8
5 Feb 2017
Will be a very nice squall tonight that crosses areas South East of GB- north of Orillia through Angus where most will see 1-3 hours of heavy snow between the hours of 4pm and 2am roughly, with accumulations of 5-15 cms as winds go from WNW through NNW, with a long period of NW.

Similar squall coming off Huron north of Goderich.

Attached File  hwn_12.gif ( 32.84K ) Number of downloads: 1


Then after Tuesdays storm is a longer event of 24-36 hours affecting similar areas, but also those affected by the squalls from last with a westerly flow at times. Still uncertainty about the target zones:

Attached File  hwn_84.gif ( 33.7K ) Number of downloads: 0
1 Feb 2017
Will it be like the 00Z GFS, or the 06Z. CMC a bit of a mix of the two. Definitely one to follow, and I think for many of us, how this storm pans out may determine how we feel about this winter.

00Z

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_28.png ( 181.17K ) Number of downloads: 0


06Z

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27__1_.png ( 195.3K ) Number of downloads: 0
19 Jan 2017
After a pretty rough ride for much of January, it looks like the forecasted change in pattern is pretty much baked in now, and after an interesting looking storm mid-week next week, it looks as though there will be a sustained period of a maybe about a week with a NW flow of air bringing multiple rounds of LES and the odd clipper. The change will be most welcome, and since the lakes will be open for a considerable while longer, and the winds will be very cold, we could see some great falls of snow. Next Thursday and Friday look very promising round these parts, but of course, very early doors, so much could change in terms of areas that will be hit:

Attached File  gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_27.png ( 171.57K ) Number of downloads: 2
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