 Feb 15-17 Plains/MW/GL/OV winter storm, Reality: Short Range (0-3 Days Out) Forecasts |
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 Feb 13 2013, 01:21 PM
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#261
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm  Group: Member Posts: 10,997 Joined: 17-February 08 From: Columbus Member No.: 13,767  |
R.I.P triple phaser that never was/will be
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Feb 13 2013, 03:36 PM
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#262
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
QUOTE(RobB @ Feb 13 2013, 01:20 PM)  We should be able to put this thread to bed. The 12Z Euro is way out with the storm... yep another MW coffin thread. there have been many this year. QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Feb 13 2013, 01:21 PM) R.I.P triple phaser that never was/will be still not sure what model you are referring to that ever showed a triple phase? don't remember seeing that unless it was way out in the Long Range at some point -------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 13 2013, 11:25 PM
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#263
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 718 Joined: 16-February 10 From: Columbus, OH Member No.: 21,809 |
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Feb 14 2013, 12:19 AM
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#264
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
QUOTE(jeffro @ Feb 13 2013, 11:25 PM) that is interesting. spins up somewhat of a mesolow in ohio and it takes off from there. really don't buy it, but after what happened today, its worth keeping an eye on -------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 14 2013, 06:03 AM
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#265
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 Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 215 Joined: 21-September 08 From: Mishawaka, IN Member No.: 15,770 |
That patch of blue and green over NW Indiana/SW Michigan is projected LE and I would take it. I'll cross my fingers because it's been a fairly banal winter here so far outside of some cold temps. The one local Met here won't try to call definite totals until later today. I believe that whichever model he follows is conflicting with his gut. His gut seems to think it will end up like Jeffro's post of the NAM projection based on what he's forecast to date. We shall see. At this point, I'll take anything that covers the grass.
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Feb 14 2013, 09:05 AM
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#266
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 718 Joined: 16-February 10 From: Columbus, OH Member No.: 21,809 |
Models are all over the place.
6z GFS: Includes LES  6Z nam:  00z cmc:  Bonus: 
This post has been edited by jeffro: Feb 14 2013, 09:18 AM |
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Feb 14 2013, 10:49 AM
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#267
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
QUOTE(jeffro @ Feb 14 2013, 09:05 AM) Models are all over the place. 6z GFS: Includes LES 6Z nam: 00z cmc: Bonus: CLE mentions the possibility of the southern counties in its forecast zone getting some snow from this. Probably too far south for me though. They also say that NAM is overdone. -------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 14 2013, 10:52 AM
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#268
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
actually just saw 12z nam. much weaker. only puts out about an inch now for most spots. came to its senses i guess.
-------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 14 2013, 10:53 AM
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#269
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 Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
Wow nice GFS run for New England!
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Feb 14 2013, 11:00 AM
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#270
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
QUOTE(RobB @ Feb 14 2013, 10:53 AM) Wow nice GFS run for New England! wow. whats new 
-------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 14 2013, 11:01 AM
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#271
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Founding Member Posts: 20,783 Joined: 7-March 04 From: Dayton, Ohio Member No.: 16 |
Rocking! A trace IMBY
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Feb 14 2013, 11:11 AM
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#272
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 718 Joined: 16-February 10 From: Columbus, OH Member No.: 21,809 |
12z GFS more north but almost no precip.
Streets in my area have been brined as of 11am this morning. This post has been edited by jeffro: Feb 14 2013, 11:35 AM |
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Feb 15 2013, 08:43 AM
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#273
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Rank: Tornado Group: Member Posts: 115 Joined: 10-December 12 From: Cincinnati Member No.: 27,310 |
I know this is not a WS, but are we doing an OBS thread. Radar is filling in decently along the Ohio River in Cincinnati, but I don't expect to see much IMBY.
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Feb 15 2013, 10:16 AM
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#274
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
QUOTE(cincysnow @ Feb 15 2013, 08:43 AM) I know this is not a WS, but are we doing an OBS thread. Radar is filling in decently along the Ohio River in Cincinnati, but I don't expect to see much IMBY. We could, hasn't been much interest lately, but that doesn't mean you can't start one -------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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Feb 15 2013, 10:20 AM
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#275
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Rank: F5 Superstorm Group: Member Posts: 2,552 Joined: 19-December 08 From: Northern Portage County Ohio Member No.: 16,592 |
OBS thread opened here http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=30612
-------------------- Average Seasonal Snowfall 92.3"
2012-2013 Winter Total 57.0" Significant Events: December 20th Lake Enhancement/Effect 8.5" December 26th Synoptic Snow 5.9" December 29th-30th Synoptic Snow/Lake Enhancement and Effect 4.2" January 25th-26th Synoptic Snow/Lake Effect 4.0" February 2nd-3rd Synoptic Snow 5.4" February 17th Lake Effect Snow 5.7" February 28th-March 3rd Lake Effect 4.3" Current Snow Depth- 3.0" 2011-2012 Winter Total 56.0" 2010-2011 Winter Total 130.0" 'A Year To Remember' 2009-2010 Winter Total- 91.1" Best of 2010-2011 Winter Pictures are here! http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=25851 |
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