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> Feb 9-11, 2017 MIdAtl/NE DKBIII Blizzard, Observations - last minute forecasts
Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:12 PM
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:12 PM
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TC1
post Feb 8 2017, 05:15 PM
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And now the race is on. How fast will the temps really drop? We hit 55F today, and we're currently at 49.6F. Long way to go to get below that 32F line so that we don't have to worry about wet snow weighing things down when the heavy stuff starts. The soundings (or whatever they're called) say we should be at 31F at 1 A.M. tomorrow and 27F by 4 A.M.

Here's hoping.
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rtcemc
post Feb 8 2017, 05:16 PM
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Again, little virga problems with this one gang! Yea baby. Luv when these systems DON'T plow into a stubborn, bone dry air mass.
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:17 PM
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:18 PM
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46F ( down 4F in the past hour)

Winds light and variable.

Neat clouds in the western sky, wistfully wishing the waning sun, a fair adieu.
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Jethro Tull
post Feb 8 2017, 05:20 PM
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54 degrees on the southshore of Long Island, and under a blizzard watch. Major traffic jam at the liquor store!
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:20 PM
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So it's not orphaned.

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so_whats_happeni...
post Feb 8 2017, 05:21 PM
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QUOTE
I do like the NAM timing of slightly quicker, slightly farther north track. Not a huge difference at the end of the day, but could shift accumulations a touch for some.

Another thing to note, this will be a very quick heavy wet snowfall in many places. If you wait 6 hours until then end to go out and measure/clean, you're going to end up seeing 3.5" of slop. There will be rates in some places of 3"/hour. If you want accurate measurements you're going to have to go out there every half hour to hour. In a quick moving system like this, shouldn't be much of an issue for some of you younger folk. I have grandkids for that.

This post has been edited by Weatherjunkie: Today, 07:13 PM


From WEatherjunkie on the last page in case others didnt see.



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Jethro Tull
post Feb 8 2017, 05:22 PM
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:22 PM
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"new" CTP maps (oops wrong map first time, sorry)

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baltimorewisher8...
post Feb 8 2017, 05:26 PM
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Wishing you all the best!

As an insomniac, I'll be on here following along late-night.

Enjoy!
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MaineJay
post Feb 8 2017, 05:27 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Feb 8 2017, 05:18 PM) *
46F ( down 4F in the past hour)

Winds light and variable.

Neat clouds in the western sky, wistfully wishing the waning sun, a fair adieu.



Gorgeous sunset up here.

Went from temps in the teens this morning, to mid 40s (some low 50s in southern Maine)
Now 38.4

Hope the storm works out favorably for all, there's always some on the outside looking in. It's been another fun, interesting one to track.

And of course, stay safe.


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***Bonus snow***
//////////////////////////////////////////
//

130" season to date
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so_whats_happeni...
post Feb 8 2017, 05:28 PM
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QUOTE(baltimorewisher86 @ Feb 8 2017, 07:26 PM) *
Wishing you all the best!

As an insomniac, I'll be on here following along late-night.

Enjoy!


Ill be on as well driving back to lanc from bwi at 11 should get up my way by 1am hopefully it doesnt get really going until im already back.


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JDClapper
post Feb 8 2017, 05:28 PM
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QUOTE(stilko4 @ Feb 8 2017, 04:08 PM) *
Never said that... just saying the guy said don't model hug....seems that most inlanders from PA areal hugging the nam as its the furthest north and spreads heavy snow to them. Euro, gfs, rgem a bit south, more tucked in...
No matter what most are getting 8 plus in a very short time



QUOTE(Weatherjunkie @ Feb 8 2017, 05:13 PM) *
I do like the NAM timing of slightly quicker, slightly farther north track. Not a huge difference at the end of the day, but could shift accumulations a touch for some.

Another thing to note, this will be a very quick heavy wet snowfall in many places. If you wait 6 hours until then end to go out and measure/clean, you're going to end up seeing 3.5" of slop. There will be rates in some places of 3"/hour. If you want accurate measurements you're going to have to go out there every half hour to hour. In a quick moving system like this, shouldn't be much of an issue for some of you younger folk. I have grandkids for that.


Quit hugging WJ. biggrin.gif

Mostly cloudy, 45 degrees. Down 3 degrees in 1 hour.


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MaineJay
post Feb 8 2017, 05:29 PM
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QUOTE(baltimorewisher86 @ Feb 8 2017, 05:26 PM) *
Wishing you all the best!

As an insomniac, I'll be on here following along late-night.

Enjoy!



Always appreciate your contributions. Hopefully we can fulfill your voyeurism. smile.gif


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***Bonus snow***
//////////////////////////////////////////
//

130" season to date
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:29 PM
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Ryan Duff
post Feb 8 2017, 05:29 PM
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It's not snowing yet. I'm calling bust! tongue.gif

ph34r.gif


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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:29 PM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Feb 8 2017, 05:28 PM) *
Ill be on as well driving back to lanc from bwi at 11 should get up my way by 1am hopefully it doesnt get really going until im already back.

Man that's cutting it close. Safe travels
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Undertakerson
post Feb 8 2017, 05:30 PM
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QUOTE(Ryan Duff @ Feb 8 2017, 05:29 PM) *
It's not snowing yet. I'm calling bust! tongue.gif

ph34r.gif

Back at the Winner's Circle again? unsure.gif
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