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> Jan 13-14th Eastern Canada winter storm, Medium range significant snow potential
markj138
post Jan 8 2018, 01:42 PM
Post #41




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,106
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





Just took a peak in the US thread,looks like the 12Z euro is more in line with the gfs & cmc rather than taking the low right over us as it was doing in yesterdays runs.
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players1
post Jan 8 2018, 01:43 PM
Post #42




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 372
Joined: 6-March 08
From: Stevensville Ontario
Member No.: 14,195





Niagara region looking alright! no hopes up yet..... possibly Thursday excitement will set in.
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+Quote Post
markj138
post Jan 8 2018, 01:48 PM
Post #43




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,106
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





12Z euro....not the big numbers like gfs/cmc but the main thing it is still there.

Attached File  index__28_.png ( 177.79K ) Number of downloads: 13
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+Quote Post
akula
post Jan 8 2018, 01:51 PM
Post #44




Rank: Tornado
**

Group: Member
Posts: 279
Joined: 15-December 08
Member No.: 16,489





QUOTE(markj138 @ Jan 8 2018, 01:48 PM) *
12Z euro....not the big numbers like gfs/cmc but the main thing it is still there.

Attached File  index__28_.png ( 177.79K ) Number of downloads: 13


hey I'd take 30CM!
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+Quote Post
knorthern_knight
post Jan 8 2018, 01:53 PM
Post #45




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 910
Joined: 3-December 10
From: Greater Toronto
Member No.: 24,490





The poker game is going nuts laugh.gif
  • myforecast.com called for 20+ cm for Toronto
  • GFS saw myforecast's 20+ cm, and raised to 50+ cm
  • myforecast.com saw the GFS 50+ cm and raised to 60+ cm

CODE
The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYXU Lat:   43.03 Long:   81.15
CYXU London International Airport - London, Ontario
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   54 01/10 18Z   32     31    0.02 -RA     32     22    0.0  0.02
   57 01/10 21Z   35     35    0.02 -RA     35     32    0.0  0.04
   60 01/11 00Z   36     35    0.02 -RA     35     32    0.0  0.06
   63 01/11 03Z   36     36    0.02 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.08
   66 01/11 06Z   37     37    0.02 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.10
   69 01/11 09Z   38     38    0.04 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.14
   72 01/11 12Z   38     38    0.07 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.21
   75 01/11 15Z   38     38    0.01 -RA     38     38    0.0  0.22
   78 01/11 18Z   39     39    0.01 -RA     39     38    0.0  0.23
   81 01/11 21Z   39     39    0.01 -RA     39     39    0.0  0.24
   84 01/12 00Z   41     41    0.02 -RA     41     39    0.0  0.26
   87 01/12 03Z   41     41    0.06 -TSRA   42     41    0.0  0.32
   90 01/12 06Z   41     41    0.12 -TSRA   42     40    0.0  0.44
   93 01/12 09Z   32     30    0.13 -RA     41     32    0.0  0.57
   96 01/12 12Z   23     20    0.06 -PL     41     23    0.0  0.63
   99 01/12 15Z   21     17    0.04 -SN     23     21    0.3  0.67    0.3
  102 01/12 18Z   20     14    0.00 -SN     23     20    0.0
  105 01/12 21Z   20     11    0.00         20     19    0.0
  108 01/13 00Z   18      9    0.00         20     18    0.0
  111 01/13 03Z   15     13    0.13 -SN     18     15    2.1  0.13    2.1
  114 01/13 06Z   12     10    0.20 SN      18     12    3.5  0.33    5.6
  117 01/13 09Z    9      8    0.23 SN      12      9    4.9  0.56   10.5
  120 01/13 12Z    6      3    0.07 -SN     12      6    1.5  0.63   12.0
  123 01/13 15Z    6      4    0.07 -SN      6      5    1.7  0.70   13.7
  126 01/13 18Z    8      5    0.01 -SN      8      5    0.3  0.71   14.0
  129 01/13 21Z    8      4    0.01 -SN      8      7    0.3  0.72   14.3
  132 01/14 00Z    5      4    0.00 -SN      8      5    0.1         14.4
  135 01/14 03Z    4      3    0.00          5      4    0.1         14.5
  138 01/14 06Z    5      5    0.01 -SN      6      4    0.3  0.01   14.8
  141 01/14 09Z    7      5    0.01 -SN      7      5    0.3  0.02   15.1
  144 01/14 12Z    2      0    0.00 -SN      7      2    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYKF Lat:   43.46 Long:   80.38
CYKF Region of Waterloo International Airport
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   57 01/10 21Z   33     33    0.02 -RA     33     30    0.0  0.02
   60 01/11 00Z   35     34    0.01 -RA     35     30    0.0  0.03
   63 01/11 03Z   36     35    0.01 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.04
   66 01/11 06Z   36     36    0.02 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.06
   69 01/11 09Z   37     36    0.03 -RA     37     36    0.0  0.09
   72 01/11 12Z   38     38    0.04 -RA     38     36    0.0  0.13
   75 01/11 15Z   38     38    0.02 -RA     38     38    0.0  0.15
   78 01/11 18Z   41     41    0.01 -RA     41     38    0.0  0.16
   81 01/11 21Z   42     42    0.01 -RA     42     41    0.0  0.17
   84 01/12 00Z   45     44    0.03 -RA     45     41    0.0  0.20
   87 01/12 03Z   46     45    0.05 -TSRA   46     45    0.0  0.25
   90 01/12 06Z   44     43    0.13 -RA     46     44    0.0  0.38
   93 01/12 09Z   38     37    0.15 -RA     44     38    0.0  0.53
   96 01/12 12Z   26     22    0.05 -PL     44     26    0.0  0.58
   99 01/12 15Z   23     17    0.03 -SN     26     23    0.4  0.61    0.4
  102 01/12 18Z   22     12    0.00 -SN     26     21    0.0
  105 01/12 21Z   19      8    0.00         21     19    0.0
  108 01/13 00Z   17      4    0.00         21     17    0.0
  111 01/13 03Z   13     11    0.10 -SN     17     13    1.5  0.10    1.5
  114 01/13 06Z    9      7    0.25 SN      17      9    4.1  0.35    5.6
  117 01/13 09Z    7      7    0.18 SN       9      7    3.5  0.53    9.1
  120 01/13 12Z    6      3    0.14 SN       9      6    2.9  0.67   12.0
  123 01/13 15Z    6      4    0.06 -SN      6      5    1.2  0.73   13.2
  126 01/13 18Z    8      5    0.02 -SN      8      5    0.3  0.75   13.5
  129 01/13 21Z    7      4    0.01 -SN      8      7    0.3  0.76   13.8
  132 01/14 00Z    3      0    0.01 -SN      8      3    0.1  0.77   13.9
  135 01/14 03Z    2      0    0.00          3      2    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYHM Lat:   43.16 Long:   79.93
CYHM John C. Munro Hamilton International Airport
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   54 01/10 18Z   31     28    0.00 -RA     32     20    0.0
   57 01/10 21Z   34     33    0.03 -RA     34     32    0.0  0.03
   60 01/11 00Z   35     35    0.02 -RA     35     32    0.0  0.05
   63 01/11 03Z   36     36    0.01 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.06
   66 01/11 06Z   37     36    0.02 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.08
   69 01/11 09Z   37     37    0.03 -RA     37     36    0.0  0.11
   72 01/11 12Z   38     38    0.05 -RA     38     36    0.0  0.16
   75 01/11 15Z   40     39    0.02 -RA     40     38    0.0  0.18
   78 01/11 18Z   43     42    0.01 -RA     43     38    0.0  0.19
   81 01/11 21Z   46     44    0.00         46     43    0.0
   84 01/12 00Z   45     44    0.05 -RA     47     43    0.0  0.05
   87 01/12 03Z   47     45    0.00         47     45    0.0
   90 01/12 06Z   47     45    0.02 -RA     47     45    0.0  0.02
   93 01/12 09Z   44     43    0.29 RA      47     44    0.0  0.31
   96 01/12 12Z   32     29    0.16 FZRN    47     32    0.0  0.47
   99 01/12 15Z   27     23    0.09 -PL     32     27    0.2  0.56    0.2
  102 01/12 18Z   25     17    0.01 -SN     32     25    0.0  0.57
  105 01/12 21Z   19     13    0.01 -SN     25     19    0.2  0.58    0.2
  108 01/13 00Z   17     13    0.13 -SN     25     16    1.7  0.71    1.9
  111 01/13 03Z   15     14    0.26 SN      16     15    4.1  0.97    6.0
  114 01/13 06Z   12     11    0.35 SN      16     12    5.5  1.32   11.5
  117 01/13 09Z    9      8    0.26 SN      12      9    4.8  1.58   16.3
  120 01/13 12Z    7      5    0.14 SN      12      7    3.0  1.72   19.3
  123 01/13 15Z    6      4    0.05 -SN      7      5    1.3  1.77   20.6
  126 01/13 18Z    9      6    0.02 -SN      9      5    0.4  1.79   21.0
  129 01/13 21Z    9      6    0.02 -SN     10      9    0.3  1.81   21.3
  132 01/14 00Z    4      2    0.00 -SN     10      4    0.1         21.4
  135 01/14 03Z    3      0    0.00          4      2    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYYZ Lat:   43.66 Long:   79.63
CYYZ Toronto Pearson International Airport - Toronto, Ontario
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   57 01/10 21Z   32     30    0.03 -RA     32     29    0.0  0.03
   60 01/11 00Z   34     34    0.01 -RA     34     29    0.0  0.04
   63 01/11 03Z   35     35    0.00 -RA     35     34    0.0
   66 01/11 06Z   36     36    0.01 -RA     36     34    0.0  0.01
   69 01/11 09Z   37     36    0.01 -RA     37     36    0.0  0.02
   72 01/11 12Z   38     37    0.03 -RA     38     36    0.0  0.05
   75 01/11 15Z   38     38    0.02 -RA     38     38    0.0  0.07
   78 01/11 18Z   41     40    0.01 -RA     41     38    0.0  0.08
   81 01/11 21Z   43     41    0.01         43     41    0.0  0.09
   84 01/12 00Z   44     42    0.02 -RA     44     41    0.0  0.11
   87 01/12 03Z   45     43    0.00         45     44    0.0
   90 01/12 06Z   44     43    0.03 -RA     45     44    0.0  0.03
   93 01/12 09Z   42     41    0.16 RA      44     42    0.0  0.19
   96 01/12 12Z   32     28    0.12 -RA     44     32    0.0  0.31
   99 01/12 15Z   23     18    0.04 -PL     32     23    0.2  0.35    0.2
  102 01/12 18Z   20     11    0.00 -SN     32     20    0.0
  105 01/12 21Z   18      9    0.00         20     18    0.0
  108 01/13 00Z   18     10    0.00         20     18    0.0
  111 01/13 03Z   15     14    0.18 SN      18     15    3.0  0.18    3.0
  114 01/13 06Z   12     12    0.32 SN      18     12    5.6  0.50    8.6
  117 01/13 09Z   10     10    0.29 SN      12     10    5.7  0.79   14.3
  120 01/13 12Z    8      6    0.22 SN      12      8    4.6  1.01   18.9
  123 01/13 15Z    6      5    0.05 -SN      8      5    1.1  1.06   20.0
  126 01/13 18Z    7      5    0.04 -SN      8      5    0.8  1.10   20.8
  129 01/13 21Z    6      3    0.01 -SN      7      6    0.3  1.11   21.1
  132 01/14 00Z    5      2    0.01 -SN      7      4    0.0  1.12
  135 01/14 03Z    5      2    0.00          5      4    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYOW Lat:   45.31 Long:   75.66
CYOW Ottawa Macdonald-Cartier International Airport
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   60 01/11 00Z   28     28    0.04 -SN     28     24    0.0  0.04
   63 01/11 03Z   34     34    0.03 -RA     34     28    0.0  0.07
   66 01/11 06Z   34     34    0.01 -RA     34     28    0.0  0.08
   69 01/11 09Z   35     35    0.01 -RA     35     34    0.0  0.09
   72 01/11 12Z   35     35    0.01 -RA     35     34    0.0  0.10
   75 01/11 15Z   36     36    0.08 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.18
   78 01/11 18Z   37     37    0.03 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.21
   81 01/11 21Z   37     37    0.03 -RA     37     37    0.0  0.24
   84 01/12 00Z   38     38    0.01 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.25
   87 01/12 03Z   39     39    0.02 -RA     39     38    0.0  0.27
   90 01/12 06Z   39     39    0.00 -RA     39     38    0.0
   93 01/12 09Z   39     39    0.00 -RA     40     39    0.0
   96 01/12 12Z   40     40    0.08 -RA     40     39    0.0  0.08
   99 01/12 15Z   28     25    0.18 FZRN    40     28    0.2  0.26    0.2
  102 01/12 18Z   16     12    0.05 -SN     40     16    0.5  0.31    0.7
  105 01/12 21Z   15      8    0.00         16     15    0.0
  108 01/13 00Z   13      6    0.00         16     13    0.0
  111 01/13 03Z   12      5    0.00         13     12    0.0
  114 01/13 06Z    9      8    0.07 -SN     13      9    1.0  0.07    1.0
  117 01/13 09Z    9      7    0.25 SN       9      8    3.8  0.32    4.8
  120 01/13 12Z    8      7    0.37 SN       9      8    5.9  0.69   10.7
  123 01/13 15Z    8      7    0.32 SN       9      8    5.5  1.01   16.2
  126 01/13 18Z    9      7    0.07 SN      10      8    1.3  1.08   17.5
  129 01/13 21Z    7      5    0.05 -SN      9      7    1.2  1.13   18.7
  132 01/14 00Z    2      0    0.01 -SN      9      2    0.3  1.14   19.0
  135 01/14 03Z   -1     -4    0.00 -SN      2     -1    0.0
  138 01/14 06Z   -7    -10    0.00          2     -7    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYUL Lat:   45.46 Long:   73.75
CYUL Montréal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport - Montreal, Quebec
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   63 01/11 03Z   32     30    0.03 -RA     32     27    0.0  0.03
   66 01/11 06Z   33     33    0.02 -RA     33     27    0.0  0.05
   69 01/11 09Z   34     34    0.03 -RA     34     33    0.0  0.08
   72 01/11 12Z   35     35    0.02 -RA     35     33    0.0  0.10
   75 01/11 15Z   36     36    0.03 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.13
   78 01/11 18Z   37     37    0.05 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.18
   81 01/11 21Z   38     38    0.06 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.24
   84 01/12 00Z   38     38    0.09 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.33
   87 01/12 03Z   38     38    0.01 -RA     38     38    0.0  0.34
   90 01/12 06Z   38     38    0.02 -RA     39     38    0.0  0.36
   93 01/12 09Z   38     38    0.00 -RA     38     38    0.0
   96 01/12 12Z   39     39    0.02 -RA     39     38    0.0  0.02
   99 01/12 15Z   38     38    0.05 -RA     39     38    0.0  0.07
  102 01/12 18Z   30     27    0.02 -RA     39     30    0.0  0.09
  105 01/12 21Z   25     21    0.01 -SN     30     25    0.2  0.10    0.2
  108 01/13 00Z   21     15    0.02 -SN     30     21    0.2  0.12    0.4
  111 01/13 03Z   17     10    0.00         21     17    0.0
  114 01/13 06Z   12      8    0.02 -SN     21     12    0.3  0.02    0.3
  117 01/13 09Z   10      8    0.06 -SN     12     10    0.5  0.08    0.8
  120 01/13 12Z    9      7    0.13 -SN     12      9    1.5  0.21    2.3
  123 01/13 15Z   10      8    0.14 -SN     11      9    1.5  0.35    3.8
  126 01/13 18Z   10      8    0.06 -SN     11      9    0.6  0.41    4.4
  129 01/13 21Z   12     10    0.06 -SN     12     10    0.9  0.47    5.3
  132 01/14 00Z    9      7    0.04 -SN     12      9    1.0  0.51    6.3
  135 01/14 03Z    7      5    0.01 -SN      9      7    0.1  0.52    6.4
  138 01/14 06Z    0     -2    0.00 -SN      9      0    0.0

The following derived from http://charlie.wxcaster.com/
Station ID: CYQB Lat:   46.79 Long:   71.38
CYQB Québec City Jean Lesage International Airport - Quebec City, Quebec
GFS Model Run: 12Z  8JAN 2018
==============================
   HR Valid     2m Tmp 2m Dpt TPrcp PRS WX Max    Min Snowfall
                 Deg F  Deg F  in.  TEXT   Tmp    Tmp    in
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ n_ PCPN  SNOW
   66 01/11 06Z   24     22    0.01 -SN     24     16    0.2  0.01    0.2
   69 01/11 09Z   27     26    0.02 -SN     27     24    0.1  0.03    0.3
   72 01/11 12Z   32     31    0.01 -FZRN   32     24    0.0  0.04
   75 01/11 15Z   34     34    0.01 -RA     34     32    0.0  0.05
   78 01/11 18Z   35     35    0.02 -RA     35     32    0.0  0.07
   81 01/11 21Z   36     36    0.05 -RA     36     35    0.0  0.12
   84 01/12 00Z   37     37    0.06 -RA     37     35    0.0  0.18
   87 01/12 03Z   38     38    0.07 -RA     38     37    0.0  0.25
   90 01/12 06Z   39     38    0.04 -RA     40     37    0.0  0.29
   93 01/12 09Z   40     39    0.07 -RA     40     38    0.0  0.36
   96 01/12 12Z   40     40    0.05 -RA     41     38    0.0  0.41
   99 01/12 15Z   41     40    0.14 -RA     42     40    0.0  0.55
  102 01/12 18Z   35     32    0.06 -FZRN   42     35    0.0  0.61
  105 01/12 21Z   23     18    0.01 -SN     34     23    0.1  0.62    0.1
  108 01/13 00Z   16      9    0.00 -SN     34     16    0.0
  111 01/13 03Z   15      7    0.00         16     15    0.0
  114 01/13 06Z   16     10    0.01         16     14    0.1  0.01    0.1
  117 01/13 09Z   14      9    0.03 -SN     16     14    0.3  0.04    0.4
  120 01/13 12Z   10      8    0.17 -SN     16     10    2.4  0.21    2.8
  123 01/13 15Z    9      7    0.12 -SN     10      9    1.5  0.33    4.3
  126 01/13 18Z    9      6    0.12 -SN     10      8    0.9  0.45    5.2
  129 01/13 21Z   13     10    0.06 -SN     13      9    0.8  0.51    6.0
  132 01/14 00Z   14     13    0.14 -SN     15      9    2.0  0.65    8.0
  135 01/14 03Z   15     15    0.08 -SN     16     14    1.6  0.73    9.6
  138 01/14 06Z   10      9    0.04 -SN     16     10    0.9  0.77   10.5
  141 01/14 09Z    5      3    0.01 -SN     10      5    0.1  0.78   10.6
  144 01/14 12Z   -1     -2    0.00 -SN     10      0    0.1         10.7
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weatherman 23
post Jan 8 2018, 01:57 PM
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Don't forget ratios...euros temps are around -12C, so likely around 20:1
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ottawasnowstorm
post Jan 8 2018, 02:23 PM
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Long time since I posted but this potential snowstorm has me more than intrigued. Myforecast in it's latest run just gave me in Ottawa over 66 cm. Big totals from some others as well.

Problem is, is that I am scheduled to work an overtime shift this Saturday, from 7:30 am until 6:00 pm. Now, I can probably get out of it if this snowstorm were to hit but I don't want to book it off either if we're not going to get it. And the longer I wait to book it off, the harder it might be to take it off. Oh, the stressssss!!!!!! lol

What time would you guys be looking for it to start in Ottawa?

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Apocalypse
post Jan 8 2018, 02:25 PM
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How often does Toronto get hit with a 30cm+ storm?
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SNOWBOB11
post Jan 8 2018, 02:40 PM
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QUOTE(Apocalypse @ Jan 8 2018, 02:25 PM) *
How often does Toronto get hit with a 30cm+ storm?

Doesnt happen every year but its not unheard of.
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Stl
post Jan 8 2018, 02:50 PM
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Guys slow down with the Kuchera , if there is no wind i would say ok but otherwise keep the 1:10 and calculate it accordingly. I would love to have the kuchera totals but it's always fantasy.

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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Jan 8 2018, 03:03 PM
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It does seem temps may be favourable for higher ratio, BUT I couldn't imagine us getting the actual precipitation predicted.
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Lake effect
post Jan 8 2018, 03:26 PM
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QUOTE(ottawasnowstorm @ Jan 8 2018, 02:23 PM) *
Long time since I posted but this potential snowstorm has me more than intrigued. Myforecast in it's latest run just gave me in Ottawa over 66 cm. Big totals from some others as well.

Problem is, is that I am scheduled to work an overtime shift this Saturday, from 7:30 am until 6:00 pm. Now, I can probably get out of it if this snowstorm were to hit but I don't want to book it off either if we're not going to get it. And the longer I wait to book it off, the harder it might be to take it off. Oh, the stressssss!!!!!! lol

What time would you guys be looking for it to start in Ottawa?


Current GFS has it starting just before dawn and heavy snow all day.

Early days though. As I've said in a previous post, all the ensembles have the center of the low about 100miles East of the OP runs, which for our region might be a bust. I would not start making plans around this until we've seen the Thursday 12Z run. Clearly there will be something, but exact track and timing is still up for grabs.
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snowgeek93
post Jan 8 2018, 03:55 PM
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I'd be happy with just 5cm to cover up the ground after the meltdown on Thursday lol


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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markj138
post Jan 8 2018, 05:19 PM
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18z gfs is further east but this is early days,i would rather see an east trend happen now than on Thursday

Attached File  gfs_asnow_neus_22.png ( 176.25K ) Number of downloads: 10


This post has been edited by markj138: Jan 8 2018, 05:20 PM
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plowguy
post Jan 8 2018, 05:19 PM
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I vote for a miss...just for Brantford! We just got pasted with 15+ cms last night and this morning.
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SNOWBOB11
post Jan 8 2018, 05:43 PM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Jan 8 2018, 05:19 PM) *
I vote for a miss...just for Brantford! We just got pasted with 15+ cms last night and this morning.


Wow you got that much? Didnt think you would end up with such high totals. That system seemed to do quite good in several areas.
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SNOWBOB11
post Jan 8 2018, 05:46 PM
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QUOTE(markj138 @ Jan 8 2018, 05:19 PM) *
18z gfs is further east but this is early days,i would rather see an east trend happen now than on Thursday

Agreed. Not a bad area to be in atm. The 12z EPS looked good fwiw.
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akula
post Jan 8 2018, 05:52 PM
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We dont want to be in the bullseye at this early stage as long as this east trend isnt a constant trend we are still looking good! esp. Niagara
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Stl
post Jan 8 2018, 06:11 PM
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QUOTE(akula @ Jan 8 2018, 05:52 PM) *
We dont want to be in the bullseye at this early stage as long as this east trend isnt a constant trend we are still looking good! esp. Niagara


We were in the Bullseye in the first runs but atleast the Euro didn't show that many so it was less painfull to see those big amount vanish. laugh.gif
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markj138
post Jan 8 2018, 06:22 PM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Jan 8 2018, 05:46 PM) *
Agreed. Not a bad area to be in atm. The 12z EPS looked good fwiw.


I would not be surprised the see the 0Z CMC & Euro to go east tonight,we shall see.
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