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> Long Range Summer 2016 Outlooks and Discussions, Share thoughts, forecasts, trends, excitement, anxiety here.
kpk33x
post Aug 26 2016, 10:43 AM
Post #521




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 1,745
Joined: 18-July 05
From: Intervale, NH
Member No.: 1,100





NOW Data is great

For North Conway, NH - NOW records back to 1974
June - mean of 65.2F was 11th warmest. 1999 was warmest at 68.6F
July - mean of 69.7F was the 21st warmest (therefore, in the middle). 1994 was warmest at 72.2F and 1999 is third.
August - mean to date of 70.2F is the 4th warmest. 2002 is warmest at 72.8F. 1999 slipped to 23rd

Since I can't easily compare 3 months at a time before lunch, 1999's 28 points (1, 4, 23) comes in ahead of 2016's 36. 1999's warm June and July compared to 2016 will carry the day barring 100F temperatures the last week of August.

The interesting thing is that most of July was very warm. Only a few very cool days pulled the average down toward the middle. July 3rd was very cool with a 73/45 spread, while 3 rainy days 9th-11th suppressed our maxes into the 60s.

And my pet peeve with "adjusting" to get the 1981-2010 "normals." When I do the arithmetic on July 1981-2010 average temps by year, I come up with 69.2833. The "normal" given is 68.1F. So it artificially appears that our 21st out of 43 in terms of rank July 2016 is 1.6F above normal when it is in fact 0.4F above normal. Why do they not go with just the arithmetic? The temperatures were what they were...


--------------------
Summer 2017 - Intervale, NH

# of 90 degree days:
May - 2
June - 2

Season TD - 4. Hottest this season = 95F

# of thunderstorm days: 3
Severe events/description:
5/18 - severe T-storm, brief heavy rain/wind on warned storm
5/31 - severe T-storm, heavy rain/wind on warned storm (hail to our south)
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ClicheVortex2014
post Aug 30 2016, 01:37 PM
Post #522




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Dayton, Ohio
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Absolutely stunning; time lapse of a wet microburst in Columbus

https://www.facebook.com/BenNBC4/videos/1268271463213210/

Look for this feature


This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Aug 30 2016, 01:38 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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snowlover2
post Aug 30 2016, 03:24 PM
Post #523




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From: Dayton,OH
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Aug 30 2016, 02:37 PM) *
Absolutely stunning; time lapse of a wet microburst in Columbus

https://www.facebook.com/BenNBC4/videos/1268271463213210/

Look for this feature

Not fun. Had the one hit me on the east side of Dayton 2 years ago June 23 2014. Scariest thing I've been through.


--------------------
# of T-Storm Watches:3

# of T-Storm Warnings:6

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of Tornado Warnings:
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ClicheVortex2014
post Aug 30 2016, 04:42 PM
Post #524




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 20,041
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From: Dayton, Ohio
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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Aug 30 2016, 04:24 PM) *
Not fun. Had the one hit me on the east side of Dayton 2 years ago June 23 2014. Scariest thing I've been through.

I remember that. Spent 2 days picking up limbs from my grandma's front yard


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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Stratocumulus
post Aug 31 2016, 12:53 PM
Post #525




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From: Pittsburgh
Member No.: 26,192





Well, last day of met summer is finally here! I'll post some statistics if I get the chance in early September. Definitely a warm and muggy summer.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 3 2016, 10:58 AM
Post #526




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 20,041
Joined: 21-April 14
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





Meteorological summer is over... here's the observations





This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Sep 3 2016, 11:00 AM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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ClicheVortex2014
post Sep 9 2016, 01:13 AM
Post #527




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 20,041
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From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 29,453





September 8 marked the 40th day of >90 degree temps at KHAO this year. IIRC, the first day was in the first week of June. So, essentially, we averaged a 90 degree day once every 3 days. Certainly not unprecedented, but compared to the past 3 summers, not bad.

This summer turned out to be warmer than average for all of the US... especially the east US. This was one of the top 10 warmest summers for many eastern states.



Not gonna lie, bit disappointed we didn't break the record in Ohio. I worked outside, in the sun, for 60 hours a week, all summer. Being able to say I did this in the second hottest summer on record doesn't sound as good if it was the hottest on record. I guess there's always next year rolleyes.gif

This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Sep 9 2016, 01:17 AM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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MaineJay
post Sep 9 2016, 05:06 AM
Post #528




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Posts: 7,410
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From: 25 mi. NNW of Portland, ME, elev. ~400ft.
Member No.: 28,288





Temp ranks fort JJA

Attached File  cd74.78.81.249.252.4.1.30.prcp.png ( 381.82K ) Number of downloads: 0


Precip ranks for JJA

Attached File  cd74.78.81.249.252.4.2.11.prcp.png ( 428.13K ) Number of downloads: 1

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/usclimdivs/


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
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Stratocumulus
post Sep 12 2016, 09:19 AM
Post #529




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 841
Joined: 21-November 11
From: Pittsburgh
Member No.: 26,192





QUOTE(MaineJay @ Sep 9 2016, 06:06 AM) *
Temp ranks fort JJA

Attached File  cd74.78.81.249.252.4.1.30.prcp.png ( 381.82K ) Number of downloads: 0


Precip ranks for JJA

Attached File  cd74.78.81.249.252.4.2.11.prcp.png ( 428.13K ) Number of downloads: 1

http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/data/usclimdivs/


You can really see how the temps and precip kind of went hand-in-hand. Warmest temperatures over the drier areas. Cooler over places that received more moisture.
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