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> April 27th-May 2nd MidAtl/NE warmth, forecast, discussion, & OBS
MD Blue Ridge
post Apr 27 2017, 09:44 PM
Post #41




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Fog held on much longer then forecast today, with a quick run from 3-5 pm got into low 70's. But certainly not 80F. I'll bet tomorrow is low to mid 70's again. Which is just fine and dandy.

This post has been edited by MD Blue Ridge: Apr 27 2017, 09:44 PM


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Blue Ridge Bouncer

Cascade, MD
Elevation: 1625'


90 Degree Days in 2017: 0
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phillyfan
post Apr 27 2017, 11:38 PM
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QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ Apr 27 2017, 10:44 PM) *
Fog held on much longer then forecast today, with a quick run from 3-5 pm got into low 70's. But certainly not 80F. I'll bet tomorrow is low to mid 70's again. Which is just fine and dandy.

Topped out at 81 here today cranked the A/C on as well in the afternoon. Back to normal temps by Tuesday will be nice.


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High Wind Watch: 2/13
High Wind Warning: 3/2
Severe T-Storm Watch: 2/25, 3/1, 6/19, 6/23, 7/1, 7/13, 7/20
Severe T-Storm Warning: 2/25, 2/25, 3/1, 6/19
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Flood Watch: 3/31-4/1, 4/6
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Undertakerson
post Apr 28 2017, 05:12 AM
Post #43




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Now looks as if Saturday would be the warmest day - with highs in the lower to mid 80's (much of PA/NJ and surrounding regions). Expect 40N and South to be quite toasty - as has been well advertised.

Somebody will open a severe threat thread, sooner or later...I suppose.

CTP

QUOTE
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Upper level ridge tries to builds in for Saturday night through
Sunday but continued southerly flow and instability will lead
to additional chances for showers and storms - mainly in the
northern half of the area. Temps remain very warm into Monday.

Used superblend for this time period. Main feature will be a
massive cyclone that tracks through the Western Great Lakes from
Sunday night through Monday night.
This will push a strong cold
front through PA and lead to another round of showers and
thunderstorms. Once this feature passes by much chillier air
will advect into PA
with unsettled weather mainly for the
northern part of the state right into Wednesday. SPC has
roughly the southern two-thirds of our CWA in a Marginal Risk
for severe weather 12Z Sat-00Z Sunday.


This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Apr 28 2017, 05:13 AM
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telejunkie
post Apr 28 2017, 07:31 AM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Apr 28 2017, 06:12 AM) *
Somebody will open a severe threat thread, sooner or later...I suppose.

CTP

next week definitely looks interesting...pretty good signal for another storm to take a run up the coast later in the week as well. I'll open coastal if you open severe threat? wink.gif

today's looking like our warmest day if the clouds break up sooner rather than later...tomorrow there is a frontal passage that swings through with increasing clouds and shower activity. Was hoping to get a lot of painting done this week...gonna have to keep my eye on the radar.

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Apr 28 2017, 07:33 AM


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Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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WeatherDudeNYC
post Apr 29 2017, 02:40 AM
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Yesterday either tied or beat Easter for hottest day of year so far. It was very close. My thermometer read 87F yesterday.


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MaineJay
post Apr 29 2017, 08:40 AM
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77° yesterday

Already 73° under clear skies.


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The Solar Eclipse is coming!! Thread

"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
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MaineJay
post Apr 29 2017, 10:17 AM
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Just hit 80°, third time this month.

Edit: 81° now

This post has been edited by MaineJay: Apr 29 2017, 10:18 AM


--------------------
The Solar Eclipse is coming!! Thread

"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Only two things are infinite, the universe and human stupidity, and I'm not sure about the former." - Albert Einstein
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Undertakerson
post Apr 29 2017, 11:20 AM
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Sun trying to break through - even as weakly as it is at present, spiked temps from near 70 to 76F as if flipping a switch.

METARS show clearing to the west which should translate East through my zones, just in time for maximum solar influence to take hold. IOW - I believe we will crack the 8-0 mark in the southeastern third of PA (out to the coast) at a minimum.

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Undertakerson
post Apr 29 2017, 12:38 PM
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Yuck - the clearing has moved in and the temps are responding, making for very soupy conditions. I suspect downslope winds are the reason why the clearing - that and strong Spring sun that can burn through a weak cloud deck.

Attached Image


This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Apr 29 2017, 12:39 PM
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bingobobbo
post Apr 30 2017, 02:47 PM
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We got backdoored bigtime yesterday—in fact, the temperature plunged all the way to 43 degrees this morning. If the sun doesn’t come out, this day may actually end up averaging below normal. And to think, I actually thought we had a good chance at 80 degrees this weekend! However, I do enjoy cool weather. The warmup was definitely a Mid-Atlantic special. It was 58 degrees here yesterday afternoon while it was ninety in D.C.


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MD Blue Ridge
post Apr 30 2017, 08:16 PM
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Perfect weather weekend. Mid 70's, beautiful nights. I mean, just perfect.


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Blue Ridge Bouncer

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NorEaster07
post May 2 2017, 05:15 AM
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Looks like an end date is here.

NWS Forecast max getting to low 60s which means struggling past 50s most of the day. Max temp down down down...






Animation 3 seconds apart. Forecast Max Temp departures today through Sunday May 7th.
Blue colors common theme East of Mississippi


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Undertakerson
post May 2 2017, 05:32 AM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ May 2 2017, 06:15 AM) *
Looks like an end date is here.

NWS Forecast max getting to low 60s which means struggling past 50s most of the day. Max temp down down down...






Animation 3 seconds apart. Forecast Max Temp departures today through Sunday May 7th.
Blue colors common theme East of Mississippi



Agreed. The D6-8 GFS looks to feature darned near CPF influence. Will be quite the shock to the system on the heels of a "mostly" warm April in the Mid Atl.
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jdrenken
post May 2 2017, 10:27 AM
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My post from april 30th in the "other" non-existent thread and yet no thread for the MidAtl/NE.

QUOTE(Undertakerson @ May 2 2017, 05:32 AM) *
Agreed. The D6-8 GFS looks to feature darned near CPF influence. Will be quite the shock to the system on the heels of a "mostly" warm April in the Mid Atl.


QUOTE(jdrenken @ Apr 30 2017, 07:26 PM) *
5 day means from EPS

[attachment=325767:ecmwf_en...ean_us_2.png]

Might we start a new one for the NE/MidAtl?
[attachment=325768:ecmwf_en...ean_us_6.png]

CPC latest

6-10
[attachment=325769:610temp_new.gif]

8-14


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