Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com
We have updated our Privacy Policy and our Cookie Policy effective May 25, 2018. Please review them.
X

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

124 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 > »   
Closed TopicStart new topic
> March 20-22 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Possibility: Medium Range [4-8 Days Out] FORECAST
jdrenken
post Mar 12 2018, 08:56 AM
Post #21




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,622
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





From Anthony...

QUOTE
Yes that -NAO redevelopment is real and yes a fourth nor'easter is possible towards the 20th


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Storms R us
post Mar 12 2018, 11:23 AM
Post #22




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,756
Joined: 12-February 13
Member No.: 28,281





QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 12 2018, 06:31 AM) *
Those that match BSR maps, generally, tend to play out as indicated by the original look of BSR.

March snows are very "why bother" with me. Last year's "Stella", heck even Superstorm 93, were gone within 7 days and left a legacy of muddy messiness.

I prefer my snowstorms during meteorological winter. After Feb. I wish to move on to my favorite season - Spring.


agree with bold
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Black05GSR
post Mar 12 2018, 11:38 AM
Post #23




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 817
Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
Member No.: 27,529





Bait is planted...

GFS

CMC


--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LUCC
post Mar 12 2018, 11:45 AM
Post #24




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,263
Joined: 19-December 08
From: Robbinsville, NJ
Member No.: 16,588





QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Mar 12 2018, 11:38 AM) *
Bait is planted...

GFS

CMC

Lock it in!


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
phillyfan
post Mar 12 2018, 11:44 AM
Post #25




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 9,997
Joined: 13-January 08
From: Wernersville, PA (Berks Co.)
Member No.: 12,448





QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Mar 12 2018, 12:38 PM) *
Bait is planted...

GFS

CMC



--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
telejunkie
post Mar 12 2018, 11:49 AM
Post #26




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 5,571
Joined: 8-December 09
From: Manchester, VT (elev 800')
Member No.: 20,089





QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Mar 12 2018, 12:38 PM) *
Bait is planted...

GFS

CMC

Yeah, but what does the Euro say?!? laugh.gif
rolleyes.gif


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
jdrenken
post Mar 12 2018, 11:50 AM
Post #27




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,622
Joined: 26-March 08
From: Columbia, MO
Member No.: 14,521





What's DT say? Asking for a friend...


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 11:50 AM
Post #28




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,884
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





QUOTE(telejunkie @ Mar 12 2018, 12:49 PM) *
Yeah, but what does the Euro say?!? laugh.gif
rolleyes.gif

Um - read back rookie laugh.gif laugh.gif I posted Euro first thing this morning

I'll wait for DT-bal to let me know what's up. tongue.gif


Attached Image


This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Mar 12 2018, 11:51 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
MD Blue Ridge
post Mar 12 2018, 11:51 AM
Post #29




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 6,987
Joined: 1-February 11
Member No.: 25,332





QUOTE(jdrenken @ Mar 12 2018, 12:50 PM) *
What's DT say? Asking for a friend...


this just kills me. laugh.gif


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Black05GSR
post Mar 12 2018, 12:14 PM
Post #30




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 817
Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
Member No.: 27,529





I was honestly hoping this 3/12 event was the last one, I'm ready for spring. Have my list of vehicle parts in my cart on Rockauto ready to start replacing, spreader is eager to throw some fertilizer and tired of walking on pudding instead of solid ground.


--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
moshe from brook...
post Mar 12 2018, 12:15 PM
Post #31




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,619
Joined: 10-February 10
From: Edison nj
Member No.: 21,712





QUOTE(jdrenken @ Mar 12 2018, 11:50 AM) *
What's DT say? Asking for a friend...

Lol laugh.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
telejunkie
post Mar 12 2018, 01:04 PM
Post #32




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 5,571
Joined: 8-December 09
From: Manchester, VT (elev 800')
Member No.: 20,089





QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 12 2018, 12:50 PM) *
Um - read back rookie laugh.gif laugh.gif I posted Euro first thing this morning

I'll wait for DT-bal to let me know what's up. tongue.gif


Attached Image

laugh.gif laugh.gif way too much work...


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Black05GSR
post Mar 12 2018, 01:50 PM
Post #33




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 817
Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
Member No.: 27,529





More bait



--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Storms R us
post Mar 12 2018, 02:35 PM
Post #34




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,756
Joined: 12-February 13
Member No.: 28,281





QUOTE(telejunkie @ Mar 12 2018, 12:49 PM) *
Yeah, but what does the Euro say?!? laugh.gif
rolleyes.gif


Same green stuff for DC and BWI and of course DE. tongue.gif
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 03:14 PM
Post #35




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,884
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





Attached Image
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 03:36 PM
Post #36




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,884
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





That a nice "standard" block in the Atl (not Rex). Note the tiny unicorn at 50/50 as the Canadian low decides which energy to jump in on.

If it heads south and blends with the area at Delmarva - instead of jumping towards the 50/50 low, then we got something really big (it would do so sooner than shown in the image, if it does b/c it nearly went for it at Hr192 but got "distracted" by 50/50 low)
Attached Image



Attached Image


This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Mar 12 2018, 03:37 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 03:49 PM
Post #37




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,884
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





In ALL honesty, the BSR image for this one, is the "best" I've seen for a ECS - probably for the entire winter.

Problem will be the temps w/ March sun angle, but we'll look at that last anyway.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Black05GSR
post Mar 12 2018, 04:08 PM
Post #38




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 817
Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
Member No.: 27,529





QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 12 2018, 04:49 PM) *
In ALL honesty, the BSR image for this one, is the "best" I've seen for a ECS - probably for the entire winter.

Problem will be the temps w/ March sun angle, but we'll look at that last anyway.


Sounds like a good way to kick off first day of spring.


--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 04:14 PM
Post #39




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 32,884
Joined: 12-February 10
From: Blue Mtn, N of Hbg, PA
Member No.: 21,746





QUOTE(Black05GSR @ Mar 12 2018, 05:08 PM) *
Sounds like a good way to kick off first day of spring.

My birth Father's Birthday too (RIP Dad).
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Storms R us
post Mar 12 2018, 05:01 PM
Post #40




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,756
Joined: 12-February 13
Member No.: 28,281





QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 12 2018, 04:49 PM) *
In ALL honesty, the BSR image for this one, is the "best" I've seen for a ECS - probably for the entire winter.

Problem will be the temps w/ March sun angle, but we'll look at that last anyway.


Agree would of great during the winter but at least it won’t last long.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

124 Pages V  < 1 2 3 4 > » 
Closed TopicStart new topic
1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 22nd September 2018 - 11:56 AM