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> March 20-22 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm, Possibility: Medium Range [4-8 Days Out] FORECAST
Undertakerson
post Mar 12 2018, 05:27 PM
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Sure, why not?
rolleyes.gif

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I mean I haven't had one miss completely to my south, yet.

This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Mar 12 2018, 05:34 PM
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StL weatherjunki...
post Mar 12 2018, 06:10 PM
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**If a significant winter storm materializes** we'll need to monitor the leaf-out situation. Trees are budding locally (~3 weeks early), which isn't a problem as it rarely snows more than an inch here. However, add another week and trees could be budding up into PA/MD as well. Heavy wet snow causes big problems without the additional surface area to stick to.
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Storms R us
post Mar 12 2018, 08:20 PM
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QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Mar 12 2018, 07:10 PM) *
**If a significant winter storm materializes** we'll need to monitor the leaf-out situation. Trees are budding locally (~3 weeks early), which isn't a problem as it rarely snows more than an inch here. However, add another week and trees could be budding up into PA/MD as well. Heavy wet snow causes big problems without the additional surface area to stick to.


May not have to worry as the 18z GFS didnít show much of a storm. Looks like itís suppressed and strung out.
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Fire/Rescue
post Mar 12 2018, 09:16 PM
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My buddy Josh from out in the mountains of Western Maryland has a weather FB page for which I've linked and posted these 2 images as a comparison with regard to temperatures via today's 6z and 18z GFS run.

Top pic 6z, bottom 18z and as one can see......yea there's ummmm just a bit of a noticeable diffeence! blink.gif
Allegheny Mountains Weather

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shaulov4
post Mar 12 2018, 11:42 PM
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Drunk Uncle showing us that he still is drinking at night.


GFS not that far off...precip shield as always is under played.
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PlanetMaster
post Mar 13 2018, 12:59 AM
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QUOTE(shaulov4 @ Mar 12 2018, 11:42 PM) *




Drunk Uncle showing us that he still is drinking at night.


GFS not that far off...precip shield as always is under played.

CMC gives LI 30", lol. One of these monsters that becomes a mere shadow of itself in the short range.


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so_whats_happeni...
post Mar 13 2018, 02:02 AM
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Man I was hoping for sun and warmth towards this time period for personal reasons and then it can go back to being cold all it wants. I guess we are seeing lasting effects from the SSW, proobably until april, and maybe some help with a -NAO splashed in... Looking aloft that blocking pattern holds fairly well with some pinwheel action.


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bucikaroo
post Mar 13 2018, 03:05 AM
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I am so sick of this weather with rain I am so ready for warm and sunny you guys can have your snow keep up there
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Undertakerson
post Mar 13 2018, 03:10 AM
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Verbatim, would deliver a whole lot of winter to the S and C MidAtl.

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And a bunch more to the NE

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Undertakerson
post Mar 13 2018, 03:14 AM
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I think green is 6"

Map would show all snow including today's of course

Still


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Storms R us
post Mar 13 2018, 04:44 AM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 13 2018, 04:14 AM) *
I think green is 6"

Map would show all snow including today's of course

Still


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As you stated earlier that 6" would be a lot less for this time of year which is a positive along with quick melting.
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so_whats_happeni...
post Mar 13 2018, 05:31 AM
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QUOTE(Storms R us @ Mar 13 2018, 06:44 AM) *
As you stated earlier that 6" would be a lot less for this time of year which is a positive along with quick melting.


Shouldnt throw out ideas of accums on roadways and nice totals storm years ago right around the beginning of april we got clobbered north west of philly were forecasted only to get 1-3" ended up getting 6-8" region wide and roads covered in 4-6" of heavy wet snows during the day. Melted fairly quickly but thump quick you can stick to the ground in marginal temps even into April.


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paletitsnow63
post Mar 13 2018, 05:40 AM
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0Z EURO Snow map. Since this area didn't receive that much snow from the present storm (especially S PA, S NJ, Delaware, MD, N VA) most of this snow is for this thread.

This post has been edited by paletitsnow63: Mar 13 2018, 05:43 AM
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Undertakerson
post Mar 13 2018, 05:42 AM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Mar 13 2018, 06:31 AM) *
Shouldnt throw out ideas of accums on roadways and nice totals storm years ago right around the beginning of april we got clobbered north west of philly were forecasted only to get 1-3" ended up getting 6-8" region wide and roads covered in 4-6" of heavy wet snows during the day. Melted fairly quickly but thump quick you can stick to the ground in marginal temps even into April.

Said it many times SS93, for all the snow total, was melted to mostly mud within a week.

I remember, I think, 4 years ago on the runway to go to FL in third week of March. Had to wait for plane to deice as 4-6" new snow fell. The runway had an inch or so on it as we took off. (friends called me upon landing and reported the 4-6" which fell, mostly in the late afternoon, evening)

It was gone 6 days later when I returned.
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paletitsnow63
post Mar 13 2018, 05:46 AM
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0Z Euro snow map for present storm for comparison to map I just posted. This shows present storm. Subtract that from map I just posted.

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Fire/Rescue
post Mar 13 2018, 06:37 AM
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QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Mar 13 2018, 05:31 AM) *
Shouldnt throw out ideas of accums on roadways and nice totals storm years ago right around the beginning of april we got clobbered north west of philly were forecasted only to get 1-3" ended up getting 6-8" region wide and roads covered in 4-6" of heavy wet snows during the day. Melted fairly quickly but thump quick you can stick to the ground in marginal temps even into April.

No doubt man as it was what a few years back I shoveled snow at my place not once but TWICE during the month of APRIL, moral to this little story is YEP....snow absolutely accumulated on paved surfaces during the month of April (and it was a couple of inches, rather then just a bit of slop) right here in Baltimore's 95 corridor.
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 13 2018, 06:47 AM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 12 2018, 04:49 PM) *
In ALL honesty, the BSR image for this one, is the "best" I've seen for a ECS - probably for the entire winter.

Problem will be the temps w/ March sun angle, but we'll look at that last anyway.

Say what? Idk about that one.
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 13 2018, 06:50 AM
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QUOTE(paletitsnow63 @ Mar 13 2018, 06:46 AM) *
0Z Euro snow map for present storm for comparison to map I just posted. This shows present storm. Subtract that from map I just posted.


The euro control run is ridiculous. I don't even want to post it. #troll
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shaulov4
post Mar 13 2018, 06:55 AM
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When the CMC and Euro Agree watch to a certain degree..... blink.gif
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PoconoSnow
post Mar 13 2018, 07:04 AM
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euroC

Why not. Soon we won't have a chance to do this till next year...

Enjoy it while you can

Bruhs

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Mar 13 2018, 07:05 AM


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