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> March 6-8, 2018 MidAtl/NE Winter Storm OBS, Last Minute Forecasts - Observations
Black05GSR
post Mar 9 2018, 09:33 AM
Post #2421




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 26-December 12
From: Linden, NJ and Albrightsville, PA (1850ft)
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Picked up 3 inches last night in PA and still some snow showers around today. Surprise booker! I'll take it.


--------------------
Winter 2017/2018

PA - 11/7 (1.5"); 11/20 (0.5"); 12/9 (4.5"); 12/14 (3"); 12/15 (1"); 12/30 (2.5"); 1/4 (2.5"); 1/30 (2.5"); 2/2 (4"); 2/4 (5"); 2/7 (2"); 2/17 (5.5"); 3/2 (10.5"); 3/7 (9.5"); 3/8 (3"); 3/13 (3"); 3/21 (3"); 4/2 (7")
Total: 70.5" Avg. 49"

NJ - 12/9 (5.5"); 12/14 (1.25"); 12/15 (1.5"); 12/30 (0.5"); 1/4 (7"); 2/17 (6"); 3/7 (6"); 3/13 (1"); 3/21 (11"); 4/2 (6")
Total: 45.75"
Avg. 26"
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NorEaster07
post Mar 9 2018, 09:33 AM
Post #2422




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 21,108
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ Mar 9 2018, 06:40 AM) *
Hey NorEaster Im getting broken images in some of your posts, it could be on my end but usually have no issues. Anyone else seeing this or is it me?


Yeah, not your end. Might be accuweather forum not being able to show GIFs?

You'll have to click the link for now. Should work.

https://i.imgur.com/7tfCKXP.gif

Copy and paste the link. Must be accuweather forum bug cause clicking the link isn't even working. So copy and paste it into your address bar.

This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Mar 9 2018, 09:35 AM
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PlanetMaster
post Mar 9 2018, 09:53 AM
Post #2423




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 1,585
Joined: 11-January 11
From: Babylon, NY
Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 9 2018, 09:33 AM) *
Yeah, not your end. Might be accuweather forum not being able to show GIFs?

You'll have to click the link for now. Should work.

https://i.imgur.com/7tfCKXP.gif

Copy and paste the link. Must be accuweather forum bug cause clicking the link isn't even working. So copy and paste it into your address bar.

Link is private, if you are posting in your imgur account the image maybe set to private. Heres what I get clicking on link

Attached Image


--------------------
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Solstice
post Mar 9 2018, 09:54 AM
Post #2424




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 966
Joined: 8-December 17
From: New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
Member No.: 31,816





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ Mar 9 2018, 09:53 AM) *
Link is private, if you are posting in your imgur account the image maybe set to private. Heres what I get clicking on link

Attached Image


I tried posting images without an account and it did the same thing. All my GOES-16 loops are broken, and they were working earlier. Very strange.


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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PlanetMaster
post Mar 9 2018, 09:58 AM
Post #2425




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Babylon, NY
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QUOTE(Solstice @ Mar 9 2018, 09:54 AM) *
I tried posting images without an account and it did the same thing. All my GOES-16 loops are broken, and they were working earlier. Very strange.

They could be having server issues. I use Post Image, no account needed and unlimited images no expiration, and as simple as pie.
https://postimages.org


--------------------
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NorEaster07
post Mar 9 2018, 02:30 PM
Post #2426




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ Mar 9 2018, 09:53 AM) *
Link is private, if you are posting in your imgur account the image maybe set to private. Heres what I get clicking on link

Attached Image


Re-read my message please. You are clicking the link.
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telejunkie
post Mar 9 2018, 03:15 PM
Post #2427




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 5,492
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From: Manchester, VT (elev 800')
Member No.: 20,089





Third and final round...here we go! Went from light flurries to moderate snow in the blink of an eye.

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Mar 9 2018, 03:21 PM


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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MaineJay
post Mar 9 2018, 03:53 PM
Post #2428




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From: 25 mi. NNW of Portland, ME, elev. ~400ft.
Member No.: 28,288





Light snow has broken out. The returns are barely moving.

Attached Image


--------------------
Purveyor of handcrafted GOES16 gifs since 2017
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telejunkie
post Mar 9 2018, 09:48 PM
Post #2429




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 5,492
Joined: 8-December 09
From: Manchester, VT (elev 800')
Member No.: 20,089





2.5" picked during daylight hours today...means only 0.5" from high water mark and snow has dissipated since the sun went down...needless to say, now will be dissappointed if i don't reach that #1 spot. Will wait until morning hours.


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Solstice
post Mar 9 2018, 10:34 PM
Post #2430




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
Member No.: 31,816





Surprised to see some accumulation outside. Looking back at radar, it appears a pretty good snow shower blew through Southern Fairfield County, CT, at 7 PM.

03/10/18 0000z CT Radar
Attached Image


Picture Evidence
Attached Image


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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NorEaster07
post Mar 10 2018, 07:57 AM
Post #2431




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





Snowfall totals. I added all the Climate Site Airports on there.


Portland Maine the most blink.gif
Philly more than Binghamton and NYC.
NYC more than Providence
Newark more than Scranton
Bridgeport less than Islip and Philly
Hartford more than Boston and Binghamton.


And ..... Atlanta Georgia still has more than DC this season. blink.gif WOW! DC has really been missing out!


Attached Image



Closer look.


Attached Image



This post has been edited by NorEaster07: Mar 10 2018, 07:57 AM
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telejunkie
post Mar 10 2018, 09:12 AM
Post #2432




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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From: Manchester, VT (elev 800')
Member No.: 20,089





1/2" in evening hours last night...think that was last of anything resembling the original synoptic event that retrograded into Canada. Means storm total for me would tie with Valentine's Day '07 event at 23". So the 2' glass ceiling remains for mby...


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Solstice
post Mar 10 2018, 10:49 AM
Post #2433




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

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Posts: 966
Joined: 8-December 17
From: New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
Member No.: 31,816





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 9 2018, 06:31 AM) *
A 30hr radar loop with metars and storm reports at times.
12pm March 7th to 6pm March 8th, 2018



(Imgur gif not working, will come back soon and fix)
Working on other loops including Water Vapor and 500mb heights. Just need more time.


Looks like it's working now.


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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mainiac
post Mar 11 2018, 01:49 PM
Post #2434




Rank: Tornado
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Posts: 169
Joined: 2-September 10
From: Northern Maine
Member No.: 23,561





Ended up getting 7.2" from the remnants of the low, in a single band last night.



--------------------
Snowfall

Current Season: 128.1"

Last Season: 2016-2017 - 129.6"
Best Season: 2007-2008 - 197.8"
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so_whats_happeni...
post Mar 11 2018, 02:29 PM
Post #2435




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From: Millersville, PA
Member No.: 14,460





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 10 2018, 09:57 AM) *
Snowfall totals. I added all the Climate Site Airports on there.


Portland Maine the most blink.gif
Philly more than Binghamton and NYC.
NYC more than Providence
Newark more than Scranton
Bridgeport less than Islip and Philly
Hartford more than Boston and Binghamton.


And ..... Atlanta Georgia still has more than DC this season. blink.gif WOW! DC has really been missing out!


Attached Image

Closer look.


Attached Image


That cutoff through lancaster was just dumb. East side of the county got near 6" Lanc city got ~1" and then just west saw drizzle except elevation. Two in a row just like that and third to miss bring on spring lets get some severe weather to run through this year.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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stretchct
post Mar 12 2018, 08:31 PM
Post #2436




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From: Newtown, CT
Member No.: 16,470





QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Mar 11 2018, 03:29 PM) *
That cutoff through lancaster was just dumb. East side of the county got near 6" Lanc city got ~1" and then just west saw drizzle except elevation. Two in a row just like that and third to miss bring on spring lets get some severe weather to run through this year.

I'm nominating these three as the closest and can't believe it. No real winners here. The PA area sticks out as the problem on these. Underdone is the other problem with all of them. I thought these matched area wise.

Attached Image


Attached Image


Attached Image


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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Solstice
post Mar 12 2018, 09:20 PM
Post #2437




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Member No.: 31,816





QUOTE(stretchct @ Mar 12 2018, 09:31 PM) *
I'm nominating these three as the closest and can't believe it. No real winners here. The PA area sticks out as the problem on these. Underdone is the other problem with all of them. I thought these matched area wise.

Attached Image


Attached Image


Attached Image


Maybe the PA error has to do with the ratios? I didn't really follow those. Interesting to note.


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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