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> March 11-15 MidAtl/NE Nor'easter/Winter Storm OBS, Last Minute Forecasts / Observations
Solstice
post Mar 11 2018, 06:27 PM
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Link to Forecasting Thread.

Danville (VA) Regional Airport METAR showing rain.
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2320z Radar

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GOES-16 Band 9 "Mid-Level Water Vapor" - 2322z.

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This post has been edited by Solstice: Mar 11 2018, 06:30 PM


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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Storms R us
post Mar 11 2018, 06:38 PM
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QUOTE(Solstice @ Mar 11 2018, 07:27 PM) *
Link to Forecasting Thread.

Danville (VA) Regional Airport METAR showing rain.
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2320z Radar

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GOES-16 Band 9 "Mid-Level Water Vapor" - 2322z.

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Looks good over southern mid Atlantic and Georgia
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Storms R us
post Mar 11 2018, 06:40 PM
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It would be neat to see the system in Kentucky and Georgia combined earlier.
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NorEaster07
post Mar 11 2018, 06:51 PM
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Radar loop last 4hrs as the sun sets (1 hour later now)... 3:30-7:30pm loop.

2 distinct pieces on the map....ready to come together.

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Storms R us
post Mar 11 2018, 06:52 PM
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QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ Mar 11 2018, 07:51 PM) *
Radar loop last 4hrs as the sun sets (1 hour later now)... 3:30-7:30pm loop.

2 distinct pieces on the map....ready to come together.



Will be neat to see them combine
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LoveNYCSnow
post Mar 11 2018, 07:08 PM
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Well with the last storm all the models went west the day before the storm and then went decently east at the last moment. Admittedly grasping for straws but hoping for a reverse of that with this system.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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telejunkie
post Mar 11 2018, 07:51 PM
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Do AW forums ever award a rookie of the year? cause i got a nomination...

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Mar 11 2018, 07:52 PM


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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weathernut29
post Mar 11 2018, 07:54 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Mar 11 2018, 08:51 PM) *
Do AW forums ever award a rookie of the year? cause i got a nomination...

Like
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telejunkie
post Mar 11 2018, 07:55 PM
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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Mar 11 2018, 08:08 PM) *
Well with the last storm all the models went west the day before the storm and then went decently east at the last moment. Admittedly grasping for straws but hoping for a reverse of that with this system.

that's definitely been in the back of my mind...can still feel the burn from eastern PA folks from last storm. Being a such a fickle position doesn't give a lot of comfort...


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Removed_Member_plowxpress_*
post Mar 11 2018, 07:56 PM
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kABE

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This post has been edited by plowxpress: Mar 11 2018, 07:59 PM
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The Day After To...
post Mar 11 2018, 07:57 PM
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I would be quite happy getting nothing, lol.
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Removed_Member_plowxpress_*
post Mar 11 2018, 08:00 PM
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kABE

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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 11 2018, 08:08 PM
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God I hate being trolled. This storm bombing out to a very similar strength
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tool483
post Mar 11 2018, 08:09 PM
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QUOTE(The Day After Tommorow @ Mar 11 2018, 08:57 PM) *
I would be quite happy getting nothing, lol.


+1

laugh.gif

Only because the fact I have family flying in on Tuesday at 4pm at Bradley. Worried they are going to cancel her flight!

Because of this, i'm sure we will get nailed laugh.gif


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LoveNYCSnow
post Mar 11 2018, 08:14 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Mar 11 2018, 09:08 PM) *
God I hate being trolled. This storm bombing out to a very similar strength


Hate to feed into this but if this storm was 300 miles further west and had fully phased early this could have been a repeat of the 93 superstorm. Thats the kind of potential this storm has and may still have for Eastern SNE if the western end of the guidance verifies.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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Ryan Duff
post Mar 11 2018, 08:14 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Mar 11 2018, 09:08 PM) *
God I hate being trolled. This storm bombing out to a very similar strength


Hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha


--------------------
M.O.M. Certified (Inaugural Class of Winter 2015-2016)

"You must stick to your conviction, but be ready to abandon your assumptions."

Current Elevation: 30' ASL
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 11 2018, 08:15 PM
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QUOTE(LoveNYCSnow @ Mar 11 2018, 09:14 PM) *
Hate to feed into this but if this storm was 300 miles further west and had fully phased early this could have been a repeat of the 93 superstorm. Thats the kind of potential this storm has and may still have for Eastern SNE if the western end of the guidance verifies.



THats what I'm saying. It's very similar. Sux to be me bruh
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so_whats_happeni...
post Mar 11 2018, 08:17 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Mar 11 2018, 09:55 PM) *
that's definitely been in the back of my mind...can still feel the burn from eastern PA folks from last storm. Being a such a fickle position doesn't give a lot of comfort...


Ehh it happens welcome to the club. havent felt this one but hey the new thing is we tend to get surprises so best of luck. Cant wait until we start to build that ridge in and can go outside without it being cold.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


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Ryan Duff
post Mar 11 2018, 08:17 PM
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JAX rule


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--------------------
M.O.M. Certified (Inaugural Class of Winter 2015-2016)

"You must stick to your conviction, but be ready to abandon your assumptions."

Current Elevation: 30' ASL
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fordfisherman
post Mar 11 2018, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(Ryan Duff @ Mar 11 2018, 08:17 PM) *
JAX rule


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Can you explain the Jax rule? Thanks
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