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> March 19th-20th Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm, Long range (6-10 days): Forecasts and Observations
ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 13 2018, 08:36 AM
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Not going down without a fight this year. We've now gone an entire month without an "event" here. This one looks identical to the current storm so I'll anticipate a huge southern shift developing in to the 4th nor easter rolleyes.gif (assuming the 17th storm isnt already the 4th nor easter and this will be the 5th)
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Three7s
post Mar 13 2018, 08:39 AM
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Guaranteed blizzard for the northeast, guaranteed clouds and wind with maybe light rain for my area. That's the way it's been going all year. It should be far too warm for any snow here.
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JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 13 2018, 09:21 AM
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I'm still optimistic we'll get one before winter gives way to spring weather...Ground temps have cooled nicely lately, so immediate accumulation should occur with any snowfall (assuming air temps are below freezing)
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Juniorrr
post Mar 13 2018, 10:05 AM
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QUOTE(Three7s @ Mar 13 2018, 08:39 AM) *
Guaranteed blizzard for the northeast, guaranteed clouds and wind with maybe light rain for my area. That's the way it's been going all year. It should be far too warm for any snow here.

laugh.gif We don't have the luxury of a large body of warm water. Well, our LES regions do but those are localized.


Anyways the storm before this can be interesting for parts of MO, IA, IL and perhaps east if it hold together.

This post has been edited by Juniorrr: Mar 13 2018, 10:06 AM
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StL weatherjunki...
post Mar 13 2018, 11:17 AM
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Remarkable similarities between 500 mb pattern from 36 hours ago and the 00z Euro 500 mb forecast for hour 168
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JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 13 2018, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Mar 13 2018, 08:36 AM) *
Not going down without a fight this year. We've now gone an entire month without an "event" here. This one looks identical to the current storm so I'll anticipate a huge southern shift developing in to the 4th nor easter rolleyes.gif (assuming the 17th storm isnt already the 4th nor easter and this will be the 5th)


12z GFS...aaaaaannnnd, south she goes...just like we've seen about a half dozen times this winter. Tough to break a pattern I guess. laugh.gif
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JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 13 2018, 01:43 PM
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Euro significantly south of yesterday's 12z run, but looks better than the GFS
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MIDMIWeather
post Mar 13 2018, 02:46 PM
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So I'm about 90 minutes north of Detroit - they've been slammed with snow so much this year - I think last I read they were around 10" above the average at DTX.

On the other hand, not so much up here. 100 mile difference and we're about 10-15" below average. We've had one storm that dropped over 6" - everything else has been super minor events here.

So, yeahhhh depressing winter.
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MIDMIWeather
post Mar 13 2018, 02:47 PM
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On the plus side the CMC is keeping a further north solution laugh.gif
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JymGanahlRocks
post Mar 13 2018, 03:04 PM
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EPS is further south & looks like a carbon copy of several other storms we've seen this winter. Uncanny.

This post has been edited by JymGanahlRocks: Mar 13 2018, 03:05 PM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 13 2018, 05:48 PM
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18z GFS
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 13 2018, 05:49 PM
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12z ECM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 13 2018, 05:53 PM
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12z CMC
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 13 2018, 08:24 PM
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Hey look another nor Easter after this one.
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Snow____
post Mar 13 2018, 11:42 PM
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Iím ready for spring!! But letís be clear, if 6+ is on the table Iíll take it.


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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 14 2018, 04:22 AM
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.........

LOL

00z GFS
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 14 2018, 04:24 AM
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Cmc was way north for our region
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 14 2018, 04:26 AM
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ECM was meh
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ohiobuckeye45
post Mar 14 2018, 08:02 AM
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6z was another i80 special
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Three7s
post Mar 14 2018, 08:34 AM
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I don't think I can trust the GFS at all this year. Even the day of the event, it's been atrocious.
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