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> January 14-17 Plains/MW/GL/OV Clipper, Reality: Short Range [0-3 Days Out] FORECAST
ValpoSnow
post Jan 14 2018, 12:57 PM
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3.3" of snow by 4 AM? Yes, please!


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ValpoSnow
post Jan 14 2018, 01:38 PM
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HRRR really wants to slam N IL and I will take it! biggrin.gif
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Juniorrr
post Jan 14 2018, 02:01 PM
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QUOTE(ValpoSnow @ Jan 14 2018, 12:57 PM) *
3.3" of snow by 4 AM? Yes, please!

Enjoy the morning commute laugh.gif. We'll be enjoying it as well into the aftn but not as bad as N IL.
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james812
post Jan 14 2018, 02:08 PM
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QUOTE(ValpoSnow @ Jan 14 2018, 12:38 PM) *
HRRR really wants to slam N IL and I will take it! biggrin.gif


How many hours does the HRRR go out? This isnít the full duration of the clipper?
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grace
post Jan 14 2018, 02:18 PM
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Would love to see 12z GEFS Ensembles from instantweathermaps
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CIWeather
post Jan 14 2018, 02:21 PM
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QUOTE(grace @ Jan 14 2018, 01:18 PM) *
Would love to see 12z GEFS Ensembles from instantweathermaps


Me too


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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Solution Man
post Jan 14 2018, 02:42 PM
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Liking the radar returns out of Montana/SD/NE
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StL weatherjunki...
post Jan 14 2018, 02:47 PM
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Haven't seen much discussion on the fact that this clipper system could bring accumulating snow to the deep south as well. 12z NAM shows accumulating snows in each of the southern tier states except Florida. Impressive season down south so far.


--------------------
All model guidance is just that, guidance. It is the responsibility of the forecaster to take that information, make it better, and appropriately communicate the improved forecast to users.

We live in a day and age where the quantity of model guidance is overwhelming, particularly within 24 hours of an event. We must remind ourselves that all models are wrong, but some are more useful than others.
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Solution Man
post Jan 14 2018, 02:49 PM
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QUOTE(StL weatherjunkie @ Jan 14 2018, 03:47 PM) *
Haven't seen much discussion on the fact that this clipper system could bring accumulating snow to the deep south as well. 12z NAM shows accumulating snows in each of the southern tier states except Florida. Impressive season down south so far.

Good point
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 14 2018, 02:58 PM
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QUOTE(james812 @ Jan 14 2018, 02:08 PM) *
How many hours does the HRRR go out? This isnít the full duration of the clipper?

18 hours and no it is not the full duration
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 14 2018, 03:01 PM
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the NAM has a strongest single band of the storm in S. ILL/IN this run, 1''+/hr rates in SE IL, before weakening

This post has been edited by ohiobuckeye45: Jan 14 2018, 03:01 PM
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 14 2018, 03:04 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 14 2018, 03:01 PM) *
the NAM has a strongest single band of the storm in S. ILL/IN this run, 1''+/hr rates in SE IL, before weakening


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RobB
post Jan 14 2018, 03:08 PM
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Current advisories:
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 14 2018, 03:10 PM
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wow that band produces a 6'' lollipop in IL
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CIWeather
post Jan 14 2018, 03:09 PM
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QUOTE(RobB @ Jan 14 2018, 02:08 PM) *
Current advisories:


It would be hard for ILX not to hoist one later this afternoon...


--------------------
2016-2017 Fall/Winter Statistics

First Chance of Snow:
First Snowflakes:
First Winter Weather Advisory/Watch/Warning: (Winter Weather Advisory)
First Winter Storm Watch: 1/12/17
First Winter Storm Warning:
First Blizzard Watch/Warning:
# of Winter Storm Watches: 1
# of Winter Storm Warnings:
# of Blizzard Watches/Warnings:

2017 Severe Weather Statistics

First Risk of Severe Weather:
Slight Risks: 3
Enhanced Risks: 1
Moderate Risks: 1
High Risks:

Severe Thunderstorm Watches:
Tornado Watches: 2
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings:
Tornado Warnings:


April 18-19, 2016: 20-year anniversary of back-to-back tornadoes hitting Decatur, IL.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 14 2018, 03:17 PM
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.
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VASnowstormHunte...
post Jan 14 2018, 03:21 PM
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QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ Jan 14 2018, 03:17 PM) *
.


The force of the Cincy/NKY snow dome is strong.

Love how the 3" contour on the NAM literally stops at the KY/OH/IN border. smile.gif
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N.Indianaweather
post Jan 14 2018, 03:20 PM
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Just hoisted



Winter Weather Advisory
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
316 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>080-150430-
/O.NEW.KIWX.WW.Y.0005.180115T0300Z-180116T0000Z/
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-
Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-
White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-
Jay-Berrien-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-
Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,
Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee,
Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Angola, Fremont, Kendallville,
Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Knox, North Judson, Bass Lake,
Winamac, Francesville, Medaryville, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver,
Rochester, Akron, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Syracuse, Mentone,
Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven,
Monticello, Monon, Brookston, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru,
Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington,
Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City,
Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Niles,
Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights, Buchanan,
Paw Paw Lake, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Marcellus, Sturgis,
Three Rivers, White Pigeon, Mendon, Coldwater, and Bronson
316 PM EST Sun Jan 14 2018 /216 PM CST Sun Jan 14 2018/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/
THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Plan on slippery road conditions,
especially during the morning commute on Monday. Total snow
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. Additional lake
effect accumulations are expected Monday night into Tuesday near
Lake Michigan.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and southwest Michigan.

* WHEN...From 10 PM EST /9 PM CST/ this evening to 7 PM EST /6
PM CST/ Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at
times.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means periods of snow will
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered
roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving.

$$
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N.Indianaweather
post Jan 14 2018, 03:25 PM
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Current advisories

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NWOhioChaser
post Jan 14 2018, 03:28 PM
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If Toledo doesn't get at least 1" tomorrow I give up on this winter.
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