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> June 23-July 6 Midwest/Plains/OV/GL Heat Wave, Long-range (6-10 days): forecasts and observations
ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 21 2018, 10:09 PM
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Seeing a brief break from the heat today and through the weekend before the heat returns. The last heat wave brought 6 days above 90F to Cincy (90, 92, 94, 94, 93, 91). Curious how this heat wave will stack up to the previous. Models showing a large 591+dm ridge over the eastern US. Something interesting thrown into this is the -PNA/western trough that they're showing. This could suggest a shorter-lived, more intense heat wave as it's reasonable to assume the trough could break down the eastern ridge.




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Jul 7 2018, 10:17 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 23 2018, 08:51 PM
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Sounding for Cincy next Friday... how pleasant.



--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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Snow____
post Jun 24 2018, 02:53 PM
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I see the mid 90s making a return for next weekend.


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Accuweather please give us our own Midwest area forecaster/video blogger
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 24 2018, 09:24 PM
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QUOTE(Snow____ @ Jun 24 2018, 03:53 PM) *
I see the mid 90s making a return for next weekend.

Only thing I can think of that could save us is convective debris clouds... but with a 594+dm ridge literally centered directly over us, I can't imagine that's very likely.



--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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BrenK10
post Jun 25 2018, 01:35 PM
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I like seeing how hot we can get!
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Snow____
post Jun 25 2018, 04:05 PM
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QUOTE(BrenK10 @ Jun 25 2018, 02:35 PM) *
I like seeing how hot we can get!

Me too when there is nothing else going on.


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nkovatch85
post Jun 25 2018, 08:33 PM
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I would not be shocked if many places hit dew points of 80 or better late this week and into the weekend. There's plenty of moisture in the soil at least up here.


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I wish every day was either a PDS Tornado Watch or a Blizzard Warning...or both.
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Snow____
post Jun 26 2018, 05:41 PM
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QUOTE(nkovatch85 @ Jun 25 2018, 09:33 PM) *
I would not be shocked if many places hit dew points of 80 or better late this week and into the weekend. There's plenty of moisture in the soil at least up here.

That would keep temps down a touch but will be absolutely disgusting.


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Removed_Member_ColoradoChinook_*
post Jun 27 2018, 12:38 AM
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My town hit a 97 (36.1C) on the 6-hr maximum, and 96.0 at the local thermometer at Colorado State. 13% humidity at the time of max temperature.

KFNL 262356Z AUTO 14007KT 10SM CLR 32/07 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03220067 10361 20311 56009

This post has been edited by ColoradoChinook: Jun 27 2018, 12:39 AM
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 27 2018, 02:42 PM
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QUOTE(ColoradoChinook @ Jun 27 2018, 01:38 AM) *
My town hit a 97 (36.1C) on the 6-hr maximum, and 96.0 at the local thermometer at Colorado State. 13% humidity at the time of max temperature.

KFNL 262356Z AUTO 14007KT 10SM CLR 32/07 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03220067 10361 20311 56009

blink.gif

7500 CAPE in Kansas right now. 594dm ridge already exists over the southwest US. It was supposed to storm most of today but that didn't happen. Currently 81/68. Tomorrow's the last sub-90 degree day (87) before we hit a streak of at least 8 90 degree days. Fittingly, today is my last day off until next Friday... so this'll be fun.



This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Jun 27 2018, 02:45 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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Removed_Member_snowlover2_*
post Jun 27 2018, 03:15 PM
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LOT,IWX,and GRR all now have excessive heat watches in place.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 27 2018, 03:42 PM
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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jun 27 2018, 04:15 PM) *
LOT,IWX,and GRR all now have excessive heat watches in place.

QUOTE
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Northern Indiana has issued an
Excessive Heat Watch...which is in effect from Friday afternoon
through Saturday evening.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER...

* Temperatures are expected to rise into the lower to mid 90s
Friday and Saturday with heat indices from around 100 to near
110.


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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Removed_Member_ColoradoChinook_*
post Jun 27 2018, 09:46 PM
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Update. My town was 93.7 briefly at the Colorado State location, and KFNL airport has hit 100 in the sub-hourly max. (37.8 celsius)

KFNL 272356Z AUTO 07011KT 10SM CLR 32/09 A2996 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SW SLP075 T03220089 10378 20322 55001
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 28 2018, 12:07 AM
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'tis the season



--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 18 (Last: 7/14/18) (Highest: 96°)
Days <0°: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7°)
Marginal risks: 19 (Last: 7/10/18)
Slight risks: 6 (Last: 6/26/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 2 (Last: 7/20/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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Snow____
post Jun 28 2018, 10:20 PM
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wonder why there aren’t any heat products out here in ILN. Are the heat index values not expected to cross the 100 threshold?

This post has been edited by Snow____: Jun 28 2018, 10:20 PM


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kpk33x
post Jun 29 2018, 09:41 AM
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QUOTE(Snow____ @ Jun 28 2018, 10:20 PM) *
wonder why there aren’t any heat products out here in ILN. Are the heat index values not expected to cross the 100 threshold?


We have them to your west. Excessive Heat Warning for ILX for heat indices around 110F for the next two days. But actual temps in the mid 90s and today with a breeze, so it certainly isn't the end of the world.

Nothing like that day in July 2011 when we hit 106F in southern PA.


--------------------
Spring/Summer 2018 - Mahomet, IL

# of 90 degree days to date: 11

Highest temp to date: 97F (Mahomet), 96F (Airport)

# of severe events/description to date: 3
5/9 - severe warned T-storm - wind/pea sized hail.
6/10 - severe T-storm - lightning/heavy rain.
6/10 - tornado warning - lightning/heavy rain/40-50 MPH winds
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Juniorrr
post Jun 29 2018, 11:13 AM
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We bake.. for the next week+

This post has been edited by Juniorrr: Jun 29 2018, 11:14 AM
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Snow____
post Jun 29 2018, 12:41 PM
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Even CLE has Heat advisories for tomorrow. Maybe ILN will follow suit.


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stxprowl
post Jun 29 2018, 09:48 PM
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ValpoSnow
post Jun 29 2018, 09:56 PM
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It's 10 PM. It's 89º.
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