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> July 6 Severe Wx Threat Mid Atl/NE, Day 2
Miller A
post Jul 5 2018, 11:14 AM
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First attempt at starting a thread. Post away! The FROPA will create for a beautiful weekend. Headed to Citifield Saturdday for Jacob deGromm Bobblehead Day. Just not sure if this threat will wash him away to the Bronx but then!!

I guess a Severe map rather than a rain map would have been better. I am searching

This post has been edited by Miller A: Jul 5 2018, 11:18 AM
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TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"

같같같같같같같같같같같같같같같
Alt 248 = degrees symbol
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Undertakerson
post Jul 5 2018, 02:54 PM
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QUOTE(Miller A @ Jul 5 2018, 12:14 PM) *
First attempt at starting a thread. Post away! The FROPA will create for a beautiful weekend. Headed to Citifield Saturdday for Jacob deGromm Bobblehead Day. Just not sure if this threat will wash him away to the Bronx but then!!

I guess a Severe map rather than a rain map would have been better. I am searching

Thumbs up! I'll add the disco from SPC

QUOTE
Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 PM CDT Thu Jul 05 2018

Valid 061200Z - 071200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND AND NORTHWEST MT...

...SUMMARY...
A few strong storms may be possible across New England Friday
morning, accompanied by a localized threat for gusty winds. One or
two strong thunderstorms may develop Friday afternoon near the
Alberta border of northwest Montana.

...New England...

Strong mid-level height falls will spread across New England early
in the period ahead of a short-wave trough. Associated surface front
is forecast to extend from northern ME into NY at 12z...progressing
to near the coast of ME by early afternoon. Convection will likely
be ongoing at the start of the period and extensive clouds and poor
lapse rates will not be particularly favorable for robust updrafts.
However, increasing bulk shear will aid the potential for some
organization and gusty winds could accompany the stronger
thunderstorms. Primary risk for this marginal threat will be with
frontal convection that spreads across the region early in the
period.

...Northwest MT...

Dominant upper ridge is forecast to flatten across AB/northwest MT
during the latter half of the period. While the strongest
large-scale forcing will remain north of the international border it
appears there may be some risk for one or two storms to develop near
the AB/SK border of northwest MT as surface temperatures soar into
the lower 90s. If convection is able to develop across this region
it will remain quite isolated in nature. Given the expected large
temp-dew point spreads gusty winds would be the primary threat.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado: <2% - None
Wind: 5% - Marginal
Hail: <5% - None

..Darrow.. 07/05/2018

May as well add the map
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telejunkie
post Jul 5 2018, 03:15 PM
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Well just had an intense 5 minute downpour....sun came out at the end of the downpour, got an awesome rainbow to show for it

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Jul 5 2018, 03:22 PM


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Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5
12/12 - 9 1/17 - 7 3/2 -7
12/22 - 5 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9 3/13-3/15 - 17

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
밯e are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be -Vonnegut
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Miller A
post Jul 5 2018, 04:20 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Jul 5 2018, 04:15 PM) *
Well just had an intense 5 minute downpour....sun came out at the end of the downpour, got an awesome rainbow to show for it


Should I change the thread to include today? LOLOL


--------------------
TOTAL 2017-18: 52.35"
TOTAL 2016-17: 52.75"
TOTAL 2015-16: 17.90"
TOTAL 2014-15: 51.10"
TOTAL 2013-14: 62.10"
TOTAL 2012-13: 46.00"
TOTAL 2011-12: 18.05"

TOTAL 2010-11: 52.40"
TOTAL 2009-10: 64.00"

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