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> July 21-22, 2018 MidAtl/NE Coastal Storm, Short Range Forecasts - Observations
stretchct
post Jul 21 2018, 08:35 PM
Post #41




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Last couple of obs.

Prime Hook Beach, DE has 36mph sustained winds
https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weath...localwx_pwsdash

Brandywine Shoals has 35kt sustained winds, gusts to 40kts
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=brnd1

Western LI sound is seeing gusts in the 30kt range
https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44040


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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MaineJay
post Jul 21 2018, 08:48 PM
Post #42




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Apparently, the HRRR goes out to 36 hours now. UTS will be thrilled. laugh.gif

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https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/mo...72200&fh=17


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stretchct
post Jul 21 2018, 08:48 PM
Post #43




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Satellite


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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ValpoSnow
post Jul 21 2018, 09:24 PM
Post #44




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QUOTE(MaineJay @ Jul 21 2018, 08:48 PM) *
Apparently, the HRRR goes out to 36 hours now. UTS will be thrilled. laugh.gif


Only 0z/6z/12z/18z
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Undertakerson
post Jul 22 2018, 05:42 AM
Post #45




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QUOTE(stxprowl @ Jul 21 2018, 09:02 PM) *
http://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/m...503&yr=2018
[attachment=357051:BE77614B...6525971B.png]

Over 3" of rain yesterday - much of it fell during the soiree last evening. That made for a challenging "Summer Bash", but we managed to have a great time, regardless.

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NorEaster07
post Jul 22 2018, 06:54 AM
Post #46




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3:40-7:40am loop. Precip moving north over North Carolina while south over Indiana. Upper Low spinning over the Ohio Valley.



Upper Heights

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PoconoSnow
post Jul 22 2018, 06:56 AM
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Pws recorded .88" of rain falling yesterday and .64" of rain falling after midnight for a total of 1.52" of precipitation

Radar looks to have cleared for the time being



Hrrr is displaying a chance for some thunderstorms in the afternoon into the evening



Spc conv

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PoconoSnow
post Jul 22 2018, 06:57 AM
Post #48




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Gonna miss this place sad.gif


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KENNYP2339
post Jul 22 2018, 07:05 AM
Post #49




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Storm got / being absorbed into the ohio valley low? we didn't really get as much rain as was predicted, but still a hair under 3/4" which is great
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yamvmax
post Jul 22 2018, 07:09 AM
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Wound up with a whopping 1/2 inch last night. Mostly a wind event here on the island.
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 09:14 AM
Post #51




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Rainfall so far. I was concerned with Ellicot City again. They just reopened Main St from the May flood. As of last nights news, they were ok.

Attached Image


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 10:41 AM
Post #52




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CT Top totals
CONNECTICUT
...Fairfield County...
3 NW Monroe 1.27 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
1 ENE Norwalk 1.06 804 AM 7/22 CWOP
...Middlesex County...
Higganum 1.58 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
Portland 1.32 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
...New Haven County...
Seymour 1.36 700 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
1 NNE Ansonia 1.23 732 AM 7/22 MESOWEST
Waterbury Airport 1.20 751 AM 7/22 AWOS
...New London County...
New London 1.21 830 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
New London 1.17 715 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
...Litchfield County...
2 NW Terryville 1.25 814 AM 7/22 CWOP
Litchfield 1.12 803 AM 7/22 AWS
I didn't find a PIS or storm report for rain out of Norton/Boston NWS office.
For winds, BDR's 3 day history has 39mph gusts and the Upton PIS has Groton at 44mph.


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 10:49 AM
Post #53




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Mt Holly top storm totals
DELAWARE

...Kent County...
1 NNW Milford 4.19 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
.New Castle County...
Hockessin 2.36 800 AM 7/22 Trained Spotter
...Sussex County...
Laurel 2.64 400 AM 7/22 DEOS

MARYLAND
...Caroline County...
Tuckahoe 2.55 716 AM 7/22 RAWS
...Cecil County...
Kemblesville 2.31 813 AM 7/22 CWOP
... Queen Anne`s County...
Stevensville 3.32 500 AM 7/22 Mesonet
...Talbot County...
Saint Michaels SW 3.19 822 AM 7/22 CWOP

S NEW JERSEY
...Atlantic County...
1 NW Egg Harbor Twp 2.07 700 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
...Burlington County...
Medford Lakes 2.20 803 AM 7/22 AWS
...Cape May County...
Wildwood Crest 3.28 955 AM 7/22 Storm total rainfall.
...Cumberland County...
Greenwich 2.39 800 AM 7/22 NJWXNET
...Monmouth County...
Englishtown (LaFayet 1.76 803 AM 7/22 AWS
...Ocean County...
2 NW Stafford Twp. 2.42 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
...Salem County...
6 W Alloway 1.96 800 AM 7/22 CoCoRaHS
PENNSYLVANIA

...Berks County...
Reading (Mifflin) 2.16 803 AM 7/22 AWS
...Bucks County...
Line Lexington 2.02 802 AM 7/22 CWOP
...Carbon County...
Jim Thorpe 2.24 803 AM 7/22 AWS
...Chester County...
Kennett Square 2.89 824 AM 7/22 CWOP
...Delaware County...
2 WNW Elam 2.08 730 AM 7/22 HADS

...Northampton County...
Nazareth (MS) 2.56 803 AM 7/22 AWS


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 10:49 AM
Post #54




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Top winds out of Mt Holly region.
DELAWARE

...Kent County...
Dover 47 931 PM 7/21 AWOS

...Sussex County...
Lewes 49 1007 PM 7/21 WXFLOW
Lewes NOS 47 936 PM 7/21 NOS-NWLON

NEW JERSEY

...Atlantic County...
Pleasantville Point 51 1127 PM 7/21 WXFLOW
Atlantic City Intern 47 1158 PM 7/21 ASOS
Forsythe 45 1225 AM 7/22 RAWS

...Cape May County...
Ocean City 49 1107 PM 7/21 WXFLOW
Sea Isle City 45 1112 PM 7/21 NWS Employee

...Middlesex County...
Perth Amboy 50 201 AM 7/22 WXFLOW

...Monmouth County...
Sandy Hook 51 205 AM 7/22 WXFLOW
Sea Girt 48 205 AM 7/22 NJWXNET

...Ocean County...
Tuckerton 58 1217 AM 7/22 WXFLOW
Mantoloking 50 138 AM 7/22 WXFLOW
Rutgers 50 1237 AM 7/22 WXFLOW
Beach Haven 48 1244 AM 7/22 CWOP
Seaside Heights 47 137 AM 7/22 WXFLOW
Harvey Cedars 46 120 AM 7/22 NJWXNET
North Beach Haven 45 1145 PM 7/21 CWOP


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 10:55 AM
Post #55




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Couldn't find where Wakefield puts their storm reports. Swear they do things differently in each office just to frustrate me.

Here is the 24 hr roundup though - 5" at Dulles ohmy.gif
Regional Max/min Temperature And Pcpn Table
National Weather Service Wakefield Va
817 AM EDT Sun Jul 22 2018

:...Full Time Stations...

High temp yesterday/ low temperature the past 12 hours and
Precipitation the past 24 hours through 7 AM EST/8 AM EDT.

.B AKQ 0722 DH07/TX/DH12/TAIRZP/PPD
: 24 hr
:Id Station High Low Pcpn
RIC : Richmond VA : 73 / 65 / 1.28
OFP : Hanover VA : 72 / 63 / 1.54
DCA : Washington DC : 75 / 65 / 4.00
IAD : Dulles Airport : 74 / 60 / 5.02
PHF : Newport News VA : 78 / 66 / 1.16
ORF : Norfolk VA : 79 / 69 / 1.18
AKQ : Wakefield VA : 74 / 66 / 1.84
WAL : Wallops Island VA : 78 / 70 / 1.77
SBY : Salisbury MD : 76 / 69 / 1.16
OXB : Ocean City MD : 76 / 71 / 1.49
ECG : Elizabeth City NC : 82 / 71 / 0.54


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 11:04 AM
Post #56




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DC/Baltimore reports https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=20180...X-NOUS41-PNSLWX

CODE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...
   WASHINGTON 1 E        4.64  1125 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER    
MARYLAND

...ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY...
   LINTHICUM             5.79  1205 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER      
...BALTIMORE COUNTY...
   MIDDLE RIVER 1 N      3.00   922 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER  
...BALTIMORE CITY...
   PIMLICO  SE           2.21  1030 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
...CALVERT COUNTY...
   PRINCE FREDERICK 1 S  6.39  1104 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER    
...CARROLL COUNTY...
   WESTMINSTER 2 SE      4.22  1011 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER
...CHARLES COUNTY...
   RIPLEY 1 S            7.00   915 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER        
   WICOMICO 1 E          5.63   838 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER        
...FREDERICK COUNTY...
   POINT OF ROCKS 1 NE   4.98  1000 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER  
...HOWARD COUNTY...
   ROXBURY MILLS 2 ESE   3.02  1009 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER  
  ...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
   WASHINGTON GROVE 1 N  6.50  1101 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER    
...PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY...
   CHELTENHAM 1 NNE      5.50  1030 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER    
...ST. MARYS COUNTY...
   CALIFORNIA 2 W        5.56   733 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER  
  ...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
   BOONSBORO 3 NNE       3.95   130 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER    
VIRGINIA

...ARLINGTON COUNTY...
   REAGAN NATIONAL AIRP  4.00  1200 AM  7/22  ASOS              
...CITY OF ALEXANDRIA...
   ALEXANDRIA 1 ESE      4.00   938 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER        
  ...FAIRFAX COUNTY...
   BURKE 1 S             7.15   715 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER        
   FAIRFAX STATION 1 SE  5.71  1058 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER
...KING GEORGE COUNTY...
   JERSEY                5.00  1207 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER      
...LOUDOUN COUNTY...
   STERLING PARK 2 ENE   6.23  1159 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER        
   STERLING PARK 1 E     5.75   645 AM  7/22  TRAINED SPOTTER      
...PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY...
   DUMFRIES 1 ENE        5.75  1030 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER      
...STAFFORD COUNTY...
   SPRING VALLEY 1 SSW   5.88  1050 PM  7/21  TRAINED SPOTTER


Should note that there are also quite a few 24 hr rain totals also in that report that exceed 7"


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jul 22 2018, 11:10 AM
Post #57




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Could be some interesting things happening with this batch that looks to hit eastern LI and SNE. Though the HRRR poo poos it.



Its one of those suns out, raining out, suns out again days. Heating up now. 78 with a DP of 74


--------------------



First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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PoconoSnow
post Jul 22 2018, 12:56 PM
Post #58




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12z hdrps looked straight up nasty for epa



If this even verifies close to what it shows there will be some fireworks

The nam was more accurate with the precip from the coastal so grain of salt with this

Hrrr and nam not very exciting until late night

Current radar



Looks in between all guidance, wait and see approach on this







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http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ensembletraining/
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phillyfan
post Jul 22 2018, 01:27 PM
Post #59




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QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Jul 22 2018, 01:56 PM) *
12z hdrps looked straight up nasty for epa



If this even verifies close to what it shows there will be some fireworks

The nam was more accurate with the precip from the coastal so grain of salt with this

Hrrr and nam not very exciting until late night

Current radar



Looks in between all guidance, wait and see approach on this


Got some light rain here now. Definitely looks interesting on the HRRR later tonight. Just spent part of the morning standing my cornstalks up. Either the heavy rain or the wind knocked them down.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
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PoconoSnow
post Jul 22 2018, 01:58 PM
Post #60




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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Jul 22 2018, 02:27 PM) *
Got some light rain here now. Definitely looks interesting on the HRRR later tonight. Just spent part of the morning standing my cornstalks up. Either the heavy rain or the wind knocked them down.


My corn did ok. Lost a couple sunflowers and blew over and tilted a couple tomato plants i don't have caged. They were misfit plants i decided to plant in a spot that's not normally used.

I was gonna see if i could get a quick cut in but weather did not permit. Instead I harvested a large basil plant and im in process of stripping, washing and drying.... heyo. laugh.gif

All this rain made my second batch of lettuce germinate in like two days. Getting some garden tomatos now too. Been a good year so far for the gardeners as long as you made sure to keep the soil watered.


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