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snowlover2
Posted on: Today, 01:02 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Osceola IA for 6/20/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330338 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:04 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jun 19 2018, 01:57 PM) *
About to get rain something fierce shortly here. Getting very dark with thunder. Radar shows i'm about to get trained. Flash flooding could be an issue.

Man its pouring like crazy and winds are easily 40mph if not higher.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330317 · Replies: · Views: 428

snowlover2
Posted on: Yesterday, 12:57 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


About to get rain something fierce shortly here. Getting very dark with thunder. Radar shows i'm about to get trained. Flash flooding could be an issue.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330316 · Replies: · Views: 428

snowlover2
Posted on: Yesterday, 11:32 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Storms popping now in IN/OH.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330315 · Replies: · Views: 428

snowlover2
Posted on: Yesterday, 11:16 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


June 18 Single Day Standings

ColoradoChinook, Pittsfield MA - 6pts
snowlover2, Waterbury VT - 4pts
melissa from illinois, Norfolk NE - 2pts
WeatherDudeNYC, Hartford VT - 1pt
idecline, Dayton OH - 0pts
joseph507123, Newport VT - 0pts


2018 Overall Round 1 Standings Through June 18


1. ColoradoChinook - 239pts
2. melissa from illinois - 214pts
3. snowlover2 - 212pts
4. joseph507123 - 178pts
5. WeatherDudeNYC - 168pts
6. andyhb - 110pts
7. idecline - 94pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330314 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Yesterday, 12:51 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Eads CO for 6/19/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330297 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 11:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Jun 19 2018, 12:32 AM) *
A nice stationary front is going to set up generally around the I70 corridor. A low is finally gonna form in the Plains near the end of the week to move it out of here. The pattern is prime for Midwest/Corn Belt/OV rain. However, I will say, the expected amount of convection is probably going to throw some wrenches into the forecast. Debris clouds may hinder heating that would otherwise encourage storm development. On the flip side, outflow boundaries could focus/enhance storm coverage and rainfall totals.


Local met Eric Elwell mentioned flash flood potential tomorrow(well later today now) since the storms are going to have seriously heavy rains with all this moisture in the atmosphere. Could be a fun day.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330295 · Replies: · Views: 428

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 11:19 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


June 17 Single Day Standings

snowlover2, Ladysmith WI - 2pts
idecline, Watertown SD - 0pts
ColoradoChinook, Canton SD - 0pts
joseph507123, Le Center MN - 0pts
melissa from illinois, Minneapolis MN - 0pts
WeatherDudeNYC, Minneapolis MN - 0pts


2018 Overall Round 1 Standings Through June 17


1. ColoradoChinook - 233pts
2. melissa from illinois - 212pts
3. snowlover2 - 208pts
4. joseph507123 - 178pts
5. WeatherDudeNYC - 167pts
6. andyhb - 110pts
7. idecline - 94pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330272 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 10:35 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


As of 11am, Dayton is at 87 with DP of 79 for HI of 101. Just plain nasty out there.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330270 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 01:04 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Waterbury VT for 6/18/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330258 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 17 2018, 11:44 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Almost 1am and it's 79 with DP of 77. Just miserable.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330256 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 17 2018, 11:32 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


June 16 Single Day Standings

WeatherDudeNYC, Fergus Falls MN - 2pts
idecline, Eden Prairie MN - 0pts
ColoradoChinook, Little Falls MN - 0pts
joseph507123, Cass Lake MN - 0pts
snowlover2, Wabedo MN - 0pts
andyhb, Nisswa MN - 0pts
melissa from illinois, Duluth MN - 0pts


2018 Overall Round 1 Standings Through June 16


1. ColoradoChinook - 233pts
2. melissa from illinois - 212pts
3. snowlover2 - 206pts
4. joseph507123 - 178pts
5. WeatherDudeNYC - 167pts
6. andyhb - 110pts
7. idecline - 94pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330235 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 17 2018, 12:54 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Ladysmith WI for 6/17/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330228 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 10:02 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Jun 16 2018, 09:36 PM) *
'tis the season. Can't entirely rule out strong/severe storms when the heat index is in the upper 90's.

Never hurts to have an unexpected OFB in the area too.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330226 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 03:11 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


QUOTE(Juniorrr @ Jun 16 2018, 04:01 PM) *
Lots of lightning with the middle and eastern most cell... very slow movers, anvil overhead atm.

Been getting some really loud thunder here. The east most cell is literally just NW of me but hardly moving.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330214 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 02:47 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


New warning issued including Dayton and my area.

QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
345 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Greene County in west central Ohio...
Montgomery County in west central Ohio...

* Until 415 PM EDT.

* At 344 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Trotwood,
moving southeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotter reported half dollar size hail.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Dayton, Kettering, Beavercreek, Huber Heights, Fairborn, Trotwood,
Miamisburg, Vandalia, Englewood, Moraine, Oakwood, Wright-Patterson
Afb, West Carrollton, Riverside, Clayton, Union, Brookville, New
Lebanon, Farmersville and Shiloh.

This includes the following Interstates...
I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 18 and 37.
I-75 in Ohio between mile markers 45 and 62.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330211 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 02:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Looks like other cells are popping up on either side of the severe cell.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330209 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 02:35 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Already got a report of 1.25" hail in Brookville.

QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
331 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2018

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL BROOKVILLE 39.84N 84.42W
06/16/2018 E1.25 INCH MONTGOMERY OH TRAINED SPOTTER
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330208 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 02:31 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Cell popped up WNW of Dayton and just went severe. Barely moving too.

QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
328 PM EDT SAT JUN 16 2018

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
East central Preble County in west central Ohio...
Northwestern Montgomery County in west central Ohio...

* Until 345 PM EDT.

* At 327 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lewisburg,
moving southeast at 5 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Spotter reported half dollar size hail.

IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vehicles is possible. Expect wind
damage to trees and power lines.

* Locations impacted include...
Trotwood, Englewood, Clayton, Union, Brookville, New Lebanon,
Phillipsburg, Pyrmont and Northview.

This includes I-70 in Ohio between mile markers 16 and 30.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330206 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 11:27 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


June 15 Single Day Standings

WeatherDudeNYC, Proctor MN - 2pts
idecline, Eau Claire WI - 0pts
ColoradoChinook, Pine City MN - 0pts
snowlover2, Luck WI - 0pts
joseph507123, Eau Claire WI - 0pts


2018 Overall Round 1 Standings Through June 15


1. ColoradoChinook - 233pts
2. melissa from illinois - 212pts
3. snowlover2 - 206pts
4. joseph507123 - 178pts
5. WeatherDudeNYC - 165pts
6. andyhb - 110pts
7. idecline - 94pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330204 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 10:57 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


QUOTE(idecline @ Jun 13 2018, 08:57 PM) *
Velva, ND on 06/14/2018

Eau Claire, WI on 06/15/2018

Eden Prairie, MN on 06/16/2018

Watertown, SD on 06/17/2018

Dayton, OH on 06/18/2018

  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330203 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 10:49 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


ILN also has a very good write up in the AFD concerning today's big flip from dry to now having storms.

QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
943 AM EDT Sat Jun 16 2018



.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
My how things have changed.....

A lot to digest early this morning both observationally and
through NWP when diagnosing the potential for convection this
afternoon and evening. GOES 16 channels showing rapidly
weakening MCS across MI this morning but a very apparent
compact MCV left behind over lower MI, churning southeast with
storms on its wrn and southeastern flank. MCS outflow has surged
south into the ILN CWA on a Richmond IN to Delaware OH line,
with accas billowing along it. Area radar VWPs do show stronger
mid level flow /30kt/ in proximity to the MCV vs further south
over southern OH. The 16.12Z KILN sounding was not unstable
/yet/ with modest mid-level lapse rates and weak flow throughout
the troposphere, however RAP soundings immediately west of here
/Indiana/ show a large pool of instability lies just upstream.

Through tonight - while highly performing global models /ECMWF/
have a dry forecast through tonight - the convective-permitting
forecast guidance is much less optimistic. There seems to be a
growing consensus of 3-4km guidance which initiates convection
this afternoon over northern/central Ohio as the wrn flank of
the MCV grazes the forecast area with stronger flow/forcing.
This will be allowed due to the orientation of the mid-level
ridge - such that as the MCV churns southeast this morning - it
will turn more decidedly SSE this afternoon in a weakness on the
backside of the ridge. Thus, given the large pool of CAPE over
Indiana poised and ready to move on weak swly low level flow -
rapid destabilization is expected through early afternoon north
of the dying outflow.

Due to weak forcing overall, hour-to-hour consistency via
HRRR/RAP and other convective permitting guidance is poor on
location/timing - but the picture is pretty clear that
convection will be in the ILN CWA this afternoon and evening -
and storm motions will be chaotic owing to a larger instability
reservoir to the west, prevailing mid level winds pushing
southeast, and outflow which will tend to be on NW-SE axis.
Expect cores to move south/southeast - but net motion of
clusters will probably /at the end of the day/ show some form of
south to southwest net propagation - and this is clearly shown
by Corfidi vector changes through the day which end up pointing
southwest by this evening.

Hazard will be almost-primarily limited to isolated/scattered damaging
wind gusts with consolidating cores/outflow. This will be most
prevalent along/west of I-71 where numerous downdraft parameters
are aligned to showing greater threat. Deep layer flow is
generally weak, with some modest enhancement due to the MCV in
the 3-4km layer which may help add a bit of organization. But
with very weak low level flow, outflows will be quick to race
out ahead of convection. Increased rain chances most locations,
with minimums in the Scioto Valley and northern Kentucky, and
highest in central/west-central Ohio into southeast Indiana.

This activity should very rapidly weaken past 7 PM or so with
the onset of nocturnal cooling and a decoupling boundary layer
and very little feed of theta-e above the inversion. Knocked a
few degrees off the highs esp north of I-70 this afternoon.

Quiet conditions are expected tonight, though it will be a very
warm night, with temps near 70 and dewpoints in the mid 60s.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330202 · Replies: · Views: 1,183

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 16 2018, 01:08 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Wabedo MN for 6/16/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330194 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 15 2018, 01:10 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


June 14 Single Day Standings

snowlover2, Bottineau ND - 8pts
joseph507123, Bottineau ND - 8pts
melissa from illinois, Minot ND - 5pts
WeatherDudeNYC, Coteau ND - 3pts
idecline, Velva ND - 1pt
ColoradoChinook, Bison SD - 1pt
andyhb, Jamestown ND - 0pts


2018 Overall Round 1 Standings Through June 14


1. ColoradoChinook - 233pts
2. melissa from illinois - 212pts
3. snowlover2 - 206pts
4. joseph507123 - 178pts
5. WeatherDudeNYC - 163pts
6. andyhb - 110pts
7. idecline - 94pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330187 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

snowlover2
Posted on: Jun 15 2018, 01:03 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 18,566
Joined: 30-December 08
From: Dayton,OH
Member No.: 16,713


Luck WI for 6/15/18.
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2330175 · Replies: · Views: 15,408

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