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> Predict 2012-13 Snowfall For I-95 Cities
2012-13 Snowfall For I-95 Cities
Boston, MA
5-20" [ 3 ] ** [14.29%]
20-35" [ 4 ] ** [19.05%]
35-45" (Average: 42") [ 8 ] ** [38.10%]
45-60" [ 5 ] ** [23.81%]
60"+ [ 1 ] ** [4.76%]
New York, NY
5-15" [ 5 ] ** [23.81%]
15-25" [ 4 ] ** [19.05%]
25-35" (Average: 28") [ 11 ] ** [52.38%]
35-45" [ 1 ] ** [4.76%]
45"+ [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Philadelphia, PA
<10" [ 4 ] ** [19.05%]
10-20" [ 9 ] ** [42.86%]
20-30" (Average: 20") [ 6 ] ** [28.57%]
30-40" [ 2 ] ** [9.52%]
40"+ [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Washington DC
<5" [ 2 ] ** [9.52%]
5-15" [ 15 ] ** [71.43%]
15-25" (Average: 16") [ 4 ] ** [19.05%]
25-35" [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
35"+ [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
Total Votes: 21
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NYCSuburbs
post Dec 6 2012, 12:57 PM
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As we still have time until there's actually a chance for a winter-like pattern, I thought it'd be interesting to open a poll about how much snow will fall along the I-95 corridor major cities this winter; total includes what already fell until this point (4.7" in Central Park). Poll closes on 12/15.

Used this site for average snowfall - used National for Washington DC

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Dec 6 2012, 12:58 PM
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LoveNYCSnow
post Dec 6 2012, 01:09 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Dec 6 2012, 12:57 PM) *
As we still have time until there's actually a chance for a winter-like pattern, I thought it'd be interesting to open a poll about how much snow will fall along the I-95 corridor major cities this winter; total includes what already fell until this point (4.7" in Central Park). Poll closes on 12/15.

Used this site for average snowfall - used National for Washington DC


If the gradient pattern that I think may get going in the 2nd half of December happens, that should favor a possibly good second half of December for Boston. NYC I would have made lower except I am factoring in the 4.7 inches they already have which should get them to at least around average for the winter.

This post has been edited by LoveNYCSnow: Dec 6 2012, 01:18 PM


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 7 2013, 01:06 AM
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I know the ending date was a while ago but this is where the votes currently stand compared to current OBS.

Total snow through January 6:

Boston ................... 3.8" ...... 9.0" below avg
NYC ........................ 5.1" ...... 1.2" below avg
Philadelphia ......... 1.1" ...... 3.6" below avg
Washington DC ... 0.2" ...... 3.3" below avg

Additional snow required to reach majority forecast from poll, and percentage reached so far:

Boston ................... 31-41" ........ 8-11% of forecast
NYC ........................ 20-30" ....... 15-20% of forecast
Philadelphia ......... 9-19" .......... 5-11% of forecast
Washington DC ... 5-15" ......... 1-4% of forecast

Attached File  poll.PNG ( 31.05K ) Number of downloads: 0


This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Jan 7 2013, 01:15 AM
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 18 2013, 03:16 PM
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Update through today... only Boston has added snowfall, NYC through DC will have to wait a while, NYC until next week, Philly-DC until afterwards. We could see some of those numbers spike in late January and February, the question is by how much.

Total snow through January 18:

Boston ................... 7.0" ...... 10.6" below avg
NYC ........................ 5.1" ...... 3.7" below avg
Philadelphia ......... 1.1" ...... 5.7" below avg
Washington DC ... 0.2" ...... 5.2" below avg

Additional snow required to reach majority forecast from poll, and percentage reached so far:

Boston ................... 28-38" ........ 16-20% of forecast
NYC ........................ 20-30" ....... 15-20% of forecast
Philadelphia ......... 9-19" .......... 5-11% of forecast
Washington DC ... 5-15" ......... 1-4% of forecast
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d-_-b
post Jan 22 2013, 02:16 PM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ Jan 18 2013, 03:16 PM) *
Update through today... only Boston has added snowfall, NYC through DC will have to wait a while, NYC until next week, Philly-DC until afterwards. We could see some of those numbers spike in late January and February, the question is by how much.

Total snow through January 18:

Boston ................... 7.0" ...... 10.6" below avg
NYC ........................ 5.1" ...... 3.7" below avg
Philadelphia ......... 1.1" ...... 5.7" below avg
Washington DC ... 0.2" ...... 5.2" below avg

Additional snow required to reach majority forecast from poll, and percentage reached so far:

Boston ................... 28-38" ........ 16-20% of forecast
NYC ........................ 20-30" ....... 15-20% of forecast
Philadelphia ......... 9-19" .......... 5-11% of forecast
Washington DC ... 5-15" ......... 1-4% of forecast


How ugly! Not looking likely for Boston, that's for sure.

I'd go ahead and make my early final call for Boston to be on par with last year's 15.5".


--------------------
2017-18: 0.0"
Departure from seasonal average (~45"): -45"
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Jan 22 2013, 03:03 PM
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Freehold now has 15" after the 1.5" last night..


--------------------
Seasonal Snowfall 95/96-Current

2016-2017 Snowfall 160.2
2015-2016 Snowfall 106.2"
Source

Top 5 snowiest winters of the past 20 years

1)95/96- 273.9"
2)03/04- 255.4"
3)10/11- 247.3"
4)00/01- 244.0"
5)06/07- 232.6"

My PWS
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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 29 2013, 08:29 PM
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Total snow through January 29:

Boston ................... 8.6" ...... 13.8" below avg
NYC ........................ 6.6" ...... 5.0" below avg
Philadelphia ......... 4.2" ...... 5.4" below avg
Washington DC ... 1.1" ...... 6.8" below avg

Additional snow required to reach the winter total average from this point:

Boston ................... 33.6" ........ 20% of average
NYC ........................ 21.8" ....... 23% of average
Philadelphia ......... 16.3" .......... 20% of average
Washington DC ... 15.5" ......... 6% of average

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Jan 29 2013, 08:30 PM
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NYCSuburbs
post Feb 13 2013, 12:40 AM
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Total snow through February 12: (will be updated after tomorrow night's snow)

Boston ................... 35.6" ...... 7.8" above avg
NYC ........................ 18.8" ...... 2.0" above avg
Philadelphia ......... 6.8" ...... 7.5" below avg
Washington DC ... 1.5" ...... 9.6" below avg

Additional snow required to reach the winter total average from this point:

Boston ................... 6.6" ........ 84% of average
NYC ........................ 9.6" ....... 66% of average
Philadelphia ......... 13.7" .......... 33% of average
Washington DC ... 15.1" ......... 9% of average
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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 1 2013, 12:48 AM
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Total snow through February 28:

Boston ................... 42.8" ...... 8.7" above avg
NYC ........................ 18.8" ...... 2.5" below avg
Philadelphia ......... 7.0" ...... 12.0" below avg
Washington DC ... 1.5" ...... 12.6" below avg

Additional snow required to reach the winter total average from this point:

Boston ................... +0.6" ...... 101% of average (above)
NYC ........................ 9.6" ....... 66% of average
Philadelphia ......... 13.5" .......... 34% of average
Washington DC ... 15.1" ......... 9% of average

Since the last update over 1/2 month ago, no snow fell in NYC and DC. With the lack of snow in NYC, only Boston remains with above average snowfall, and has now surpassed its seasonal average. 0.2" fell in Philly and Boston was the winner with 7.2". Overall an inactive February after the blizzard.
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SnowMan11
post Mar 18 2013, 10:39 PM
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26.1 for NYC. Above average.


--------------------
Anthony
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NYCSuburbs
post Mar 20 2013, 01:09 AM
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Total snow through March 20:

Boston ................... 63.1" ...... 23.4" above avg
NYC ........................ 26.1" ...... 1.8" above avg
Philadelphia ......... 7.2" ...... 14.1" below avg
Washington DC ... 1.7" ...... 13.5" below avg

Additional snow required to reach the winter total average from this point:

Boston ................... +20.9" ...... 150% of average (above)
NYC ........................ +1.0" ....... 104% of average (above)
Philadelphia ......... 13.3" .......... 35% of average
Washington DC ... 14.9" ......... 10% of average

Boston has clearly been the big winner this winter especially with the surprise major 3/8 snowstorm, and is now at 63.1" for the season, putting it 20.9" (150%) above the average seasonal snowfall. NYC also got snow from the 3/8 storm and a few other events, adding up to 26.1", which officially puts it at 1" above average for the season to date total. Meanwhile, the Mid Atlantic remains the screw zones, with only 0.2" of additional snow in Philadelphia and DC, despite the much-hyped 3/6 storm that was forecast to bring several inches of snow. Since the 2/8-9 storm, these two locations have hardly received any accumulating snow.

*The average previously used for NYC was inaccurate. According to the newest climo reports from the NWS, Central Park averages 25.1" per winter.

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Apr 7 2013, 01:21 PM
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d-_-b
post Apr 3 2013, 11:38 AM
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Lesson learned! No need to make ANY final calls for winter in January. Glad some of us bounced back and ended the season well.


--------------------
2017-18: 0.0"
Departure from seasonal average (~45"): -45"
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NYCSuburbs
post Apr 7 2013, 01:29 PM
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Total snow through April 7:

Boston ................... 63.4" ...... 20.8" above avg
NYC ........................ 26.1" ...... 0.7" above avg
Philadelphia ......... 8.3" ...... 13.8" below avg
Washington DC ... 3.5" ...... 12.3" below avg

Departure from the total winter average (different calculation from previous updates):

Boston ................... +20.9" ...... 148% of average (above)
NYC ........................ +0.7" ....... 102% of average (above)
Philadelphia ......... 13.8" .......... 38% of average
Washington DC ... 12.3" ......... 22% of average

This winter came a long way from the first half... a classic example of a back-loaded winter from NYC into the Northeast. Boston went all the way from 8.6" at the end of January, well below average, to 63.4" in the end of March, well above average. Thanks to one of the coldest and snowiest March patterns in years, almost all of the region saw increased snow totals in the second half of March, including Philadelphia and Washington DC which benefited from a late season snowstorm on 3/25, with DC doubling its winter total with that storm. In the Mid Atlantic into SNE, this was a gradient-type winter with totals well below average in the Mid Atlantic, average in NYC, and above average in New England.
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