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idecline
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:03 PM


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QUOTE
(snowlover2 @ Nov 9 2018, 11:55 AM) *
Overall 2018 Final Standings

1. snowlover2 - 383pts
2. ColoradoChinook - 370pts
3. WeatherDudeNYC - 337pts
4. melissa from illinois - 304pts
5. joseph507123 - 257pts
6. idecline - 187pts
7. andyhb - 132pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
9. KENNYP2339 - 0pts
I am planning on continuing this on January 1 over at wxdisco.com so please join us over there and thank you to everyone that has played over the years!



QUOTE
(WeatherDudeNYC @ Nov 10 2018, 11:00 AM) *
Top 3 again! Yes!

Good idea to stop it and continue it at the other site. Thanks for maintaining this game as it was quite fun and was my main reason for even logging in everyday.

The security of this place seems to be questionable lately. Might be smart to wipe all your personal information from your account like I did or just ask Jesse to delete your account.

Btw if you want your account deleted for security reasons just email ferrell@accuweather.com and he will do it for you.

See you all at wxdisco!


unsure.gif Talk about being in "the center of a cyclone"...

idee had no idea that these 'touters' want people to 'wager' on the weather...idee knows better than that...

New advert on internet...
QUOTE
"Get your Picks right here"...we will 'give' you one city for today's "Severe Weather Challenge" for FREE! *

*you must sign for our daily online service 'weathertoutbums'...and receive our daily 'releases' (lots of hot air) for one month at a price of only $29.95...subject to all limitations and liabilities...etc...


rolleyes.gif Warning: The above 'quote' is only a 'joke' and is not intended to offer or imply that 'weather gambling' is appropriate, nor a viable presupposition for those inane enough to try...

...this is likely idee's "Last Rant" on this station...even though 'personal weather' and this game are fun...

just a song to express my 'feelings' to this debacle and the 'perpetrators'
...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2PDLw0wvIU

Attached Image
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334704 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:50 PM


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QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Nov 9 2018, 11:55 AM) *
Overall 2018 Final Standings

1. snowlover2 - 383pts
2. ColoradoChinook - 370pts
3. WeatherDudeNYC - 337pts
4. melissa from illinois - 304pts
5. joseph507123 - 257pts
6. idecline - 187pts
7. andyhb - 132pts
8. NWOhioChaser - 10pts
9. KENNYP2339 - 0pts
I am planning on continuing this on January 1 over at wxdisco.com so please join us over there and thank you to everyone that has played over the years!



QUOTE(WeatherDudeNYC @ Nov 10 2018, 11:00 AM) *
Top 3 again! Yes!

Good idea to stop it and continue it at the other site. Thanks for maintaining this game as it was quite fun and was my main reason for even logging in everyday.

The security of this place seems to be questionable lately. Might be smart to wipe all your personal information from your account like I did or just ask Jesse to delete your account.

Btw if you want your account deleted for security reasons just email ferrell@accuweather.com and he will do it for you.

See you all at wxdisco!


rolleyes.gif Talk about being in "the center of a cyclone"... dry.gif

idee had no idea that these 'touters' want people to 'wager' on the weather...idee knows better than that...

New advert on internet...
QUOTE

"Get your Picks right here"...we will 'give' you one city for today's "Severe Weather Challenge" for FREE! *


*you must sign for our daily online service 'weathertoutbums'...and receive our daily 'releases' (lots of hot air) for one month at a price of only $29.95...subject to all limitations and liabilities...etc...


rolleyes.gif Warning: The above 'quote' is only a 'joke' and is not intended to offer or imply that 'weather gambling' is appropriate, nor a viable presupposition for those inane enough to try...

...this is likely idee's "Last Rant" on this station...even though 'personal weather' and this game are fun...

just a song to express my 'feelings' to this debacle and the 'perpetrators'
...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2PDLw0wvIU
VAST - The Last One Alive - YouTube
Attached Image
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334703 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:01 PM


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QUOTE(eddygeeme @ Nov 13 2018, 02:09 PM) *
Sweet I felt like the last man on earth I wake up and everyone is gone


...non-sequitur...that reminds me of a great song..."Last One Alive" by VAST...https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2PDLw0wvIU

huh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2334702 · Replies: · Views: 691

idecline
Posted on: Nov 7 2018, 07:46 PM


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Attached Image

...yo...offfsore flow...high wind and fire danger warnings in east bay and north bay hills and mountains...


California may be in for a real tough time the next two days...high fire danger...coast may stay cool...inland warm to hot, windy and dry...with very low humidity and tinder dry conditions...BE SAFE!!!
Attached Image
...still no rain in sight...slight bit of tropical high cloud 'moisture' may be introduced to somewhat ease some worry nearer coast as this may keep marine within reach of coastline...96 hr OPC does show the first of a large low pressure regime building in GOA...these type of storms like to 'knock on the door' of high pressure this time of year(especially with a potentially impending El-Nino ) eventually forcing some of our high pressure ridge to shift a bit west and south...perhaps by late Nov we will get a zonal flow pattern established in the Eastern Pacific...then by January or February El-Nino may be in full bloom with a tropical connex introduced to our storms coming from GOA...

this has been idee rant#11,043...much of which is based entirely on idee's interpretations...not factual data per se....

OPC 96hr: big LP building in GOA...with rotating low pattern similar to last winter...this could try to undercut our HP(or at least put a 'dent' in it)
Attached Image


...and for those who can only read 'tweet' length info...lots of pictures... dry.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334391 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Nov 7 2018, 07:30 PM


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QUOTE(TradeWx_admin @ Nov 6 2018, 03:01 PM) *
Hey Idecline,

Conditions look pretty dry in the short term all across CA and NV. Do you have any thoughts on High and Low Temp for San Francisco, CA?

Would you be up for a challenge?


Only on computer for amusement...old guy with no internet connex or cell phone...go to library for online activity... unsure.gif

Sf temps...Thurs 64F high near ocean...69 downtown...lows 52 ocean...56 downtown
Fri...61 ocean...68...downtown...lows 54 ocean...57 downtown

Bay Area has so many 'microclimates' that no forecaster can get every nuance right...especially in "Indian Summer"...strong offshore component on THU/FRI could send temps skyrocketing every where (inc Coast) if conditions arise with proper wind directions...many record temps for coastal Cali are from November and December...ie Monterey, CA.... blink.gif
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334390 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Nov 7 2018, 07:22 PM


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Dothan, AL on 11/08/2018

Sulphur LA on 11/09/2018

Suffolk, VA on 11/10/2018

Robstown, TX on 11/11/2018

Beaumont, TX on 11/12/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334389 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Nov 5 2018, 08:37 PM


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...high pressure dominates for the time being...very pleasant daytime temps for November...cooler at night...
Attached Image

rolleyes.gif ...had to use someone else's satellite view(Accuweather's Hurricane page satellite view didn't work)
https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/nepac/rb-l.jpg
...so...here is the satellite showing a big ridge of High Pressure(HP) dominating the West Coast...same ol' thing

OPC 48hr:
Attached Image


...rain is only a memory down here in the South Bay area...it's been over 6 months since any decent rainfall...
...and this map and satellite above don't give us much in the way of hopes for the next week...on the other side of the story...this is appearing to be a dry late season pattern that often comes before the possible 'El-Nino' conditions we may be getting this winter...even if 'El-Nino' shows up (CPC say 70-75% chance) ,
California is not always 'guaranteed' higher rainfall amounts...it does give the 'drought stricken' areas a hope for above normal rainfall and snowfall in the Sierras...hopefully leading to ground water levels being recharged and higher water storage available for our water 'challenged' State of California...
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334372 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Nov 5 2018, 08:04 PM


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Suffolk, VA on 11/05/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334371 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 30 2018, 08:39 PM


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Haughton, LA on 10/31/2018

Andalusia, AL on 11/01/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334330 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 29 2018, 06:54 PM


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San Angelo, TX on 10/30/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334322 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 24 2018, 07:15 PM


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QUOTE(idecline @ Oct 23 2018, 05:56 PM) *
Broussard, LA on 10/24/2018


changing to:

Saraland, AL on 10/25/2018

Callahan, FL on 10/26/2018

Kendall, FL on 10/27/2018




  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334297 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 23 2018, 06:25 PM


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...SF Bay Area cooler than normal the last couple of days...big onshore push...today high clouds from disturbance that is going to send most of it's energy north into the GOA...this looks to form a strong LP...
Attached Image
...after the wind shift associated with a 'dry' front passing by today, we should begin to warm to seasonal temps. by the end of the week...50's-60's along the immediate coast...high 60's low 70's near the Bay...high 70's to low 80's further inland...in the tropics...Hurricane Willa is about to make landfall south of Mazatlan, MX tis evening as a weakening CAT3 into CAT2 hurricane
Attached Image
QUOTE
Cat 3 Hurricane Willa nearing west-central Mexico
10/23/2018 6:10:00 PM

Willa is a Category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph. Willa will move northeastward around the northwest periphery of an area of high pressure centered in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. Willa is losing wind intensity as it approaches the west-central coast of Mexico. However, due to the already tightly wound wind field, it will still be a very powerful and dangerous hurricane when it makes landfall less than 40 miles south of Mazatlan, Mexico, this evening. The hurricane will bring catastrophic and life-threatening storm surge and damaging winds to coastal areas. Willa will bring heavy rain to the Mexican states of Sinaloa, Nayarit and southern Durango today and tonight. Rainfall totals will average 4-8 inches with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 12 inches. This will lead to life-threatening flash flooding and higher-terrain mudslides. This moisture will bring more heavy, flooding rainfall for parts of Texas already dealing with flooding rainfall. Fortunate the moisture associated with the remnants of Willa will accelerate northeast then east and should leave Texas by Thursday morning
Written by AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski

OPC Pacific 48hr:
QUOTE

Attached Image

...this shows the what could be a CAT5 'Super' Typhoon as it is tracking for a hit near Guam...
Attached Image
Bono
"Who said they could name a Super Typhoon after U2?"...
Weather Guy:
"No...the name of the Typhoon is Yutu, not U2..."
Bono
"To quote Emily Litella"...
Attached Image
rolleyes.gif ..the 'real' Yutu is a dangerous Typhoon...
Attached Image

[url="https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/31W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif"]

QUOTE
Yutu strengthens to become major typhoon
10/23/2018 2:00:49 PM

As of Tuesday afternoon, EDT, the center of Typhoon Yutu is about 330 miles east of Guam. Yutu is tracking to the west at 12 mph, having highest sustained winds of 85 mph and gusts to 120 mph.

Satellite imagery shows a continued strengthening trend with a robust core of central convection. A favorable atmospheric and oceanic environment will allow marked increase in strength to occur over the next two to three days as Yutu tracks across the Northern Mariana Islands to the Philippine Sea. The worst of the wind and rain will keep to the north of Guam, as well as Saipan and Tinian.

Further strengthening by Yutu later in the week could bring storm intensity to near super typhoon status. Movement is likely to continue to be toward the west and northwest through the end of the week, as the latest indications are that a track toward the southern Ryukyu Islands and even Taiwan is favored over one veering to the north, south of mainland Japan. Given the westward track scenario, it seems likely, though not certain, that inflow of dry air from the Asian mainland would stall and weaken Yutu before any approach to land.

By AccuWeather Meteorologist Jim Andrews, updated by Meteorologist Evan Duffey

  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334293 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Oct 23 2018, 05:56 PM


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Broussard, LA on 10/24/2018

Bronson, FL on 10/25/2018

  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334292 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 22 2018, 07:20 PM


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rolleyes.gif idee re-posted so as to be 'top-billing' on the Personal Weather Discussions board for today tongue.gif
(what an egotist) laugh.gif ...especially since these forums are now a 'Ghost Town'...
...howdy...for the few lurkers and others who are not at wxdisco.com...

...another nice day in the Bay Area...albeit much cooler with a strong onshore push...foggy mornings, clearing inland with highs in the 70's, 60's by the Bay and struggling to get out of the 50's along the coast...
Attached Image

NOAA satellite show the large Hurricane Willa off the Mexico coast, and our low pressure and front to our west
...we only will see a slight change in wind directions as this front looks to go by us to the North...warming late week...
OPC Pacific 48hr:
Attached Image

in the tropics...dangerous CAT4 hurricane Willa is about to turn towards the Mexico coastline...landfall is expected tomorrow...flooding rains, storm surge and catastrophic wind fields will strike the coast of Mexico as Willa moves inland north of Manzanillo, MX...just as Michael caused prolific damage in Florida...coastal residents of the impacted areas need to take heed of all warnings and be prepared for much damage and life threatening possibilities...
Attached Image


...impacts from the moisture from Willa (and Vicente) will impact the CONUS as the storm moves NorthEast late week...
[/quote]
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334285 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Oct 22 2018, 07:07 PM


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...El-Nino may be coming your way... dry.gif
Attached Image

...waters are cycling warmer as Nino-like activity is occurring in the tropical Pacific basin...trade winds reversal and Oceanic Kelvin Waves(OKW) will be more common if the 'build-up' is to be sustained...SST's are rising...

Attached Image

...and the 'slosh-back' seems to be imminent...notice the warming is greater to the North along the 'tongue'...
Attached Image

...a more 'lop-sided' profile to the water temperatures of the basin seem to more common lately...the influx of very cold water from the Humboldt current off the coast of South America seems to be the 'modern' culprit of this 'look'...in idee's opinion... unsure.gif
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2334283 · Replies: · Views: 11,287

idecline
Posted on: Oct 22 2018, 06:16 PM


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Willcox, AZ on 10/23/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334281 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 17 2018, 07:47 PM


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...nice fall day again in the SF Bay Area...light breezes, warm afternoon sun...cooling quickly after sundown into low 50's to mid-40's at night...
Attached Image

nice with small variations in temperatures through the weekend...big storm is winding up in the Aleutians...
...jet stream looks to start defining a "winter-like" pattern...as the RRWT sets up its "Merry-Go-Round in the Northern Hemisphere
Attached Image
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334263 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Oct 17 2018, 07:38 PM


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QUOTE(Solstice @ Oct 16 2018, 02:31 PM) *
*knocks on door*

Looks like our coldest air so far will be approaching the region. Possible snowflakes as far as CT from lake effect snow bands.

NAM 3k radar.


Coldest frame I could find on the NAM 3k. Small pocket of <32°F air right near me! ohmy.gif


rolleyes.gif Q: Who is It?

A: "idecline to state"... huh.gif

...looks like fall is coming in for Maine...coolest weather on the map in a while...nice wind-up (LP) in Quebec...
Attached Image


look for nasty winds to follow...very cold starting soon...
QUOTE
Freeze Warning
Freeze Warning in effect from Thursday, 3:00 AM EDT until Thursday, 9:00 AM EDT. Source: U.S. National Weather Service
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The National Weather Service in Boston/Norton has issued a Freeze
Warning, which is in effect from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday. The
Freeze Watch is no longer in effect.

* TEMPERATURES...As low as 31.

* TIMING...3 am to 8 am Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures could kill sensitive vegetation.

* LOCATION...Northern Connecticut.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.


blink.gif


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2334262 · Replies: · Views: 1,431

idecline
Posted on: Oct 17 2018, 07:27 PM


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Robstown, TX on 10/18/2018

Sulphur, LA on 10/19/2018

Payson, AZ on 10/20/2018

Gilbert, AZ on 10/21/2018

Fort Defiance, AZ on 10/22/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334261 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 15 2018, 07:52 PM


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Hattiesburg, MS on 10/16/2018

Gainesville, FL on 10/17/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334251 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 10 2018, 07:36 PM


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...CAT4 Hurricane Michael made landfall near Panama Beach and Mexico Beach, FL today with destructive winds and storm surges...water rise was as much as 8-10 feet in some coastal areas which caused widespread flooding...not to mention torrential downpours kicked creeks and rivers beyond flood stage...structural damaging winds tore roofs off houses, collapsed carports and sent objects flying into the air as dangerous projectiles...damage will be significant as the 3rd strongest (in pressure 919mb) hurricane to hit the CONUS and strongest ever(in modern times) to hit the Florida Panhandle...it is now into Georgia with less strength(but still dangerous) as it heads towards South Carolina, then then east North Carolina regions tomorrow...
Attached Image
QUOTE
Hurricane Michael weakening as it starts to accelerate to the northeast
10/10/2018 8:15:00 PM
Hurricane Michael continues to steadily weaken as it moves to the northeast at 17 mph.

Michael will move north-northeast then more to the northeast into southwest then central Georgia tonight, then across the Carolinas on Thursday. Michael will weaken to a tropical storm early Thursday morning and should remain a tropical storm during its passage over the Carolinas and off the mid-Atlantic coast Thursday night. Interaction with an eastward-moving cold front and strong upper-level westerly winds will cause Michael to transition to a strong non-tropical storm system during Friday, which will then race northeast across the North Atlantic over the weekend.

Michael has produced a large and very damaging storm surge that will gradually subside tonight and tomorrow. Michael will bring a swath of 4-8 inches of rain, with AccuWeather StormMax™ of 12 inches from northern Florida into central Georgia and South Carolina. This rain will cause flooding and could wash out roadways. In addition to the rain, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes will occur, especially across the western Florida Panhandle and southwestern Georgia along and east of where Michael tracks.By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski


Attached Image

...our weather in the Bay Area will remain a little cooler than average as an onshore push, coupled with a 'dry' low pressure to our east, will keep us cooler and breezy, with marine layer intrusions well inland...by the weekend , high pressure should allow for warming in inland valleys...

QUOTE
Sergio to strike Baja California late week
10/10/2018 5:20:00 PM
Tropical Storm Sergio will steadily weaken as it tracks northeastward toward Baja California. Sergio will continue on a northeast track until making landfall late Thursday night or Friday morning. Heavy rainfall from Sergio will spread across Baja California, northwestern Mexico and eventually across parts of the southwestern United States late this week into this weekend and lead to flash flooding. Sergio will transition to a tropical rainstorm as the remaining circulation moves into the southwestern United States over the weekend.



  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334222 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Oct 10 2018, 07:18 PM


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Goldsboro, NC on 10/11/2018

Marfa, TX on 10/12/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334221 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 9 2018, 08:12 PM


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...nice weather again today...a little cooler nights due to shorter daylight hours and marine influence...60's, 70's, and 80's well inland...
Attached Image
...as a few perturbations in the jet stream move by to our north, we will cool abit late week...with a high pressure building back in for the beginning of next week...
Attached Image


...and back to the tropics...a CAT3 hurricane Michael is heading for the Florida Panhandle...arriving Wednesday as at least a strong storm...and Sergio is heading north off of Baja California...sending waves into SoCal beaches...
Attached Image

QUOTE
Sergio to strike Baja California late week
10/9/2018 5:35:00 PM
Sergio is steadily weakening as it tracks northeastward toward Baja California. Sergio is now a tropical storm and will continue on a northeast track until making landfall late Thursday night or Friday morning. Heavy rainfall from Sergio will spread across Baja California, northwestern Mexico and eventually across parts of the southwestern United States late this week into this weekend and lead to flash flooding. Sergio will transition to a tropical rainstorm as the remaining circulation moves into the southwestern United States over the weekend.

The rest of the East Pacific and the Central Pacific remain relatively quiet. No new tropical development is expected across either basin for the rest of this week. There is a low chance for tropical development off the west coast of Central America early next week as another large, counter-clockwise turning wind pattern sets up over Central America. This large gyre could help spin up a tropical system in the Caribbean and near the west coast of Central America next week.

By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Carl Erickson
  Forum: Personal Weather Discussions · Post Preview: #2334216 · Replies: · Views: 120,078

idecline
Posted on: Oct 9 2018, 07:31 PM


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Monticello, FL on 10/10/2018
  Forum: Weather Games & Contests · Post Preview: #2334215 · Replies: · Views: 81,856

idecline
Posted on: Oct 3 2018, 08:43 PM


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...finally a few showers in the South Bay
Attached Image
...and tropics still active...
QUOTE
Walaka a Category 4 west of Hawaii; Hurricane Sergio a major hurricane well away from land
10/3/2018 4:40:00 PM
In the East Pacific, Sergio is a major hurricane with winds of 125 mph. The hurricane is centered about 845 miles southwest of of the southern tip of Baja California. Sergio has the opportunity to intensify further as it moves northwest then west northwest through an area of warm water and low wind shear. Sergio should not be a threat to land through at least early next week. Hwever, rough surf and rip currents are likely along the Mexican coast over the next several days.

In the Central Pacific basin, Walaka remains a very powerful and dangerous Category 4 hurricane located well west of the main Hawaiian Islands. The hurricane is moving almost due north at about 21 mph. On this course the tropical cyclone will bring tropical storm force and hurricane force winds to several small islands and atolls within the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument during the rest of today, tonight and during the day Thursday. Most of these islands are uninhabited but a popular area for boating and scuba diving. So, all interests are encouraged to stay clear of this area through at least Friday. Walaka will gradually weaken starting on Wednesday and continue to weaken through the rest of this week and through the upcoming weekend as it continues to move north then northeast. Direct impacts are not expected from Walaka, but enhanced surf is likely across the south- and west-facing beaches of the main Hawaiian Islands over the next several days.

By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski

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