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> Southeast US & Bahamas Tropical Development 2018, Invest Formation ONLY - Fronts, Waves, LPs
Ron in Miami
post Apr 20 2018, 07:19 PM
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Well the 2018 season kicks off in about 40 days, and the GFS is showing us a ghost storm around FL and the Bahamas at the start of May O_o;;;;; Looks like this could be another interesting season ahead! Happy tracking everyone!
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Ron in Miami
post Apr 20 2018, 07:22 PM
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So it begins, the GFS ghost train has left the station O_o;;;;;







This post has been edited by Ron in Miami: Apr 20 2018, 07:23 PM
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Snow____
post Apr 22 2018, 08:22 PM
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Gives me something interesting to talk about. Let’s get this season started. Maybe even a bit early.


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stretchct
post Jun 13 2018, 12:05 PM
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Interesting feature on the Euro run today.

Thunderstorm complex over Tenn. today drifts south along the GA/AL line Thurs, to the FL panhandle on Fri, goes off the east FL coast on Sun morn.
Then it develops and drifts south Sun into Mon when it heads west and unwinds.
500 mb is also interesting watching that vort track the same,
and then head west.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post Jun 13 2018, 12:12 PM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jun 13 2018, 01:05 PM) *
Interesting feature on the Euro run today.

Thunderstorm complex over Tenn. today drifts south along the GA/AL line Thurs, to the FL panhandle on Fri, goes off the east FL coast on Sun morn.
Then it develops and drifts south Sun into Mon when it heads west and unwinds.
500 mb is also interesting watching that vort track the same,
and then head west.

TT has a loop of this at 850mb. Surface features are to the west of the 850 vort maxima


This post has been edited by stretchct: Jun 13 2018, 12:14 PM


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8°
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2°
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77°
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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Majorpotter
post Jun 18 2018, 08:45 AM
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QUOTE(stretchct @ Jun 13 2018, 01:12 PM) *
TT has a loop of this at 850mb. Surface features are to the west of the 850 vort maxima


I don't think I have ever seen a system move southward like this


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so_whats_happeni...
post Jun 19 2018, 03:09 PM
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QUOTE(Majorpotter @ Jun 18 2018, 09:45 AM) *
I don't think I have ever seen a system move southward like this

Ridge seems to be taking a large hit on the east side so flow would help push a complex it seems from the southern Apps off the coast, not your typical progression of a complex of course. Probably wont happen but tells the tale of the continued blocking taking place in the Atlantic over the past couple weeks and months.

Close but no cigar when it came to the Caribbean and GOM system. Still relatively early we tend to not see activity ramp up until july time frame but we will see may be a close home type of year because the Atlantic overall seems fairly tame.


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Tylor Cartter

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Millersville University


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