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> January 29th-31st Southwest (CA/AZ/NM) Cutoff Low, Forecasts & Discussion
Beck
post Jan 19 2015, 11:21 PM
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It had been over 100 hours since anybody had posted in the previous thread so it was about time I started a new one.

High Pressure has kept California warm and dry since the 12th, although right now it is weakening briefly as weak Low Pressure intrudes into the area, brining Onshore Flow with it. High Pressure is expected to quickly rebuild over the region and warm temperatures back up, possibly into the low 80s in my area. Offshore Flow will accompany this warm spell. Meanwhile, a winter dry period is expected to continue after a wet December. No rain is currently in the forecast, high pressure may stick with us into early February.



This post has been edited by Beck: Jan 30 2015, 01:54 AM


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Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 20 2015, 12:36 AM
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I was just about to say 100 hours without a post. This boring weather pattern is definitely not good for our activity and is absolutely terrible for the air quality of places like Fresno. Tule fog has settled into the Central Valley since the middle of last week and has been sticking around. Nothing is coming that would mix it out for a LOOOONNNG time. It would be interesting to see if we had no more significant storms for the rest of the winter and the spring how long the Tule fog would stay there.

December looked so promising and now we're back to last year's drought enhancement. Gotta enjoy the warm and sunny weather here though on the 2 out of 7 days I can each week.


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ClicheVortex2014
post Jan 20 2015, 12:42 AM
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Thankfully for you guys, the robust ridge won't last very long.



Gary Lezak said the pattern in December will peak its head in February.


This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Jan 20 2015, 12:42 AM


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Jet Developer
post Jan 20 2015, 10:14 AM
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Got some dense fog here this morning, but at least it's likely to burn off in most areas away from the immediate coast. Central Valley remains socked in with temperatures stuck in the 40s.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 20 2015, 03:28 PM
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Marine layer is refusing to burn off today and for once it feels like winter I mean June. The fog was so thick this morning that the streets were wet.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 20 2015, 08:23 PM
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Looks like we have changed time zones to MST according to the National Weather Service. I imagine the marine layer will make it to the coastal slopes tonight since there was very little burnoff here today. Hope it stays around enough for you to enjoy the gloom tomorrow morning, Beck.


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Beck
post Jan 20 2015, 09:46 PM
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QUOTE(Jet Developer @ Jan 20 2015, 05:23 PM) *
Looks like we have changed time zones to MST according to the National Weather Service. I imagine the marine layer will make it to the coastal slopes tonight since there was very little burnoff here today. Hope it stays around enough for you to enjoy the gloom tomorrow morning, Beck.

It stayed mostly cloudy here today but no fog. I do hope it comes around tonight.


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 21 2015, 12:01 AM
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Summing up the California fog situation

Attached Image


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Jet Developer
post Jan 21 2015, 07:11 PM
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Santa Ana Winds started at about 2 pm. You can see the haze being blown away to sea like a cloud of dust. It's very dry out there now.

Attached Image




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Beck
post Jan 21 2015, 09:51 PM
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Yeah I noticed that it was suddenly windy this afternoon.

Here's a frame from my car camera this morning, while it was still foggy. You can see a little ball of light through the fog - it was the sun.

Attached Image


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 22 2015, 12:14 AM
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There's still a battle between the offshore flow and the marine layer going on, as San Diego had some fog. I'd imagine the marine layer should be gone by tomorrow morning as the dry winds are blowing here through the night.


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Jet Developer
post Jan 22 2015, 12:08 PM
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This is an interesting Santa Ana Wind event. Winds reached John Wayne Airport to raise the temperature and crash the humidity last night, but before sunrise some dense fog came in.

This post has been edited by Jet Developer: Jan 22 2015, 12:09 PM


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FrostFuzz
post Jan 22 2015, 01:13 PM
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I didn't see any fog here yesterday, but it was windy. It seems calmer today for now, but I expect the Santa Ana's to come and go over the next couple of days.


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My Precip Total '16-'17: 13.73"


'13-'14: 4.36"
'14-'15: 6.24"
'15-'16: 7.97"

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Beck
post Jan 23 2015, 04:56 AM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Jan 19 2015, 09:42 PM) *
Thankfully for you guys, the robust ridge won't last very long.



Gary Lezak said the pattern in December will peak its head in February.


By the way, I like your avatar. I have that album on CD, my the first three tracks off of ...And Justice for All are my favorites on it.. biggrin.gif

Back on topic - it was much drier today. I will say, however, that it was nice to walk out to my car early this morning and not have to sit there waiting for the fog to clear off of my windows. The humidity dipped down to 13% in the afternoon.


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


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alxz310
post Jan 23 2015, 07:24 PM
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Unfortunate that it looks like we're in another extended dry pattern. I don't believe we've had any measurable precipitation for the entire month here in Davis and some other area around Sacramento, and it looks like that could be the case through the rest of the month. The only difference this time around, as opposed to last year, is that we've been having continuous night and morning dense fog and cold temperatures. Lows have been average about 36-42 degrees with very low visibilities during times of fog. The northern Sac valley is looking at highs in record territory in the next couple of days, with highs in the mid to even upper 70s in some spots.

This post has been edited by alxz310: Jan 23 2015, 07:25 PM


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Jet Developer
post Jan 23 2015, 08:52 PM
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QUOTE(alxz310 @ Jan 23 2015, 04:24 PM) *
Unfortunate that it looks like we're in another extended dry pattern. I don't believe we've had any measurable precipitation for the entire month here in Davis and some other area around Sacramento, and it looks like that could be the case through the rest of the month. The only difference this time around, as opposed to last year, is that we've been having continuous night and morning dense fog and cold temperatures. Lows have been average about 36-42 degrees with very low visibilities during times of fog. The northern Sac valley is looking at highs in record territory in the next couple of days, with highs in the mid to even upper 70s in some spots.


It's nice to hear from you. You should post more often.

Anyway, that Tule fog is strange. Usually it's worse in the southern and eastern areas of the Central Valley. Today Redding had a high of 75 F while Sacramento was only 59 F and Fresno was 47 F. The Central Valley has its own microclimates.

Down here we are having Santa Ana Winds and warm weather.


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alxz310
post Jan 24 2015, 08:06 PM
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QUOTE(Jet Developer @ Jan 23 2015, 05:52 PM) *
It's nice to hear from you. You should post more often.

Anyway, that Tule fog is strange. Usually it's worse in the southern and eastern areas of the Central Valley. Today Redding had a high of 75 F while Sacramento was only 59 F and Fresno was 47 F. The Central Valley has its own microclimates.

Down here we are having Santa Ana Winds and warm weather.


Yeah, I definitely have not been too active on here in a while unfortunately unsure.gif

And sure does - I found this graphic posted by the NWS Sacramento pretty interesting:



This post has been edited by alxz310: Jan 24 2015, 08:08 PM


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Davis, CA

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Beck
post Jan 25 2015, 03:49 AM
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I've been getting a lot of fluctuating temperatures over the last 24 hours. I checked nearby stations on Wunderground and they reported the same fluctuations. Must be related to the wind?

Attached Image


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


Temecula Weather Pages
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Jet Developer
post Jan 25 2015, 04:14 PM
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Strange weather today. It is warm and getting cloudy. If it weren't for the dry air it would feel like a summer monsoon day.


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Beck
post Jan 26 2015, 10:36 AM
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Had a very warm low of 60 F last night. Much more like a night in July than January. Subtropical moisture is currently being pulled north from Baja California.


--------------------
Temecula Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 6.71" (-0.38")
Normal to-date precipitation: 7.09"
Season began July 1st, 2015.

My Seasonal Precipitation 2015-2016: 5.24"
Last updated on January 27th, 2015.


Temecula Weather Pages
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