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> Winter 2017-18
kush61
post Yesterday, 04:40 PM
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I have two questions...
The possibility of some snow in extreme Southern Ontario tomorrow (Thursday February 22nd) and...
the GFS is showing a possible snow storm a week out (Thursday March 2nd).
Anyone have any thoughts?
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travis3000
post Yesterday, 05:14 PM
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QUOTE(kush61 @ Feb 21 2018, 04:40 PM) *
I have two questions...
The possibility of some snow in extreme Southern Ontario tomorrow (Thursday February 22nd) and...
the GFS is showing a possible snow storm a week out (Thursday March 2nd).
Anyone have any thoughts?


1. Snow tomorrow..... CMC showing it (1-2 inches across extreme S ON) , GFS is not and has the system staying further south. NAM agrees with GFS keeping all snow to our south. Will be worth watching but it doesn't look like a threat.

2. March 1st/2nd system.... GFS showing a possible snow threat, CMC has it all rain. Will def keep an eye on it but its still 8 days out, lots of time for changes.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 50.5cm (28cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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travis3000
post Yesterday, 05:18 PM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 21 2018, 01:28 PM) *
EC has 60 percent chance of snow tomorrow in Brantford. Lake effect off Ontario?


Not lake effect, but rather a fast moving low pressure system which will cut across Ohio into the US NE tomorrow. CMC and the short term HRDPS are the only two models showing 1-2 inches of snow across the extreme SW and areas near Lake Erie up to the GTA. The GFS, NAM, HRRR are all keeping precip south of the border with no impact on Canadian soil.

This post has been edited by travis3000: Yesterday, 05:45 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 50.5cm (28cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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plowguy
post Yesterday, 06:55 PM
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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 21 2018, 05:18 PM) *
Not lake effect, but rather a fast moving low pressure system which will cut across Ohio into the US NE tomorrow. CMC and the short term HRDPS are the only two models showing 1-2 inches of snow across the extreme SW and areas near Lake Erie up to the GTA. The GFS, NAM, HRRR are all keeping precip south of the border with no impact on Canadian soil.

Thanks for the explanation.
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puttin
post Yesterday, 07:08 PM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 21 2018, 06:55 PM) *
Thanks for the explanation.

Hey plowguy, sorry to hear of the mess in Brantford from all the rain... Are you near the Grand River? So sad about that little boy. Thoughts and prayers out to all first responders and loved ones trying to help recover the little boy. Wishing for a miracle. Stay safe all, your pets included. Ma nature makes no friends.
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kush61
post Yesterday, 09:52 PM
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An avoidable tragedy, "stupid" decision to drive through barricade and continue to the point of no return!
Now she must live with her inept choice. So sad.
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ottawasnowstorm
post Yesterday, 10:07 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 21 2018, 03:17 PM) *
I completely concur OS, and for me add the fact I was in the UK for Christmas, so missed one of the best periods, plus sod all LES really in this neck of the woods...very poor performance compared to expectations, and norms.
Oh ya, that would be a bummer to have missed out on one of the snowiest periods at Christmas time. You must have been kicking yourself when you would be checking the weather forecasts for your area with the snow events that were occurring.
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snowgeek93
post Yesterday, 10:23 PM
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From: Thornhill, Ontario
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Personally, I think this winter has been just fine around here. We got a fairly early snowfall in November, all three winter months performed well around here, there was snow on the ground the majority of the time and snowfall was average or above average for the DJF months. We're still running a fair bit below normal for our overall average snowfall but we still have time to boost those numbers.

I'm hoping for more winter weather in March and April to improve this seasons standing.


--------------------
Buttonville Airport 2017/2018 Snowfall: 115.1cm

First Flakes: Nov 9th/10th
First Snowfall: Nov 9th/10th (2cm)
Biggest Snowfall: Dec 11th/12th (15.8cm)
Days with Snow on Ground: 69
Days with Snow Cover: 53

November 2017: 2.8cm (12.1cm)
December 2017: 45.2cm (34.2cm)
January 2018: 33.0cm (38.9cm)
February 2018: 34.1cm (29.9cm)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm
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plowguy
post Today, 06:51 AM
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QUOTE(puttin @ Feb 21 2018, 07:08 PM) *
Hey plowguy, sorry to hear of the mess in Brantford from all the rain... Are you near the Grand River? So sad about that little boy. Thoughts and prayers out to all first responders and loved ones trying to help recover the little boy. Wishing for a miracle. Stay safe all, your pets included. Ma nature makes no friends.

We are not near the river and are on high ground. Its amazing how fast the water can come in.
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Lake effect
post Today, 07:26 AM
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QUOTE(ottawasnowstorm @ Feb 21 2018, 10:07 PM) *
Oh ya, that would be a bummer to have missed out on one of the snowiest periods at Christmas time. You must have been kicking yourself when you would be checking the weather forecasts for your area with the snow events that were occurring.


Yeah, I was watching the radar on Christmas morning, grumbling. Still, I was with family, which is more important.
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