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> March 11-15 MidAtl/NE Nor'easter/Winter Storm OBS, Last Minute Forecasts / Observations
jdrenken
post Mar 14 2018, 01:53 PM
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QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ Mar 14 2018, 10:15 AM) *
Yes I can ates to this as I was right smack in the middle of those bands and got squat.


I feel for ya...my shipmate in Ronkonhoma received "at least 9in". I was sweating because I told him between 8"-12" and thought he was under the same "snow hole".


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telejunkie
post Mar 14 2018, 03:02 PM
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What’s happening up in Fulton mike? Returns are looking pretty intense...

Feel like it’s been 36 hours of 0.25-0.5”/hr snowfall here...don’t think we’ve reached ‘moderate snow’ intensity yet..


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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tool483
post Mar 14 2018, 04:05 PM
Post #783




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QUOTE(4Oct1987 @ Mar 14 2018, 10:28 AM) *
Those reduced totals in the Connecticut Valley are interesting. I would not expect a storm this size to be so significantly affected by river water temp but is that the explanation?


I can confirm that, we relieved about 4 inches total, was a bust for us but glad others cashed in. . .even under that nice band things just were not sticking for majority of the day, unless it was puking out.

These snow squalls are pretty nice today


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Solstice
post Mar 14 2018, 04:47 PM
Post #784




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Snow squall just whipped through my town. Very pretty, decent rates too. Appears to be a minor accumulation on snow surfaces.

2135z Radar
Attached Image

Video Proof


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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NorEaster07
post Mar 14 2018, 05:28 PM
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Awesome squall just happened. Add 0.1" to my season total and that makes it an even 40.0" now! I was worried I'd end at 39.9! lolol laugh.gif


Radar at the time.




Whitened everything up fast. Within 10 minutes






Snow squalls everywhere in response to the Polar Low above us.

It's 17°F at 5000' and the surface is in the 30s so there's a lot of instability.




Here's a look at the 5000' temps. Nice "dig". Chilly day in the southeast too.

Atlanta is 51° with sun this afternoon



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PlanetMaster
post Mar 14 2018, 05:30 PM
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Moderate snow shower popped up, pretty heavy for a couple minutes there.

Attached Image


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bingobobbo
post Mar 14 2018, 06:01 PM
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We have had light to moderate snow for about five hours. snow had difficulty accumulating during the afternoon except when the flakes were large. the sun is going down, which should help accumulations.


--------------------
There is never suppression when a Great Lakes Cutter comes.
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STEVE392
post Mar 14 2018, 07:57 PM
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Had some nice snow squals in nnj earlier. Some coming down quick enough to create a dusting on the roads but quickly melted.
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telejunkie
post Mar 14 2018, 08:11 PM
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had 2.25" at 5:45, making storm total at 12.5" at that point. Got my big burn pile going (basement debris pile) this evening as the snow has been pouring down...probably the heaviest rates so far this storm. Will wait to morning, but has snow intensity has calmed down now.


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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LoveNYCSnow
post Mar 14 2018, 09:09 PM
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Snowing decently out right now, sticking to grass.


--------------------
2013-2014 Snowfall

11/26- Snow to Rain, dusting
12/6- Rain to Sleet to Snow, dusting
12/9- Light Snow to ZR, dusting
12/10- Light Snow, 1 inch
12/14- Snow to sleet, 8.5 inches
12/17- Moderate Snow, 4.5 inches
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Solstice
post Mar 14 2018, 09:18 PM
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Snow squall currently moving through. Sticking to all surfaces, coating already on natural surfaces and snow surfaces. Could see an inch by models. blink.gif.

OKX
QUOTE
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
Minor adjustments made to temperatures, dewpoints, POPs and snow
accumulations. Snow adjustments were make the less than inch
amounts outside of NYC, where temperatures will be cold enough
initially for possible coating of snow with moderate to possibly
heavy snow shower activity.
NYC stays generally in the mid 30s
until overnight and then NYC temperatures decrease more into
the lower 30s.

Blustery and cold conditions expected tonight with occasional
snow showers as a trough axis moves through the region. Localized
dusting to an inch of snow possible across interior, particularly
hills of SW CT, Lower Hudson Valley, and NE NJ. Accumulation
should mainly be on grassy and elevated surfaces.


Temperatures tonight will be in the mid 20s to low 30s.


I think I count as in hills of SW CT... laugh.gif.

This post has been edited by Solstice: Mar 14 2018, 09:20 PM


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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bingobobbo
post Mar 14 2018, 09:53 PM
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Lake enhancement has made part 2 of the storm a big winner for us--we have had about five inches since sundown--the easy-to-shovel, fluffy sort of snow. This should put us in the top 10 for snowiest Marches of all time.


--------------------
There is never suppression when a Great Lakes Cutter comes.
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Solstice
post Mar 14 2018, 10:09 PM
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OKX put out a SWS.
QUOTE
...MODERATE SNOW SHOWERS WILL AFFECT FAIRFIELD...EASTERN PASSAIC...
BERGEN...WESTCHESTER...PUTNAM...QUEENS...BRONX...S
FFOLK...
ROCKLAND...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) AND NASSAU COUNTIES...

At 1014 PM EDT, moderate snow showers were located within the
region, moving southeast at 40 mph. Snow showers could become heavy
for a brief period of time. Visibilities will be mainly 1 to 3 miles
in the snow showers with possible reductions to less than 1 mile at
times.

Some locations will be cold enough for a quick coating of snow and
especially on grassy surfaces. This will cause slippery conditions
to occur on untreated surfaces. Expect these snow showers to
continue before 1115 PM.

Locations impacted include...
Islip, Jamaica, Yonkers, Paterson, Bridgeport, Stamford, Norwalk,
Danbury, New Rochelle, Flushing, Passaic, Brentwood, White Plains,
Mott Haven and Levittown.

Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations.
Slow down and allow extra time when traveling.


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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snowyweatherman
post Mar 14 2018, 10:31 PM
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Measured 10” in Pleasant Mt,pa 18453, been snowing most of day but since 6pm it’s been going bonkers

This post has been edited by snowyweatherman: Mar 14 2018, 10:32 PM


--------------------
Current Snow Depth 18”

2016-17Snowfall = 85”
2017-18 snowfall 74”
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Undertakerson
post Mar 15 2018, 04:36 AM
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LOL - "lingering" is probably an understatement

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telejunkie
post Mar 15 2018, 07:37 AM
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Measured just shy of 3” at 7:00am...brings storm total to roughly 17” imby. Was still snowing at that point, but snow has since stopped and clouds lifted briefly revealing the mountains, definitely a pretty scene. Deck table almost gone

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Mar 15 2018, 07:38 AM
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Attached Image
 


--------------------
Winter '17-'18 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
12/9 - 5" 1/4 - 9" 2/18 - 5”
12/12 - 9” 1/17 - 7” 3/2 -7”
12/22 - 5” 2/4 - 7" 3/7-3/9 - 23"
12/25 - 10" 2/7 - 9” 3/13-3/15 - 17”

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"
'17-'18 Snowfall: 128"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 81"
“We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be” -Vonnegut
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Mar 15 2018, 07:46 AM
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Cocorahs showing 19.6” in Fulton..

Attached Image




This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Mar 15 2018, 07:49 AM
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Mike W IN herkim...
post Mar 15 2018, 08:02 AM
Post #798




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Total precipitation was 1.11”, so about 18/1 ratios on avg..Snow depth was 14.5” and that’s with having several inches prior to this system, probably lost about 7”-8” over the past 2 days lol That’s what happens when it takes 30 hours to accumulate, in March, with powder snow..

This post has been edited by Mike W IN herkimer: Mar 15 2018, 08:03 AM
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MaineJay
post Mar 17 2018, 05:41 AM
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I wish all the WFOs graded themselves in the manner that Caribou does.

Attached Image


https://www.weather.gov/car/StormTotalMaps

This post has been edited by MaineJay: Mar 17 2018, 05:41 AM


--------------------
Purveyor of handcrafted GOES16 gifs since 2017
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NorEaster07
post Mar 17 2018, 05:43 PM
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Sorry for the delay.. Little fatigue tracking and saving loops from this one.

Here is a long 82 hour radar loop of this storm including a closeup loop and some maps..

Links to NorEaster # 1 & 2 within description.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pQE-SwOk4mY...eature=youtu.be

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