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> 2017-2018 El Niņo watch, Forecasts and Discussions, long range.
grace
post Jun 20 2017, 04:29 PM
Post #141




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CFS ENSO trending cooler & cooler
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 20 2017, 11:47 PM
Post #142




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QUOTE(grace @ Jun 20 2017, 05:29 PM) *
CFS ENSO trending cooler & cooler

At -0.5C by January laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif laugh.gif


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
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MaineJay
post Jun 24 2017, 06:26 AM
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ECMWF plumes, quite the spread. Neutral-warm still favored.
Attached File  ps2png_atls03_a82bacafb5c306db76464bc7e824bb75_URN3Ot.png ( 22.16K ) Number of downloads: 0




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"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

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ClicheVortex2014
post Jun 24 2017, 09:11 PM
Post #144




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QUOTE(MaineJay @ Jun 24 2017, 07:26 AM) *
ECMWF plumes, quite the spread. Neutral-warm still favored.
Attached File  ps2png_atls03_a82bacafb5c306db76464bc7e824bb75_URN3Ot.png ( 22.16K ) Number of downloads: 0

What a headache


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978
- ILN Severe Weather Climatology

2017 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90°: 2 (Last: 6/16/17)
Marginal risks: 14 (Last: 6/17/17)
Slight risks: 8 (Last: 6/18/17)
Enhanced risks: 5 (Last: 4/5/17)
Moderate risks: 0 (Last: 6/22/16)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)

Realtime Weather on Campus: http://www.phy.ohiou.edu/~scalia/state_street/upload.png
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so_whats_happeni...
post Jun 25 2017, 01:38 PM
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QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Jun 24 2017, 10:11 PM) *
What a headache


The signal is just so lost which should honestly signal neutral conditions until something can come out one way or the other.

We have clues of QBO and PDO and MJO that can help out but those look rather muddled as well except we are starting to see EQBO downwell nicely. So if we manage to stay warm-neutral energy can permeate through that boundary this winter and stir things up.


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Tylor Cartter

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AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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