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> May 12-23 MidAtl/NE Stationary Fronts - Rain | Severe | Flooding Potential, Extended Period Forecasts and Observations
stretchct
post May 21 2018, 08:44 PM
Post #621




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 6,956
Joined: 12-December 08
From: Newtown, CT
Member No.: 16,470





QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ May 21 2018, 09:34 PM) *
Man that was one serious event for CT. Holy smokes.

Newtown is down to 10 roads closed. Our friends on CANDLEWOOD lake were just able to leave their development yesterday. Yeah, its crazy. Not a fan of tornadoes. If this happens again Im moving up by MJ.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post May 21 2018, 08:45 PM
Post #622




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 6,956
Joined: 12-December 08
From: Newtown, CT
Member No.: 16,470





QUOTE(MD Blue Ridge @ May 21 2018, 09:34 PM) *
Man that was one serious event for CT. Holy smokes.

Newtown is down to 10 roads closed. Our friends on CANDLEWOOD lake were just able to leave their development yesterday. Yeah, its crazy. Not a fan of tornadoes. If this happens again Im moving up by MJ.


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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stretchct
post May 21 2018, 08:47 PM
Post #623




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 6,956
Joined: 12-December 08
From: Newtown, CT
Member No.: 16,470





While Im here, whats up with the radar. Its clear outside. 35-40dbz returns?Attached Image


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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Solstice
post May 22 2018, 06:39 AM
Post #624




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 1,096
Joined: 8-December 17
From: New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
Member No.: 31,816





Is the May 22-23 event getting recorded here, or in a separate thread?


--------------------
Monthly Snowfall Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
December 2017 - 12.6" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 6.5".
January 2018 - 14.8" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 13.0".
February 2018 - 9.1" of Snowfall. 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 7.3".
March 2018 - 26.3" of Snowfall*. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9".
April 2018 - 5.7" of Snowfall. Maximum Snowdepth of 5.7" (as of 04/03/2018).

Seasonal Totals for 2017-2018 North American Winter:
68.5" of Snowfall, 0.15" of Ice. Maximum Snowdepth of 15.9" (as of 04/03/2018).
180.3% of average snowfall so far.

* - 03/06/2018 - 03/08/2018 Nor'easter totals estimated at 15.9" based off measurements and local data comparison.
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MD Blue Ridge
post May 22 2018, 08:03 AM
Post #625




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Member No.: 25,332





QUOTE(stretchct @ May 21 2018, 09:45 PM) *
Newtown is down to 10 roads closed. Our friends on CANDLEWOOD lake were just able to leave their development yesterday. Yeah, its crazy. Not a fan of tornadoes. If this happens again Im moving up by MJ.


Don't say things you cant take back. laugh.gif


--------------------
Blue Ridge Bouncer


Delaware. Where snowflakes go to die.
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PlanetMaster
post May 22 2018, 08:25 AM
Post #626




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Posts: 1,633
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Member No.: 25,093





QUOTE(Solstice @ May 22 2018, 07:39 AM) *
Is the May 22-23 event getting recorded here, or in a separate thread?

Well I don't see another thread and its been raining in the area since last night so might as well end it with this final disturbance.
Rain everywhere and I have a great sunny morning for a change. smile.gif

Radar, good rains falling around the area, look like its filling in the CPA-SEPA / N MD



This post has been edited by PlanetMaster: May 22 2018, 08:52 AM


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phillyfan
post May 22 2018, 11:13 AM
Post #627




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QUOTE(PlanetMaster @ May 22 2018, 09:25 AM) *
Well I don't see another thread and its been raining in the area since last night so might as well end it with this final disturbance.
Rain everywhere and I have a great sunny morning for a change. smile.gif

Radar, good rains falling around the area, look like its filling in the CPA-SEPA / N MD


Had some decent rains early this morning. Was in a break most of the morning til a few minutes ago. Steady rain is here for the next few hours now.


--------------------
Severe Weather 2018

Tornado Watch: 5/12
Severe T-Storm Watch: 5/15
Severe T-Storm Warning: 5/15, 6/18, 7/27
Flash Flood Watch: 5/15-16, 5/27, 7/21-22, 7/23-26, 7/27, 8/2-4, 8/11-12
Flood Watch: 5/17-19
Flood Warning: 6/10-11, 8/4
Flash Flood Warning: 7/4, 7/22-23, 7/27, 8/3-4, 8/11
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so_whats_happeni...
post May 22 2018, 02:07 PM
Post #628




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Another stubborn front located across the area trying to push through as a warm front down here. Storms are firing off to the west and might have to deal with a wind threat and maybe a brief spinup depending on how feisty they want to get across the area.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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Eine Kleine Wett...
post May 22 2018, 02:38 PM
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Severe Thunderstorm Watch Posted for DC, MD and Northern/Central VA

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 116
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM EDT Tue May 22 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Central and Southern Maryland
Northern and Central Virginia
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Storms moving eastward off the Blue Ridge Mountains are
expected to intensify as they progress eastward with potential to
produce primarily damaging wind gusts and isolated hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west southwest
of Richmond VA to 25 miles northwest of Washington DC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
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PlanetMaster
post May 22 2018, 03:05 PM
Post #630




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NorEaster07
post May 23 2018, 05:36 AM
Post #631




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From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864





Add another 0.34" to the books. 2.47" last 12 days. Only 1 of those days had no precip


At 3am there were Thunderstorms and downpours around.


Attached Image



And guess what............ANOTHER CLOUDY MORNING.

May 12: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 13: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 14: Overcast morning. 4 Hours of sun
May 15: Overcast morning. 2 Hours of sun
May 16: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 17: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 18: Overcast morning. 1 Hours of sun
May 19: Overcast morning. 0 Hours of sun
May 20: Overcast morning. 2 Hours of sun
May 21: Sunny Morning and all day. 12 Hours of sun
May 22: Overcast morning. 0 Hours of sun
May 23: Overcast morning.
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stretchct
post May 23 2018, 06:56 AM
Post #632




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Fun storms last night. Didn't need to sleep anyway

Down to 114 without power in my area. New Fairfield, Brookfield and Oxford are back at school today.

This post has been edited by stretchct: May 23 2018, 08:05 AM


--------------------
My Wunderground station
weather in my area and winter storm/hurricane model analysis


First Torn. warn May 15. 5 confirmed in WCT/HV
First STW: May 3rd (no T-storm imby)
First 90+ day: May 3, 92.8
First 80+ day: May 2, 89.2
First 70+ day: Feb 22, 77
Days over 90: 1
To make degree symbol: hold ALT type 0176 on numeric keypad

--------------------------------
Seasonal snow - normal 44"

2017-2018 74.5"
2016-17: 58"
2015-16: 33.5"
2014-2015 57"
2013-2014 58.25"
2012-2013 64.5"
2011-2012 30.5"
2010-2011 79"
2009-2010 49"
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yamvmax
post May 23 2018, 09:33 AM
Post #633




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 906
Joined: 9-March 14
From: Stony Brook NY
Member No.: 29,368





QUOTE(NorEaster07 @ May 23 2018, 05:36 AM) *
Add another 0.34" to the books. 2.47" last 12 days. Only 1 of those days had no precip
At 3am there were Thunderstorms and downpours around.


Attached Image

And guess what............ANOTHER CLOUDY MORNING.

May 12: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 13: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 14: Overcast morning. 4 Hours of sun
May 15: Overcast morning. 2 Hours of sun
May 16: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 17: Overcast morning and all day. 0 Hours of sun
May 18: Overcast morning. 1 Hours of sun
May 19: Overcast morning. 0 Hours of sun
May 20: Overcast morning. 2 Hours of sun
May 21: Sunny Morning and all day. 12 Hours of sun
May 22: Overcast morning. 0 Hours of sun
May 23: Overcast morning.

Yup, rain and overcast is getting tiresome here. Enjoy Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, because the rain comes back again after that.
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paletitsnow63
post May 23 2018, 09:44 PM
Post #634




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Somewhere ST is smiling!

This post has been edited by paletitsnow63: May 23 2018, 10:28 PM
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KENNYP2339
post May 24 2018, 07:10 AM
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What are the chances of a new severe wx thread for the mid atlantic / ne being started for memorial day weekend?
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PlanetMaster
post May 24 2018, 07:50 AM
Post #636




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QUOTE(KENNYP2339 @ May 24 2018, 08:10 AM) *
What are the chances of a new severe wx thread for the mid atlantic / ne being started for memorial day weekend?

Go for it...


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LUCC
post May 24 2018, 11:32 AM
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The rain threat for the weekend is dwindling ever so slightly with each model run....


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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LUCC
post May 24 2018, 12:46 PM
Post #638




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12z NAM 3k has nothing but a threat for scattered Tstorms on Sunday....

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/mo...052412&fh=1


--------------------

Winter '17-'18 Total: 49.25"
Winter '16-'17 Total: 22.5"
Winter '15-'16 Total: 30.5"
Winter '14-'15 Total: 41.5"
Winter '13-'14 Total: 62.0"
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so_whats_happeni...
post May 24 2018, 02:56 PM
Post #639




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QUOTE(LUCC @ May 24 2018, 01:46 PM) *
12z NAM 3k has nothing but a threat for scattered Tstorms on Sunday....

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/mo...052412&fh=1


Yea might have to watch saturday for some storm activity along the warm front/BDCF type setup that pushes through. Sunday the wave out across the GL that sort of moves through may setup a weird lee trough type thing but probably nothing too severe since best dynamics may be up into NY, but will watch definitely seems like a heavy rain threat though as the atmosphere will be loaded with the tropical/hybrid thing down there throwing up quite the moisture advection. Will have to monitor better through tomorrow.


--------------------
Tylor Cartter

B.S. in Meteorology
Millersville University


Weather Observer:
KMDT: Harrisburg International Airport
KBWI: Baltimore/ Washington International Airport

Stratosphere Discussion:
2016/2017
2017/2018


AccuWeather Forum MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecasting Champion Winter 2017
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