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Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Foothills of the Poconos - elev 950'
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Joined: 21-December 09
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Local Time: Dec 15 2017, 04:45 PM
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My Content
13 Dec 2017
Pulled my posts and info dive over from the OFM thread

Again a lot of signals out there, and since this is a holiday I figured why not smile.gif

Play along but most of all play nice laugh.gif

QUOTE(PoconoSnow @ Dec 13 2017, 01:41 PM) *
So for my next lie....

Bsr for 12/31



There appears to be a nice ridge poking up that may hint at a positively oriented PNA and western push in the "correct orientation"
East Asia rule/little Japanese snowmen

Shows yet another possible monster typhoon curving while a front crosses Japan and drops two piece snowmen all over smile.gif
The rrwt shows favorable h5 conditions in a 5d interval up until the 27th and depicts a -pna pattern change after that

A lot of dates/analogs gets blended so there may be some extremas that depict storminess during the 1231-0101 time frame.

As of 12/8 I believe the a good blend of 60, 50 and 37 days would be around 47 which puts us at around 10/22-23?

Maybe josh or renken can verify my math smile.gif

But here is the h5 for those dates at 12z

6 Dec 2017

GFS is getting in range although will swing wildly



typhoon rule has possibly something recurving around the 15th or 16th per euro

The North Pole had a warmup on on the 22nd from a 1052 HP 30 days prior which I will have to dig up

And the RRWT had very interesting extrema for the analog of the oscillation dates

Here is the 5d, josh pulled the extremes for the 22nd but I'd have to go dig to pull them.

I want to keep this thread seperate from any white Christmas thread although this may lead to that.

As always I will keep thread updated and keep info unbiased and useful. Much of this was derived from playing along in the organic forecasting thread.

Thanks and enjoy smile.gif
16 Nov 2017
Interesting time period we are in so it would be no surprise to see a storm pop up at end of November

18z gfs at h5

Plenty of juice there

East Asia has this 8 days before

Bit of a mess but tons of energy as well

The bsr is not so nice during this period. Has a pretty good ridge. But as always I will keep thread updated
10 Nov 2017

Gefs and eps 19th
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