Winter 2017/2018 Final Thoughts/Stats For Your Area

So I figured it would be cool to bring the discussion back to the winter that has just passed. If you were to give it a rating out of 10 what would it be? Include your area's total snowfall/ precip/ temps, etc. If you had to summarize it what would you say?

For South Barrie

Seasonal norm= 225cm
This Season= 244cm
First Snowfall= October 31st (2cm)
Last Snowfall= April 17th (2cm)

Three Largest Snowfalls:

1) April 14th-16th= 21cm
2) Dec 11-12th= 20.5cm
3) Nov 9th/10th= 17cm

Warmest temp:
Feb 28th= 13.2C

Coldest temp:
Dec 28th= -33C

Days with snow on ground= 130

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I also have followed Alliston (where I used to live, approx 25 KM SW of Barrie), here are their stats:

Seasonal norm= 155cm
This Season= 159cm
First Snowfall= November 9th (8cm)
Last Snowfall= April 17th (1cm)

Three Largest Snowfalls:

1) April 14th-16th= 17cm
2) Dec 11-12th= 13.5cm
3) Dec 21st/2nd= 13cm

Warmest temp:
Feb 28th= 15.4C

Coldest temp:
Dec 28th= -34.8C

Days with snow on ground= 85

March 6th-8th Storm

A low from out west will cross Southern ON on Tuesday bringing with it a band of snow. The energy will be weakening as a new low forms at the coast into a powerful nor'easter. NYC through Maine and up into New Brunswick look to take a direct hit with 20-40cm of heavy snow.

Here in Ontario we will be getting snow and some rain, just not as much. The system will be in a bit of disarray as it breaks up over the Great Lakes and reforms further east. Still, expect periods of light to moderate snow (or rain) from Tuesday right into Thursday morning. Temperatures will be close to freezing, so expect some rain to mixed in as well. Higher elevations may do better then the lower warmer valleys.

Here's a few runs from today:


12z Euro
 ESnow.png ( 124.97K ) Number of downloads: 7


12z GFS
 Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_11.28.45_AM.jpg ( 500.91K ) Number of downloads: 7


12z CMC
 Screen_Shot_2018_03_03_at_2.06.15_PM.jpg ( 460.29K ) Number of downloads: 5

March 1st-2nd Winter Storm For Southern ON

Im going to do it guys.... take the chances and hopefully not jinx it. I have a feeling that this one is going to happen for someone. Lets move the discussion over here. I will post 12z models in here!

Major Lake Effect Outbreak Dec 25th-28th

Here's my initial map for the lake effect outbreak beginning Christmas Day across the snowbelts. Bands will form tomorrow and continue right through Wednesday night. Some of these bands will be intense delivering 4-8cm per hour. Unlike past events, we should have periods where the bands stall out for 3-6 hours at a time. This will allow for some large accumulations especially in a couple key zones.

While I do expect a band to develop off northern lake Huron, the primary band will be one that oscillates north and south across Tobermory down to Sauble Beach/Kincardine and across northern Dufferin County towards Barrie, Orillia, Midland. This also includes all of the southern Georgian Bay shore from Owen Sound down to the Blue Mountains and Collingwood. If you live in this zone be on high alert from the 25th-27th for heavy snows and zero visibility. Amounts of 40 to 70cm are not out of the question wherever this primary band sets up. Lesser amounts further south, but still disruptive and accumulating snows off the shores of Huron from Goderich up to Kincardine and west through Durham, Hanover, Listowel, Mount Forest, Shelburne, Orangeville.

My City By City Estimates: (from noon Monday to noon Thursday)

Parry Sound: 3-8cm
Bracebridge: 5-10cm
Gravenhurst: 8-15cm
Port Severn: 15-25cm
Midland: 30-45cm
Orillia: 30-50cm
Barrie: 35-55cm
Alliston: 15-25cm
Wasaga: 35-50cm
Collingwood/Blue Mountains: 45-70cm
Owen Sound: 40-50cm
Chatsworth: 45-60cm
Tobermory: 50-70cm
Sauble: 30-45cm
Kincardine: 25-40cm
Goderich: 5-15cm
Listowel: 10-25cm
Mount Forest: 25-35cm
Shelburne: 25-35cm
Orangeville: 10-25cm
Newmarket: 5-15cm
Northern GTA: 3-10cm






Here is my map.

 Squalls_Dec_25_27th.jpg ( 202.04K ) Number of downloads: 17

Potent Clipper To Affect Southern & Eastern ON

This thread is for the clipper that runs are showing. I think it has potential to stall out and tap into some east coast energy. Could be the first widespread snowfall for Southern ON.

Too early for amounts but 5-15cm is likely based on some of the runs I've seen.

18z GFS Today:

 Screen_Shot_2017_12_07_at_5.49.55_PM.jpg ( 467.57K ) Number of downloads: 15