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NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 08:05 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Solstice @ Dec 13 2017, 07:58 PM) *
Please send pictures, I'm hungry and don't want to wait 'til 2 AM to see snow again. wink.gif


I set up my time lapse camera outside to capture exactly when it starts and to see it accumulate. Overnight snows are cool but being old sucks. lol

And I Cant wait to melt my 1-2" and see 0.09" liquid.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259917 · Replies: · Views: 2,092

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 08:02 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Snowing in the D.C area now and sticking fast. Dewpoints in the low single digits in South NJ. Crazy dry but snow should start soon.

3:45-7:45pm loop





  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259914 · Replies: · Views: 2,092

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 04:46 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


High Ratio event..

QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
340 PM EST Wed Dec 13 2017

Winds will be subsiding this evening has the pressure gradient
weakens between low pressure systems. Mostly clear skies will
start the night, but will quickly become mostly cloudy to
overcast as the clipper low fast approaches from the west.
Already beginning to see light echoes in western PA as warm
advection commences there. This warm advection is progged to
to start in the middle levels after 03z west of the Hudson River
and 05-06z east of the Hudson River. Light snow will overspread
the region from west to east with this warm advection. Main vort
max associated with the clipper will swing around the base of
the mean upper trough and enhance lift, especially 09z-12z. The
surface low translates south of the area during this time,
which could help to enhance snowfall on Long Island. These
features quickly translate east as the upper trough, vort max,
and surface low move offshore 13-15z. Lift all also be
maximized in the dendritic growth zone between 750 and 900 mb
from around 09z to 13z across eastern Long Island.

Models have continued to come into better agreement with the
above scenario with the biggest uncertainty lies within the
mesoscale details, mainly across Long Island. Latest thinking is
for around a tenth of an inch of liquid across the interior,
increasing to around two tenths across Long Island. There may be
a shadow effect over NYC and NE NJ as the surface low moves
downslope of the higher terrain to the west.

For snowfall accumulation, 2 to 3 inches are forecast in the
advisory area across Long Island with 1 to 2 inches elsewhere.
There could be locally higher amounts with any enhancement or
banding on Long Island, so it would not be surprising if a few
spots reach closer to 4 inches. SREF plumes, NAM, NAM-3km, and
HRRR all support this forecast thinking. The snow should be a
higher ratio, powdery snow, potentially around 15:1 near the
coast and 17-18:1 across the interior
.

The snow ends on the east end around 15z with skies quickly
clearing from west to east. It will become breezy as high
pressure builds in from the west Thursday afternoon. Highs well
below normal in the upper 20s and lower 30s are forecast
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259789 · Replies: · Views: 2,092

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 03:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Here it comes..

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259729 · Replies: · Views: 7,649

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 12:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Aeris changed their site.. Here's the new link to the Alerts. New Hi-Res Map. Even added Canadian alerts!

Works with Chrome, not Explorer for now.

https://wx.aerisweather.com/maps/alerts/us

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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2259663 · Replies: · Views: 298,685

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 10:33 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Busy Busy.. Should be fun to look back on.. Sub 980mb low this morning is further south than the one on the 10th. Although the one on the 5th may have been furthest south in latitude.

New clipper coming down in Light blue.. Stronger than previous clipper and pretty much crossing over same spot in MN.

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I didn't think there would be a transfer yesterday so double checked it with the archive loop. Yup.

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This site has it more over NJ.. Whats a few miles between plots. tongue.gif


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  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2259599 · Replies: · Views: 298,685

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 06:47 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(Mike W IN herkimer @ Dec 13 2017, 05:27 AM) *
Itís been snowing all night, havenít measured but itís a decent amount..


Mmmmm! Nice.

QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Dec 13 2017, 05:39 AM) *
I saw a post out there on the "net" - from near Redfield, I believe.

Wonder if the ridiculous totals being touted on there were real. It does appear to be in a sweet LES zone AND interior snow belt.


There's a woman out there that made herself well known now (thanks to social media) she updates throughout the season. It's real. She had 350 inches total last season. blink.gif
https://twitter.com/CYerdon
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259544 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 06:44 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


https://twitter.com/CIPSAnalogs/status/940406662896209920

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259542 · Replies: · Views: 12,835

NorEaster07
Posted on: Today, 06:41 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


https://twitter.com/BGoodeWAVE3/status/940902352806203392

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259540 · Replies: · Views: 12,835

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:51 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Winds picked up bigly past 2 hrs. Snow squalg missed me to my noryh. Temp dripped since 1pm into the mid 30snow
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259444 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Hmmm, 994mb low off the coast? I didn't expect a transfer. Thought it was a pure clipper staying near the CAN/US border.

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259374 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:33 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


0.14" of liquid so far.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259357 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 05:55 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(LUCC @ Dec 12 2017, 04:29 PM) *
Is this the right thread? rolleyes.gif dry.gif



Dont forget the time change. Fall back 1 day.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259336 · Replies: · Views: 9,100

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 04:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Screenshotter Boom!

Bad conditions happening in VA

https://twitter.com/Mrk_WX/status/940689799257690117

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Edit.. Tellijunkie beat me. Nevermind. #BoomFail
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259277 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 03:30 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


NAM18z continues the north most solution vs other main models. Any other model or ensemble support this??



Accu might have to shift its track north if true

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Lastly.. Is this the right thread for the 13-14 clipper? Dates say 15-16. #LosingTrack
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259252 · Replies: · Views: 9,100

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 02:45 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Instead of posting this 4 times in 4 separate threads blink.gif I'll post here. lol

Quick NWS NY discussion: 4 systems in next 7 days including todays. 5 systems in 9 days including the one this past Saturday on the 9th

QUOTE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
208 PM EST Tue Dec 12 2017
  • Low pressure passes to the north today
  • High pressure builds overhead Wednesday night.
  • An Alberta Clipper will pass through early Thursday.
  • Developing low pressure will move up the east coast late Friday into early Saturday.
  • High pressure builds in from the south Saturday into Sunday
  • a low pressure system Sunday night into Monday.
  • High pressure builds back on Tuesday.
A clipper low will pass south of the area on Thursday bringing a low chance
for snow showers across the area, with only light accumulations expected.
High temperatures on Thursday will be in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

A coastal low is then expected to move up the east coast Friday night and
into early Saturday. How much snow we get from this system depends on how
close the low tracks near the coast.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2259242 · Replies: · Views: 298,685

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:09 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259217 · Replies: · Views: 9,034

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 01:06 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Heavy rain here 1pm. Temp steady at 44ėF. No idea how much rain I got yet. I wanna be surprised. lol
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259215 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 12:48 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(telejunkie @ Dec 12 2017, 07:26 AM) *
Starting add up...


I enjoy reading yours and MJ and others posts. Keep em coming. Thanks!


8:40am-12:40pm Radar loop with storm reports..

Seeing 3-6" reports all over the place with some local 6"+ so far in NY and New England...


Lake Erie & Ontario producing as well


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259206 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:24 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


QUOTE(tool483 @ Dec 12 2017, 07:19 AM) *
That is warmer then expected darn

Looks like good burst of precip entering the Berkshires in mass, will post back precip type when it moves through. I would guess snow for this first batch anyway.


Yeah, I looked at my station and was like huh? Guess it wont start as snow. lol I thought I'd get 1-2" to start. Oh well. Drizzling.

Nice heavy returns in Litchfield county

Temps in the Mid 40s on Long Island

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259076 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:21 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Alerts

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259075 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:15 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Didn't expect it to be 39į here

27į(-3C) at 5000'.

Snow pack down to 1.5" from 5.2" 3 days ago


7:15am Radar and Surface Winds

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7:15am Current 850mb temps

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259073 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Yesterday, 06:15 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Radar loop 2-6am.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2259054 · Replies: · Views: 4,864

NorEaster07
Posted on: Dec 11 2017, 05:47 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


http://www.weather.gov/erh/gis_wfo?id=CAR

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2258942 · Replies: · Views: 31,903

NorEaster07
Posted on: Dec 11 2017, 05:36 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 19,614
Joined: 10-August 09
From: SW Coastal CT
Member No.: 18,864


Didn't expect this much.. Wow. Clipper on steroids

http://www.weather.gov/erh/gis_wfo?id=BTV

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  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2258936 · Replies: · Views: 31,903

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