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snowlover2
Rank: F5 Superstorm
40 years old
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Dayton,OH
Born July-30-1976
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snowlover2

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2 Apr 2017
SPC has a day 4 area highlighted for Wednesday from the southern half of Ohio and south. Saying higher probs are probable in later outlooks.

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QUOTE
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CDT Sun Apr 02 2017

Valid 051200Z - 101200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...Organized severe thunderstorm development is possible across
parts of the Ohio Valley and Southeast into the Mid Atlantic Coast
region this coming Wednesday into Thursday...

Amplification within the westerlies across the Pacific coast into
the Plains by the middle of this week appears likely to shift
eastward through the Atlantic Seaboard by next weekend. Models
suggest that this will support the continuing development of a broad
deep lower/mid tropospheric cyclone through the Ohio Valley into the
Northeast. Rapid substantive moisture return to the warm sector of
the cyclone appears possible in the wake of a previous cyclone,
initially along a developing warm frontal zone across parts of
Alabama and Georgia by early Wednesday, closer to the cyclone center
across the Ohio Valley by Wednesday evening, and across the Mid
Atlantic Coast region by Thursday. Associated destabilization in
the presence of favorable large-scale forcing for ascent and
strengthening low-level and deep layer shear is expected to support
considerable organized severe weather potential, including evolving
storm clusters and discrete supercell activity. Severe wind gusts
and tornadoes will be possible with strongest activity, along with a
risk for large hail. It seems probable that areas of higher severe
probabilities will be required in subsequent outlooks for this time
frame.

The pattern is expected to remain progressive, but may trend more
zonal next weekend into early next week, with short wave development
and associated severe weather potential becoming more unclear.

..Kerr.. 04/02/2017
18 Mar 2017
So not sure if anyone else noticed but it seems both NAM and GFS and to a lesser extent the GGEM (and maybe Euro but not sure) are showing a system track across the TN valley with it getting cold enough on the northern edge for accumulating snow.

18z GFS
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18z NAM
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8 Mar 2017
This is for the early week clipper system being shown. I thought it should be kept separate from the other thread.
2 Mar 2017
This is for the next weak clipper/disturbance being shown for tomorrow into Saturday.
17 Feb 2017
This was coming sooner or later so might as well get it going.

0z GFS
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coach
like your posts!
15 Jan 2010 - 13:53

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