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> March 26-28 MidAtl/NE Spring Storm, Cogitation: Long Range [8-15 Days Out] FORECAST
USCG AST
post Mar 18 2017, 03:36 PM
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Euro seems to be showing the potential for another snow bomb. Globals have been hinting at this a couple of days now as well. Alot can change, but it seems to me the PV is going to be stronger than initially thought and therefore this may allow for a colder solution vs a cutter. We will see.


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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 18 2017, 03:47 PM
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QUOTE(USCG AST @ Mar 18 2017, 04:36 PM) *
Euro seems to be showing the potential for another snow bomb. Globals have been hinting at this a couple of days now as well. Alot can change, but it seems to me the PV is going to be stronger than initially thought and therefore this may allow for a colder solution vs a cutter. We will see.

Thanks for making thread. Euro snowmap with the cmc hinting at the idea of a storm. Not a coastal bomb but a qpf blob

This post has been edited by PA ROAD DAWG: Mar 18 2017, 03:48 PM
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USCG AST
post Mar 18 2017, 04:08 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Mar 18 2017, 04:47 PM) *
Thanks for making thread. Euro snowmap with the cmc hinting at the idea of a storm. Not a coastal bomb but a qpf blob

It's not a coastal, it's an over running event. The PV pushes a little further down and the tri state area could be in for a massive hit.


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plowxpress
post Mar 18 2017, 04:19 PM
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Ok, "banned" everyone "banned" including myself. laugh.gif laugh.gif

Long range fantasy land. PARD you couldn't be so lucky in one season ohmy.gif
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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 04:22 PM
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(risks being banned, to show EAR support for this)

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PoconoSnow
post Mar 18 2017, 04:25 PM
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Remember that huge over running event that had only a min pressure of like 1007 but dropped 30 inches in places

Reminds me a little of that. Appears to be a very unique setup that may unbalance fairly easily.

This post has been edited by PoconoSnow: Mar 18 2017, 04:25 PM


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phillyfan
post Mar 18 2017, 04:28 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Mar 18 2017, 04:47 PM) *
Thanks for making thread. Euro snowmap with the cmc hinting at the idea of a storm. Not a coastal bomb but a qpf blob

P&C is currently 62 on Saturday next weekend. blink.gif


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Winter 2017-18:

Winter Weather Advisory: 11/13, 12/9

Accumulating Snowfall Dates:
12/9: 6"

Total: 6"
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phillyfan
post Mar 18 2017, 04:29 PM
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and Steve D chiming in:
QUOTE
There's some interest about the ECMWF and significant snow on the guidance. You know, typical 10 day snow maps. You should know there is zero support of the operational ECMWF on the Ensembles.


This post has been edited by phillyfan: Mar 18 2017, 04:29 PM


--------------------
Winter 2017-18:

Winter Weather Advisory: 11/13, 12/9

Accumulating Snowfall Dates:
12/9: 6"

Total: 6"
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Storms R us
post Mar 18 2017, 04:38 PM
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QUOTE(PA ROAD DAWG @ Mar 18 2017, 04:47 PM) *
Thanks for making thread. Euro snowmap with the cmc hinting at the idea of a storm. Not a coastal bomb but a qpf blob



Is the EURO by itself? the CMC doesn't show that neither the GFS but it shows rain like the CMC but on 26th
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 18 2017, 04:41 PM
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QUOTE(Storms R us @ Mar 18 2017, 05:38 PM) *
Is the EURO by itself? the CMC doesn't show that neither the GFS but it shows rain like the CMC but on 26th

Obviously not ideal, but trending south since yesterday with each passing run. Something to keep an eye on for sure
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 18 2017, 04:44 PM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Mar 18 2017, 05:29 PM) *
and Steve D chiming in:

Yea he pretty much sealed the deal for me with the last system. He biffed with the blizzard saying it'll be too progressive. Tough to take him serious because he offers no insight on his thoughts going forward other than the models say this and that. Maybe he offers those in his premium service but whatever.
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PA ROAD DAWG
post Mar 18 2017, 04:49 PM
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QUOTE(plowxpress @ Mar 18 2017, 05:19 PM) *
Ok, "banned" everyone "banned" including myself. laugh.gif laugh.gif

Long range fantasy land. PARD you couldn't be so lucky in one season ohmy.gif

Most likely no, but who knows....2009-2010 was a magical year for most of the people on this forum.
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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 04:51 PM
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I seem to recall the 2005 event as Kurt Bush of NASCAR doing snow angels at either Martinsville VA or Bristol, can't remember which

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The 2004 event canceled out my taking my sister out for her birthday.
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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 04:54 PM
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QUOTE(phillyfan @ Mar 18 2017, 05:29 PM) *
and Steve D chiming in:

I don't know about that call - the EPS seem to have reasonable support for the Op run


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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 04:57 PM
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USCGAT - I don't think your title meets guideline specs. Just thought you might like to know.

Should be more like

March26-28, 2017 MidAtl/NE Storm
Long Range Cogitation D7-10

Something more like that.
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MaineJay
post Mar 18 2017, 05:17 PM
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QUOTE(Undertakerson @ Mar 18 2017, 05:54 PM) *
I don't know about that call - the EPS seem to have reasonable support for the Op run


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I agree, look at the spread, there's likely a cluster that are OP like.

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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 05:23 PM
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QUOTE(MaineJay @ Mar 18 2017, 06:17 PM) *
I agree, look at the spread, there's likely a cluster that are OP like.

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That is why I detest the platform known as Twitter. It allows too many people to post statements that are, at best, only loosely grounded in any kind of verifiable evidence. dry.gif

Posting stuff about DT, SD, JB, XYZ, ETC - all pretty much only mean so much to me. Not that they should not be posted here (I would vote they should not, but I'm no censor) - just give them little weight, and move on.
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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 05:27 PM
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Hmm - FWIW 18z GFS is dropping off a parcel of UL energy, down by ArkLaTex on or about 3/25 - just like the 12z Euro did

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It's no carbon copy, but considering its previous runs were nothing like this, this is a large step towards a Euro like solution.

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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 05:28 PM
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Dun-uh, dun-uh, dunta, dunta, dunta, dunta....

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This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Mar 18 2017, 05:29 PM
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Undertakerson
post Mar 18 2017, 05:31 PM
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1042mb in SE Canada = trouble

Euro had 1041 in same location on the 12z Op run


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This post has been edited by Undertakerson: Mar 18 2017, 05:32 PM
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