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> Jan. 12-14 Plains/MW/GL/OV Winter Storm, Cogitation: Long Range [8-15 days out] FORECAST
grace
post Jan 10 2018, 10:34 PM
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RGEM much slower. I doubt SREF happens but if I were a betting man I'd blend the SREF & NAM & call it a day
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BrenK10
post Jan 10 2018, 10:36 PM
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100 pages!! as mentioned earlier we haven't seen that in awhile
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ILStormwatcher
post Jan 10 2018, 10:35 PM
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GFS up to hour 24 it's action time.

This post has been edited by ILStormwatcher: Jan 10 2018, 10:35 PM
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mulaman984
post Jan 10 2018, 10:35 PM
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QUOTE(BrenK10 @ Jan 10 2018, 10:36 PM) *
100 pages!! as mentioned earlier we haven't seen that in awhile


Yay. Gotta have some optimism tonight.
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jan 10 2018, 10:36 PM
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Trough is faster in this run, continuing the trend started at 12z.


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Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 8 (Last: 6/19/18)
Days <0: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7)
Marginal risks: 15 (Last: 6/19/18)
Slight risks: 5 (Last: 5/31/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 1 (Last: 4/3/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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KYweather2007
post Jan 10 2018, 10:37 PM
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No negative tilt...too neutral...should stay east
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jdrenken
post Jan 10 2018, 10:37 PM
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TT is getting hit hard lol


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ClicheVortex2014
post Jan 10 2018, 10:38 PM
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There's more snow down the Mississippi than the previous runs. Also, there's been a trend toward less separation between the pre-frontal line of rain and the frontal precip (focus on the upper OV).

12z run -> 18z run -> 00z run




This post has been edited by ClicheVortex2014: Jan 10 2018, 10:38 PM


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 8 (Last: 6/19/18)
Days <0: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7)
Marginal risks: 15 (Last: 6/19/18)
Slight risks: 5 (Last: 5/31/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 1 (Last: 4/3/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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ILStormwatcher
post Jan 10 2018, 10:40 PM
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It's doing the noose again @ the 500 MB level.
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MZ557
post Jan 10 2018, 10:42 PM
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NAM and GFS have swapped their snow placement from previous runs....for WKY
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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Wow

Wow

Wow wow....Goodnight all
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NWOhioChaser
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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QUOTE(mulaman984 @ Jan 10 2018, 10:35 PM) *
Yay. Gotta have some optimism tonight.

And here comes the realist...it's most likely due to the major storm drought many of us in here have. A 6" storm would've saved a lot of snowlovers sanity here.
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Juniorrr
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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QUOTE(ILStormwatcher @ Jan 10 2018, 10:32 PM) *
GFS digs that baby all the way to south Texas per 500 MB

Right after it leaves TX its just a trainwreck. Looks like a beast in TX with V5.
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ecanem
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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Similar to 18Z

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JymGanahlRocks
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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Knew I should've gone to bed...weak. 100 pgs. for this? laugh.gif

This post has been edited by JymGanahlRocks: Jan 10 2018, 10:45 PM
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ClicheVortex2014
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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I'm just laughing at the news stations that hyped up significant snowfall biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif biggrin.gif


--------------------
Meteorology undergrad at Ohio University (weather on campus)

Historic weather events in the Ohio Valley:
- The 1974 Super Outbreak (read more)
- The 2012 "Super" Derecho
- The Great Blizzard of 1978

2018 Weather for Cincinnati

Days >90: 8 (Last: 6/19/18)
Days <0: 5 (Last 1/6/18) (Lowest: -7)
Marginal risks: 15 (Last: 6/19/18)
Slight risks: 5 (Last: 5/31/18)
Enhanced risks: 0 (Last: 11/5/17)
Moderate risks: 1 (Last: 4/3/18)
High risks: 0 (Last: 11/17/13)
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NWOhioChaser
post Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM
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Can't we just make it a nor Easter and call it a night? 🤣
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jpfalcon09
post Jan 10 2018, 10:46 PM
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Lol, wow. What a turdburger.


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rmk1487
post Jan 10 2018, 10:46 PM
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See you all for the "next" one.
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ohiobuckeye45
post Jan 10 2018, 10:46 PM
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QUOTE(NWOhioChaser @ Jan 10 2018, 10:43 PM) *
Can't we just make it a nor Easter and call it a night? 🤣

I mean every storm finds a way to hammer the NE some way or another so it doesn't really matter what you call it
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