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> Aug. 11-13 Plains/MW/GL/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 2,3 Slight Risk Forecasts & OBS
CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 03:23 PM
Post #21




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Aug 13 2011, 03:30 PM) *
Looks like the storm just south of Virginia may go warned soon. Bit of a right turn and it could benefit me. Hate being stuck at work, but 40 hours overtime this week will make up for any lack of storm.

I've been watching that one... looks like its been intensifying for the past 10 minutes


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 03:28 PM
Post #22




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cool.gif
QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1969
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CNTRL AND ERN IL THRU NRN IND...SERN LWR MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 775...

VALID 132029Z - 132200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 775
CONTINUES.

ADDITIONAL WWS MAY BE NEEDED EAST AND SOUTH OF WW 775 WITHIN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

VIGOROUS PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT CONTINUES FROM SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CHICAGO METROPOLITAN
AREA...SOUTHWESTWARD INTO AREAS JUST NORTH OF ST. LOUIS. THIS IS
BEING AIDED BY STRONGER MID-LEVEL DYNAMIC FORCING FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN PIVOTING EASTWARD
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN UPPER GREAT LAKES/LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGION LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ACTIVITY IS ABOUT TO DEVELOP
EASTWARD INTO THE AXIS OF STRONGEST PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE HEATING
NORTHEAST OF ST. LOUIS THROUGH EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHERN
INDIANA...WHERE MID-LEVEL FLOW HAS STRENGTHENED IN A WEST
SOUTHWESTERLY BELT TO AROUND 40 KTS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL BE CONDUCIVE TO LOCALLY STRONG DOWNBURSTS...AND IT SEEMS
PROBABLE THAT COLD POOLS WILL EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATE...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR A MORE ORGANIZED DAMAGING WIND THREAT BY 23-00Z.

Attached image(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 03:46 PM
Post #23




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Really surprised NWS Lincoln hasn't issued a short term or SWS yet. At least areas I've checked. Using phone so haven't checked the entire CWA
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snowlover2
post Aug 13 2011, 03:46 PM
Post #24




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Sounds like an interesting evening shaping up around here. Could get a watch soon going by that MD.


--------------------
# of T-Storm Watches:3

# of T-Storm Warnings:4

# of Tornado Watches:2

# of Tornado Warnings:1
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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 03:41 PM
Post #25




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QUOTE
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 7 pm for portions of central Illinois. Damaging winds and large hail are possible will some of the strongest storms.
Source
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 03:43 PM
Post #26




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Aug 13 2011, 03:46 PM) *
Really surprised NWS Lincoln hasn't issued a short term or SWS yet. At least areas I've checked. Using phone so haven't checked the entire CWA

QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
346 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
SOUTHWESTERN MENARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN SANGAMON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT.

* AT 344 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
ASHLAND...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VIRGINIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

AT 343 PM QUARTER-SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED 2 MILES SOUTH OF
PHILADELPHIA WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...ASHLAND...TALLULA...PLEASANT PLAINS...ATHENS...
SHERMAN...WILLIAMSVILLE...RIVERTON...PRENTICE...SA
ISBURY...
FARMINGDALE...CANTRALL...CAPITAL AIRPORT...JEROME...LELAND GROVE...
SOUTHERN VIEW...GRANDVIEW...CLEAR LAKE AND SPAULDING.

THOSE ATTENDING THE ILLINOIS STATE FAIR IN SPRINGFIELD ARE IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WEATHER
CONDITIONS.


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 03:58 PM
Post #27




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Looks like another storm forming just west of Virginia. Maybe get a double dose?
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:00 PM
Post #28




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QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
354 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  SOUTHERN SANGAMON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT.

* AT 353 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  WOODSON...OR NEAR JACKSONVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALEXANDER...FRANKLIN...WAVERLY...NEW BERLIN...LOAMI...AUBURN...
  CHATHAM...DIVERNON...NORTONVILLE...LOWDER...CURRAN
..THAYER AND
  GLENARM.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 55 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 78 AND 92.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 72 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 62 AND 98.
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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 03:52 PM
Post #29




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Aug 13 2011, 03:58 PM) *
Looks like another storm forming just west of Virginia. Maybe get a double dose?

Yea on the weather radio it said another potential severe thunderstorm was just west of Virginia.

Looks like another warning just came out for Sangamon


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:02 PM
Post #30




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Hopefully those two storms don't disrupt each other and weaken
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:17 PM
Post #31




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QUOTE
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
408 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011


ILC167-132145-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0216.000000T0000Z-110813T2145Z/
SANGAMON IL-
408 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL
SANGAMON COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 402 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
PLEASANT PLAINS...OR 13 MILES WEST OF SPRINGFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SPRINGFIELD...SHERMAN...RIVERTON...CAPITAL AIRPORT...JEROME...
  LELAND GROVE...SOUTHERN VIEW...GRANDVIEW...CLEAR LAKE AND
  SPAULDING.

THOSE ATTENDING THE ILLINOIS STATE FAIR IN SPRINGFIELD ARE IN THE 
PATH OF THIS STORM AND SHOULD PREPARE FOR DANGEROUS WEATHER 
CONDITIONS.
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:19 PM
Post #32




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Pea sized hail
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Juniorrr
post Aug 13 2011, 04:22 PM
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Can the cold pool or w.e the discussion is talking about, form a squall? Hopefully it does so the storms can speed up to my area haha smile.gif
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:22 PM
Post #34




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Hail got to nickel sized and 50 mph wind. Called both in
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:26 PM
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QUOTE(Juniorrr @ Aug 13 2011, 04:22 PM) *
Can the cold pool or w.e the discussion is talking about, form a squall? Hopefully it does so the storms can speed up to my area haha smile.gif

They've picked up a lot of speed already. Was going to comment on that just before it hit here, marginal storm but much needed rain
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SEMIweather
post Aug 13 2011, 04:19 PM
Post #36




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Getting interested in the line of storms around Lansing...most likely my last chance of severe weather in Michigan, before I leave for Oklahoma on Thursday.


--------------------
University of Oklahoma Meteorology Major - Class of 2014


Follow me on Twitter.
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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 04:22 PM
Post #37




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From: Mount Zion, IL
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QUOTE
WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 775
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
424 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

ILC021-023-029-035-045-049-139-173-140000-
/O.EXA.KILX.SV.A.0775.000000T0000Z-110814T0000Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 775 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS
EVENING

IN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS

CHRISTIAN MOULTRIE SHELBY

IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS

CLARK COLES CUMBERLAND
EDGAR

IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS

EFFINGHAM

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...CHARLESTON...EFFINGHAM...MATTOON...
SHELBYVILLE AND TAYLORVILLE.


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:32 PM
Post #38




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Guess I was wrong in the storms speeding up. Updated warning statement for the southern Sangamon county storm said moving 25mph. Looked faster on the animated radar
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CentralIllinois
post Aug 13 2011, 04:32 PM
Post #39




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QUOTE
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
435 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHERN MACON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT.

* AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MOUNT PULASKI...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN...AND MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

AT 434PM...AN OBSERVER REPORTED 1.25 INCH HAIL AT MT. PULASKI WITH
THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LATHAM...WARRENSBURG...MAROA...FORSYTH...OREANA AND ARGENTA.


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


Note to Accuweather.com....Please give us a dedicated video blogger for the Plains/MW/OV/GL area!
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WeatherMonger
post Aug 13 2011, 04:43 PM
Post #40




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Biggest report from ILX thus far
QUOTE
000
NWUS53 KILX 132138
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
437 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 PM HAIL 1 N MAPLETON 40.58N 89.72W
08/13/2011 M1.50 INCH PEORIA IL TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL LASTED ABOUT 2-3 MINUTES...4 CARS DAMAGED AND
SEVERAL HOUSES WITH SHINGLE DAMAGE FROM HAIL.


&&
SPOTTER CALLED BACK WITH DAMAGE FROM HAIL.
$$

LAUFENBERG

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