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Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Manchester, VT (elev 800')
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Local Time: Apr 23 2017, 01:32 AM
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My Content
18 Apr 2017
A trough that cuts-off from the mean flow looks to help develop a SLP along the coast in this timeframe. Modest agreement between GFS & Euro at this point. Mainly a rain maker unless it becomes strong enough to force down some colder air for inland regions to see some wintery precip. Late season storm...here we go!
7 Mar 2017
Considering this is a separate trough as the Saturday-Sunday event, surprised nobody has started this a thread yet for this wave. Euro has been moderately aggressive with this trough gaining a neutral trough as it crosses through the OV sending the surface low on a track from Des Moines, IA towards Albany. 12z GFS seemed like it's coming around to the idea...little more dig, more moisture and there could be a nice stripe of white this lays down
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11 Jan 2017
Thought since we are at 49F today and should top 50F tomorrow, then a brief return to normal temps before Pacific air really takes hold across the country…figure may as well talk about it.
21 Dec 2016
Decided high time to open up discussion on what has potential to become as storm for the NE/MA region. Still pretty up in the air how it plays out, but no doubt that it seems to usher in what could be some bone chilling cold to start the new year. Big differences at the 12z globals both with time and strength of the trough…gfs has a very progressive trough swing through with slight surface reflection and not much more than a cold frontal passage:
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Euro on the other hand has a much deeper trough that goes negative tilt fairly early, but it spawns a coastal storm. I don't have much info about how this translates at the surface directly, but seems to be a slop storm for many…
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Hopefully we find some common ground in the middle with a trough that goes negative a little later than Euro depicts it...
20 Nov 2015
Broad SW flow looks to dominate the Eastern CONUS through Turkey day weekend. Not sure about record challenging warmth, but definitely should be well above average. Big X factor though is the potential impacts of the tropical system...
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