idecline to have a personal statement....
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Viewing Topic: April 25-30 Plains/MW/OV/GL Severe Weather
Local Time: Apr 25 2017, 05:22 PM
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10 Apr 2017
A wet late week into the weekend brought in another series of unusually wet and windy storms into the West...rainfall is not a necessarily 'normal' weather pattern for April in California...it is usually just the tail end of fronts that push into Washington State and British Columbia as the jet (usually ) moves north in Spring...
Here is the next moisture rich storm moving into the picture...with a band of sub-tropical clouds all the way to Hawaii...
...and the 48hr OPC surface map shows the first front pulling through California on Wednesday morning...
with a stronger 'second wave' arriving shortly there after to feast on the residual moisture...
...and the OPC 96hr 500mb map shows 'clear sailing' for the jet to pump energy into the West at least into the weekend...
...will the records continue to fall out West...? ...and will this greatly effect the rest of the CONUS...?
...idecline to be so bold...
1 Feb 2017
6 Dec 2016
Jet stream bringing in another a series of systems..
Rain along California coast and into Oregon Thu./Fri. Mountain snow in Cascades and Sierras could be plentiful with cold air in place...
OPC has jet pointed right at Ore./Cal. border
Unusual that so many 'waves' are at or below 40o latitude...seems to be some kind of parade...
as things get sorted out the jet stays directly at same latitude according to OPC 96hr
Too many 'features' come into play in the next 4-5 days to be sure of the 96hr OPC map...
We have already had a 'wet' October and November in California...and this looks nothing like an El Nino or La Nina pattern to me
The massive unpredictability of a La Nada (near normal) ENSO pattern...means great 'volatility' to idee
16 Nov 2016
Howdy to the rest of the CONUS...here comes a whale of an extratropical storm riding the jet into the West
Wow! this is a very vigorous low pressure coming out of the GOA, and if the track and intensity of this storm remain on track, this will end up as a big game changer as far as pushing some moisture and intense weather into the CONUS.
OPC has this as a 982mb low as it approaches the West Coast...(with a lot of 'upstream' energy lurking to advance into the region next week)
Disclaimer: idee's attempt at analysis is not intended as a forecast nor a 'handicapping' guide...
It appears that the brunt of the storm will strike on/near the CA/OR border as the associated low remains just offshore (with some of the energy veering north to be absorbed/or recycled as the new 'wave' of energy from the Pacific comes in...
Impressions are of a vigorous storm coming in Friday night into Saturday with continued rain on Sunday.
A brief respite Monday will be followed by a perhaps more northerly focused 'wave' on Tues/Wed...
25 Oct 2016
Hello stormtrack...unusual that the storminess in the West in October does not usually make much headway into California...the last storm rained all the way south to the LA basin...now a trend of continued storminess is aimed at the West Coast...and a generous amount may again reach the northern half of California, with perhaps even a potential bonus round for the grief-stricken Dodger crowd...
This map shows the succession of 'linked' low pressure troughs awaiting to ride the jet stream into the West.
A very vigorous trough and associated low pressure center is lurking off the coast...looking very ominous and more like a mid-winter storm with a lower latitude placement and a blocking ridge to the far north...
What do the hydrologists say...
It looks like a continued wet pattern...with another wave of storminess in time for Hallow'een...
12 Jan 2017 - 14:48
25 Oct 2016 - 19:22
7 Oct 2016 - 19:28
18 Aug 2016 - 11:04
25 Aug 2015 - 13:06
Thank you, Idee =)
25 Sep 2012 - 3:59
Time to make a comment on my last comment! :O Sorry about that, but u forgave...thank you! :D
28 Jul 2012 - 9:54
Hi sweet guy! I just now saw your comment.. ur such a sweetie! <3 <3
4 Jul 2012 - 20:45
Just playing around 'cause you're not around to stop me! (Tongue-out emo goes here)
14 May 2012 - 17:28
Here's your comment....!
13 Aug 2011 - 0:22
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