Atlantic Hurricane Season 2012, All Seasonal Forecasts & Updates Here Options

[jdrenken]

Just some quick fact checking:

There have been 3 storms to directly affect the US this year, Beryl which hit Jacksonville FL at nearly hurricane strength (70mph winds), Debby which was a minimal storm but hit FL with torrential rains, and how did you forget about Isaac? He was a hurricane when it made landfall in L.A.

We are now late in the season so we should be looking for home grown storms. Fronts that stall out over the gulf or off the east coast. The cape verde season may be over, but the Caribbean and Gulf might still show us some action. There's still almost 2 months left of the hurricane season.

This...

[The Snowman]

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/prec...k/MJO/mjo.shtml

This is like the graveyard shift of a job- you want to just be done and go to bed, but you never know what's lurking around the corner...

[merrychristmas]

Just some quick fact checking:

There have been 3 storms to directly affect the US this year, Beryl which hit Jacksonville FL at nearly hurricane strength (70mph winds), Debby which was a minimal storm but hit FL with torrential rains, and how did you forget about Isaac? He was a hurricane when it made landfall in L.A.

We are now late in the season so we should be looking for home grown storms. Fronts that stall out over the gulf or off the east coast. The cape verde season may be over, but the Caribbean and Gulf might still show us some action. There's still almost 2 months left of the hurricane season.

I forgot about Isaac which came from the pacific. Even like this, the season was awefully weak since it is true that none of the atlantic storms made landfall in the US at official hurricane strenght. There is still time for it to turn around, but if there is no significant turnaround, this season will have ended quite early.

[NYCSuburbs]

I forgot about Isaac which came from the pacific. Even like this, the season was awefully weak since it is true that none of the atlantic storms made landfall in the US at official hurricane strenght. There is still time for it to turn around, but if there is no significant turnaround, this season will have ended quite early.

Please elaborate further on that statement as I have no idea what you're trying to say with it... Isaac couldn't have possibly came in from the Pacific, it originated in the Atlantic before moving through the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico, and it did make landfall as a hurricane in the US with 80 mph winds (source - 80 mph landfall in Louisiana). This is typically the period when activity significantly calms down with at least 1 or 2 named storms usually after this time period, nothing unusual about that.

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Oct 8 2012, 04:36 PM

[Ron in Miami]

I don't even know what to say about that last one, atleast it was good for a chuckle LOL! Funny tho, once we start to say the season is looking dead we get 2 new invests. Here's hoping for something interesting!

[Sagebrusher]

I don't even know what to say about that last one, atleast it was good for a chuckle LOL! Funny tho, once we start to say the season is looking dead we get 2 new invests. Here's hoping for something interesting!

You wrote
"There have been 3 storms to directly affect the US this year, Beryl which hit Jacksonville FL at nearly hurricane strength (70mph winds), Debby which was a minimal storm but hit FL with torrential rains, and how did you forget about Isaac? He was a hurricane when it made landfall in L.A."

That "L.A." had me (briefly) thinking I somehow missed a landfalling hurricane in Los Angeles

"L.A." with two periods is usually an abbreviation for Los Angeles or other two word combinations.

When states are abbreviated they don't have two periods unless they contain two words.
Louisiana = LA or LA.

[Undertakerson]

Ungh!!

This late bloomer starts off from what appears to the be North of the Antilles and then heads north northwest towards the US coast. Look where it ends up at Hr 384




and from Hr 372-384 is heading mostly due west.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/MRF_0z/mrfloop2.html

Only good thing is this is LR GFS - still will have to be watched.

[DiehardFF]

Ungh!!

This late bloomer starts off from what appears to the be North of the Antilles and then heads north northwest towards the US coast. Look where it ends up at Hr 384




and from Hr 372-384 is heading mostly due west.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/MRF_0z/mrfloop2.html

Only good thing is this is LR GFS - still will have to be watched.

Is this still there? Havent been able to look at the models.

[Undertakerson]

Is this still there? Havent been able to look at the models.

It is but GFS takes it OTS the past couple of runs. While the CMC phases it in up near ME. The GFS then shows a Caribean developed storm once again in its long range - while signaling another huge Atlantic block.

So we may not be quite done yet

[Noreastericane]

It is but GFS takes it OTS the past couple of runs. While the CMC phases it in up near ME. The GFS then shows a Caribean developed storm once again in its long range - while signaling another huge Atlantic block.

So we may not be quite done yet

Is this the lemon drop that's on the NHC page now? Or is that something else?

[shane o mac]

Is this the lemon drop that's on the NHC page now? Or is that something else?

Maybe a chance for us in nova scotia to get something lol

[NYCSuburbs]

I don't get to track the tropics often while looking at an inch of snow out the window...

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES HAS NOT BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW IS STILL POSSIBLE BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

Source

[NYCSuburbs]

Names from last year's season should be retired sometime in the next week... should be interesting to see which ones are retired. Sandy is obvious, Isaac is possible. Other than a few hurricanes, despite the very high number of named storms this season was actually quite inactive, most of them fish storms, tropical storms and hurricanes that only briefly held category 1 intensity. There were only 3 advisories in the whole season for a major hurricane (2 for Michael, 1 for Sandy).

This post has been edited by NYCSuburbs: Apr 7 2013, 09:40 PM

[Noreastericane]

Names from last year's season should be retired sometime in the next week... should be interesting to see which ones are retired. Sandy is obvious, Isaac is possible. Other than a few hurricanes, despite the very high number of named storms this season was actually quite inactive, most of them fish storms, tropical storms and hurricanes that only briefly held category 1 intensity. There were only 3 advisories in the whole season for a major hurricane (2 for Michael, 1 for Sandy).

Sandy was the only storm name retired. I'm surprised they didn't retire Isaac though.