Login to AccuWeather.com Premium Login to AccuWeather.com Professional Login to AccuWeather.com RadarPlus AccuWeather.com

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

37 Pages V  « < 35 36 37  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> Winter 2017-18
PGM
post Yesterday, 09:04 AM
Post #721




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 940
Joined: 9-February 14
From: Northdale, Ontario
Member No.: 29,229





Looking ahead, it appears winter is practically over. It was a good year IMBY, but that's definitely an early ending. I wonder if we get any surprise snow storms in March or April?


--------------------
Warm season 2018 stats
Severe weather days: 0
Thunderstorm count: 0
Largest hail: N/A
Strongest thunderstorm related wind gust: N/A

Hottest temperature: N/A
Days entirely above 20*C: 0



Cold season 2017-18 stats
First/last freeze (below 0*C): November 8th – ongoing
Days entirely below freezing: 41
Coldest temperature: -19.7*C on January 7th
First flakes: October 31st
Biggest snowfall: 33cm on December 12th
Season total: 189.8cm
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Yesterday, 10:13 AM
Post #722




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,652
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





My South Ontario winter perception map. If you are in the red area this has been a good to excellent winter. If you are in the green area it has been an average to good winter. If you are in the purple zone it has been a %&#$ winter:

Attached File  winter_perception_map.jpg ( 284.2K ) Number of downloads: 5


This post has been edited by Lake effect: Yesterday, 10:14 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
snowgeek93
post Yesterday, 10:37 AM
Post #723




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,862
Joined: 7-September 09
From: Thornhill, Ontario
Member No.: 19,154





I'd agree with that map Lake effect happy.gif

Other than our seasonal snowfall coming in below average, all three winter months delivered well in what I like/expect from a winter season. I still think we can see some more snow in March and April to boost our totals a bit more.


--------------------
Buttonville Airport 2017/2018 Snowfall: 115.1cm

First Flakes: Nov 9th/10th
First Snowfall: Nov 9th/10th (2cm)
Biggest Snowfall: Dec 11th/12th (15.8cm)
Days with Snow on Ground: 69
Days with Snow Cover: 53

November 2017: 2.8cm (12.1cm)
December 2017: 45.2cm (34.2cm)
January 2018: 33.0cm (38.9cm)
February 2018: 34.1cm (29.9cm)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Ottawa blizzard
post Yesterday, 10:46 AM
Post #724




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 889
Joined: 7-December 08
From: Toronto/Ottawa
Member No.: 16,378





QUOTE(PGM @ Feb 24 2018, 09:04 AM) *
Looking ahead, it appears winter is practically over. It was a good year IMBY, but that's definitely an early ending. I wonder if we get any surprise snow storms in March or April?

It actually looks a lot like February 1976. That month followed a decent December and January. However, the spring of 1976 turned out quite chilly, with the exception of a brief heat wave in mid April. That year saw a multi-year La Nina transition into a weak to moderate El Nino, which is what some forecasters are predicting for this year.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
stuffradio
post Yesterday, 11:44 AM
Post #725




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 1,544
Joined: 12-September 08
From: SW BC, Canada
Member No.: 15,716





I'm at 30 cm of snow this morning, all from the past couple days.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Yesterday, 12:37 PM
Post #726




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,716
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





12z CMC and 12z GFS both agreeing on the March 1st-2nd storm..... heavy rain for Southern ON with temps in the 5-8C range , the low then transfers to a costal. No accumulating snow anywhere. Let's see what the 12z Euro says. But the fact that GFS and CMC are agreeing isn't the best news....

On a positive note, Tuesday will likely be the nicest day we've had since at least November. Highs from Windsor to Barrie will be in the 10-12C range, don't rule out a couple 13-14C in the usual warmspots. Wide open sunshine all day.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 50.5cm (28cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Lake effect
post Yesterday, 02:39 PM
Post #727




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,652
Joined: 17-December 12
From: Barrie
Member No.: 27,345





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 24 2018, 12:37 PM) *
12z CMC and 12z GFS both agreeing on the March 1st-2nd storm..... heavy rain for Southern ON with temps in the 5-8C range , the low then transfers to a costal. No accumulating snow anywhere. Let's see what the 12z Euro says. But the fact that GFS and CMC are agreeing isn't the best news....

On a positive note, Tuesday will likely be the nicest day we've had since at least November. Highs from Windsor to Barrie will be in the 10-12C range, don't rule out a couple 13-14C in the usual warmspots. Wide open sunshine all day.


Look forward to it. Our backyard lawn will be all visible by tomorrow except for a few shady spots...first time since 10th December. The deck and the front will take a few more days, but this is so early. Absolutely nothing in the GFS suggesting any accumulating snow until mid March, when the SE ridge looks even stronger. Hopefully will get some days in the high teens at some point.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Yesterday, 04:10 PM
Post #728




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 881
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 24 2018, 12:37 PM) *
Let's see what the 12z Euro says.

Here’s the 12z euro snow map for that time frame. The system tracks in as a warmer system then gets dynamically cooled because of the extreme blocking in place as it then retrogrades about as extensively as you’ll ever see. This causes the rain to change over to snow for S ON. This is a classic transition of seasons type storm and one that could be difficult for models to get a handle on for a while.

Attached File  CCD4AF09_BAD7_4C56_8C3B_A8409B6F281B.png ( 183.34K ) Number of downloads: 4
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
markj138
post Yesterday, 05:14 PM
Post #729




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,080
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





QUOTE(Jeremy404 @ Feb 23 2018, 11:56 PM) *
Such an odd setup...


From what i am reading the odd set up is because of what could be a recording breaking -NAO setting up near Greenland the end of Feb through the first few days of March.
Models are going to have a hard time trying to figure things out with this set up but its not a good look for the Great Lakes region,the quicker it breaks down the better for us.

Attached File  imageproxy.php.png ( 311.52K ) Number of downloads: 6
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SNOWBOB11
post Yesterday, 08:23 PM
Post #730




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 881
Joined: 16-January 13
Member No.: 28,061





QUOTE(markj138 @ Feb 24 2018, 05:14 PM) *
From what i am reading the odd set up is because of what could be a recording breaking -NAO setting up near Greenland the end of Feb through the first few days of March.

Here’s the EPS interpretation of the tanking -NAO.

Attached File  301CDD9E_8157_42F7_B30E_83D19A1C1B9C.png ( 43.06K ) Number of downloads: 1
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
travis3000
post Yesterday, 09:27 PM
Post #731




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 3,716
Joined: 21-January 08
From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





18z GFS Surface Temps For Next 15 Days For Greater Toronto Area:

Feb 25th: 10C
Feb 26th: 7C
Feb 27th: 11C
Feb 28th: 10C
Mar 1st: 6C
Mar 2nd: 3C
Mar 3rd: 5C
Mar 4th: 6C
Mar 5th: 5C
Mar 6th: 2C
Mar 7th: 3C
Mar 8th: 1C
Mar 9th: 3C
Mar 10th: 3C
Mar 11th: 6C
Mar 12th: 6C

Not a single day with below 0C highs.

12z Euro today was encouraging, its showing a stalled low transferring to the coast. Could be interesting.... part of the energy retrogrades back over us with falling temps. Its a possibility. GFS and CMC are still not showing it. But lots of time for change. Lets wait until at least Monday and see if we get some agreement.

This post has been edited by travis3000: Yesterday, 09:27 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 50.5cm (28cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
markj138
post Yesterday, 09:52 PM
Post #732




Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 2,080
Joined: 19-December 09
From: Agincourt,Scarborough
Member No.: 20,461





QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Feb 24 2018, 08:23 PM) *
Here’s the EPS interpretation of the tanking -NAO.

Attached File  301CDD9E_8157_42F7_B30E_83D19A1C1B9C.png ( 43.06K ) Number of downloads: 1


That is a crazy drop! no wonder the OP runs have no idea what to do with those two storms the first week of March.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post

37 Pages V  « < 35 36 37
Reply to this topicStart new topic
2 User(s) are reading this topic (2 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:

 

RSS Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 25th February 2018 - 10:58 AM