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Love software development and love the weather, neither are easy to predict the outcome.
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PlanetMaster
Rank: F5 Superstorm
50 years old
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Babylon, NY
Born Feb-8-1968
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PlanetMaster

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25 May 2018
Well I have nothing to do but code all day so need something else that interests me so here it is.

Although not a total washout there is a chance for scattered heavy downpours especially nearer to the coast. Also chance for isolated strong to severe storms especially west and south. Tropical moisture streaming North from the Gulf with a warm front, warm/hot temps and then an approaching cold front will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms for part of the holiday weekend. Temps are forecast to be above normal for the most part leading to a very nice weekend temps wise. Chances for precip range from late Saturday afternoon into Sunday. Monday looks to be a iffy as well with chilly temps in the 50's once again. sad.gif

Post your obs, holiday party/cookout pics, hope everyone enjoys the holiday weekend!

GFS total precip into Monday
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Best chance of stronger storms looks to be late Saturday and Saturday night
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NAM 3K
11 May 2018
A stationary front in or just south of the area with several disturbances riding along, one Saturday and one Sunday. The chance of rain for the weekend with possibility of thunderstorms and heavy rain as a result of daytime heating is possible as well. There may even be another low on Monday. This is the beginning of what looks like a very unsettled and wet period that could stretch right into the end of the month and could include a possible tropical system riding up the coast.

With this setup, East to West, warm humid air coming North training is a real possibility and heavy amounts of rain possible locally. Can't rule out strong to severe thunderstorms in southern areas as well. Looks to be mostly SNE and Northern MA for the heaviest precip at this time.

EDIT: Have extended the period on the thread as it is going to be active right through this week and beyond.

GFS
31 Jan 2018
Cebile in the Indian Ocean showing some impressive structure and wanted to post some images of the perfect annular wide eyed beast. Thankfully no threat to land in current state.

CEBILE Current Status

As of 12:00 UTC Feb 01, 2018:

Location: 15.9°S 76.1°E
Maximum Winds: 115 kt (132mph)
Minimum Central Pressure: 944 mb

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NASA Sees Powerful Storms Around Cebile's Eye
When NASA's Aqua satellite passed over Tropical Cyclone Cebile it measured cloud top temperatures and saw its eye circled by an impressive ring of powerful thunderstorms just before it went through eyewall replacement.

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The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder aboard NASA's Aqua satellite captured an infrared image of Cebile on Jan. 29 at 3:17 a.m. EST (0817 UTC). Powerful thunderstorms with cloud top temperatures as cold as or colder than minus 63 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 53 degrees Celsius) surrounded the eye. Storms with cloud top temperatures that cold have the capability to produce heavy rainfall.

On Jan. 30, Cebile underwent eyewall replacement and its pinhole eye expanded to 60 nautical miles wide from 5 nautical miles wide.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center noted on Jan. 30 at 10 a.m. EST (1500 UTC) the Joint Typhoon Warning Center noted that Cebile had maximum sustained winds near 115 mph (100 knots/185 kph). Cebile was centered near 16.0 degrees south latitude and 79.1 degrees east longitude. That's about 667 nautical miles southeast of Diego Garcia. Cebile was moving to the west at 5.7 mph (5 knots/9.2 kph).

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center said Cebile is forecast to move to the west for the next couple of days before recurving to the southeast into cooler waters.

Microwave portrait of Cebile

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Cebile Looks like a Giant Pinwheel from Space

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Latest Advisory

QUOTE
ABIO10 PGTW 301800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/301800Z-311800ZJAN2018//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZJAN2018//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 301200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S (CEBILE) WAS LOCATED NEAR
16.0S 79.3E, APPROXIMATELY 667 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD
TRACKED WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125
KNOTS
. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 301500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN


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Tracking
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More...


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10 Mar 2015
Was pleasantly surprised to see this in my email this morning from Verizon.

QUOTE
Dear Valued Verizon Customer,

Verizon’s agreements to carry The Weather Channel and Weather Scan have expired, and have not been renewed. In today’s environment, customers are increasingly accessing weather information not only from their TV but from a variety of online sources and apps. Verizon is therefore pleased to launch the new AccuWeather Network, which will be available on FiOS® TV on channel 119/619 (HD) and on our free FiOS Mobile App starting March 10, 2015. Verizon will also provide the FiOS TV WeatherBug “widget” application, which features hyper-local weather, on FiOS TV channel 49. WeatherBug can also be launched by pressing the “widget” button on the FiOS TV remote.


Sincerely,

Your Verizon Team


Wonder if Margusity will be on air, that'll be a hoot!
16 Jan 2012
Well its been a great time listening to all the forecasters drooling over a supposed giant pattern change. Predicting snow and prolonged cold and then saying there will be a few warm spells, and then saying there will be more warm air then cold air, and then finally saying it takes time, maybe weeks for the pattern to change. LOL, well anyone couldve said that! Dont need a degree in Meteo to take a shot in the dark and say one day we may get snow this winter here on the east coast!

There is one thing they forgot to mention, Henry, there is NO pattern change!
There is no blocking and most important, the player we never here about is the persistent ridge out off the Florida east coast that is going nowhere.

Yes we got another brief shot of cold air and the ridge bent a bit but it is coming back strong the next 3 weeks with south-westerlies over the east and 40's and 50' here in the I95 corridor are going to fly

There is NO pattern change, there isnt going to be any pattern change for the foreseeable future. There will be NO snow storms on the eat coast this January and probably deep into February as well. Until that ridge breaks down off the Fla coast nothing will change its guaranteed.

The only forecast that has been right all winter in my neck of the woods has been the Accuweather longe range, cold shot followed by warm rains and that hasnt and will not change.

So Henry stop please, its embarrassing already
The fantasy storm threads stop
Please unwrap your legs from around the GFS and get into a state of reality.

Here is your forecast NY, DC, Phily, and the entire I95 corridor until further notice.

Attached File  rain1.JPG ( 34.54K ) Number of downloads: 0


Attached File  rain2.JPG ( 33.23K ) Number of downloads: 0



Ahh those 50s in winter are just dandy! tongue.gif

Oh and I just wanted to mention that not everyone was jumping on the pattern change bandwagon. Brett Anderson was professional and accurate in his forecast maps showing warm and rainy over the northeast and mid-atlantic right through Feb. So there are some here that get it and dont buy into the hype. Thanks Brett for the professionalism!



http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blog...-update-1/59941
and
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blog...-february/60204
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