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> January 25th-28th MidAtl/NE Snowfall Forecast, By Request
jdrenken
post Jan 24 2015, 05:09 PM
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With JD's permission (and only after his permission) let's have a little fun for all of the forecasters out there.

I propose a snow forecasting contest for this system.

Total storm snow forecasts commencing at 1900L tomorrow through Wednesday Morning at 0700.

Cities: Boston (BOS), Hartford (HFD), Worcester (ORH), Concord (CON), August ME (AUG), Portland ME (PWM), Albany (ALB), LaGuardia (LGA), Scranton (AVP), Philadelphia (PHL), Atlantic City (ACY), Baltimore (BWI), Wash Dulles (IAD), Providence (PVD)

1 point error for each inch of frozen precipitation incorrect from official total values posted by Hydrological Prediction Center, NWS. Points summed up for all 14 locations.

Winner: Receives recognition from all other members by earning title of Winter 2015 Snow Champion (or another title deemed worthy by the old hands on this site)

Your entry must be posted on this thread visible to all NLT 1859 hours tomorrow night. One entry per person only. Supertyphoon will tabulate results and post by late Wednesday night.

ST


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phillyPete
post Jan 24 2015, 05:14 PM
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I'm too amateur to take part in this, but I like this contest idea and will be watching.
Good luck to all!
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stxprowl
post Jan 24 2015, 05:24 PM
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Great idea ST! I say give an extra point(s) to whoever puts their guesses in first. 😀
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 24 2015, 05:54 PM
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QUOTE(stxprowl @ Jan 24 2015, 05:24 PM) *
Great idea ST! I say give an extra point(s) to whoever puts their guesses in first. 😀



All suggestions will be considered....Lol. Hope everyone enters.


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telejunkie
post Jan 24 2015, 05:57 PM
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Starting filling in some answers, then realized I should wait at least through the 0z suite...quite a few question marks, but liking a combo of UK, Euro with 18z GFS right in that track(thanks to the Clapper Tracker™). Qpf... wacko.gif

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Jan 24 2015, 06:01 PM


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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lion10
post Jan 24 2015, 06:05 PM
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QUOTE(telejunkie @ Jan 24 2015, 05:57 PM) *
Starting filling in some answers, then realized I should wait at least through the 0z suite...quite a few question marks, but liking a combo of UK, Euro with 18z GFS right in that track(thanks to the Clapper Trackerô). Qpf... wacko.gif


Might as well wait until the 12z and 18z runs tomorrow. You have until 6:59 PM tomorrow evening.
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 25 2015, 01:32 PM
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First entry:

Supertyphoon

Bos 31
HFD 30
ORH 33
CON 26
AUG 22
PWM 18
ALB 13
LGA 23
AVP 7
PHL 13
ACY 12
BWI 5
IAD 3
PVD 23


--------------------
On the left...
Back to the Rockers....the best!

Davis Weather Station my backyard in Ashburn: www.stormysweather.com/WxFlash

Forecast Challenge 2016-17 update:

Forecast competition has finished. Results released 3/16 at 8pm
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Burr@Work
post Jan 25 2015, 01:42 PM
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I'm in... And I'm adding Trenton, NJ (TTN) because it's my neighborhood airport, and it really should be on this list if we're going to include ACY.

Boston (BOS), 22"
Hartford (HFD), 28"
Worcester (ORH), 30"
Concord (CON), 20"
Augusta ME (AUG), 24"
Portland ME (PWM), 22"
Albany (ALB), 12"
LaGuardia (LGA), 25"
Scranton (AVP), 8"
Philadelphia (PHL), 14"
Atlantic City (ACY), 10"
Trenton (TTN), 18"
Baltimore (BWI), 6"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 2"
Providence (PVD), 24"


Luckily, this is just a game, and nobody is relying on me to forecast anything. So much uncertainty, but I hope I have two hopes at this point: 1) my totals are too conservative, and 2) everyone stays safe.


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Burr@Work
post Jan 25 2015, 01:43 PM
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QUOTE(Supertyphoon @ Jan 25 2015, 01:32 PM) *
First entry:


Shoot, you entered while I was typing! I guess we were both waiting on the 12z Euro...

Good luck!


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*** Forecast Challenge 2016-2017 Bronze Medal Winner! ***
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Supertyphoon
post Jan 25 2015, 01:46 PM
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QUOTE(Burr@Work @ Jan 25 2015, 01:43 PM) *
Shoot, you entered while I was typing! I guess we were both waiting on the 12z Euro...

Good luck!



You too!


--------------------
On the left...
Back to the Rockers....the best!

Davis Weather Station my backyard in Ashburn: www.stormysweather.com/WxFlash

Forecast Challenge 2016-17 update:

Forecast competition has finished. Results released 3/16 at 8pm
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baltimorewisher8...
post Jan 25 2015, 01:57 PM
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Boston (BOS): 26"
Hartford (HFD): 28"
Worcester (ORH): 32"
Concord (CON), 24"
Augusta ME (AUG), 21"
Portland ME (PWM), 20"
Albany (ALB), 10"
LaGuardia (LGA), 15"
Scranton (AVP), 7"
Philadelphia (PHL), 11"
Atlantic City (ACY), 16"
Trenton (TTN), 14"
Baltimore (BWI), 4"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 2"
Providence (PVD), 21"

HOBOKEN - MBY - 12"
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ArlyDude
post Jan 25 2015, 01:59 PM
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Cities: Boston (BOS) 28"
Hartford (HFD) 28"
Worcester (ORH) 30"
Concord (CON) 23"
August ME (AUG) 22"
Portland ME (PWM) 22"
Albany (ALB) 14"
LaGuardia (LGA) 21"
Scranton (AVP) 8"
Philadelphia (PHL) 17"
Atlantic City (ACY) 12"
Baltimore (BWI) 4"
Wash Dulles (IAD) 4"
Providence (PVD) 23"

1 point error for each inch of frozen precipitation incorrect from official total values posted by Hydrological Prediction Center, NWS. Points summed up for all 14 locations.

Winner: Receives recognition from all other members by earning title of Winter 2015 Snow Champion (or another title deemed worthy by the old hands on this site)

Your entry must be posted on this thread visible to all NLT 1859 hours tomorrow night. One entry per person only. Supertyphoon will tabulate results and post by late Wednesday night.

ST
[/quote]
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MaineJay
post Jan 25 2015, 02:19 PM
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Thanks for including the Maine locations ST! smile.gif certainly made it more tempting to play


Boston (BOS) - 27"

Hartford (HFD) - 25"

Worcester (ORH) - 29"

Concord (CON) - 19"

August ME (AUG) - 19"

Portland ME (PWM) - 23"

Albany (ALB) - 14"

LaGuardia (LGA) - 22"

Scranton (AVP) - 9"

Philadelphia (PHL) - 13"

Atlantic City (ACY) - 9"

Baltimore (BWI) - 5"

Wash Dulles (IAD) - 3"

Providence (PVD) - 19"





--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

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NYCSuburbs
post Jan 25 2015, 04:22 PM
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Boston (BOS), 20"
Hartford (HFD), 30"
Worcester (ORH), 32"
Concord (CON), 24"
Augusta ME (AUG), 22"
Portland ME (PWM), 21"
Albany (ALB), 9"
LaGuardia (LGA), 26"
Scranton (AVP), 6"
Philadelphia (PHL), 14"
Atlantic City (ACY), 14"
Baltimore (BWI), 5"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 2"
Providence (PVD), 19"
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Fed_up_in_PA
post Jan 25 2015, 04:22 PM
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I usually just lurk on here the last 7 years, but what the heck, I'll try a forecast. I'm concerned trends
might be showing us busting low down here IMBY.

Boston (BOS): 27"
Hartford (HFD): 28"
Worcester (ORH): 31"
Concord (CON), 22"
Augusta ME (AUG), 25"
Portland ME (PWM), 22"
Albany (ALB), 15"
LaGuardia (LGA), 21"
Scranton (AVP), 14" (Oh, so that's what AVP is!)
Philadelphia (PHL), 5"
Atlantic City (ACY), 9"
Trenton (TTN), 8"
Baltimore (BWI), 4"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 4"
Providence (PVD), 21"
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WEATHERFAN100
post Jan 25 2015, 04:23 PM
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Cities:
Boston (BOS)- 25"

Hartford (HFD)- 27"

Worcester (ORH)- 30"

Concord (CON)- 22"

Augusta ME (AUG)- 20"

Portland ME (PWM)- 24"

Albany (ALB)- 11"

LaGuardia (LGA)- 19"

Scranton (AVP)- 7"

Philadelphia (PHL)- 11"

Atlantic City (ACY)- 14"

Baltimore (BWI)- 4"

Wash Dulles (IAD)- 2"

Providence (PVD)- 18"


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-James
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telejunkie
post Jan 25 2015, 04:51 PM
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Dropped BWI & DC down from my original numbers from yesterday and upped ME numbers a bit, not too different. Not ashamed to call for a HECS numbers with this one since it stalls out. Added mby for good measure.

Boston (BOS): 27"
Hartford (HFD): 33"
Worcester (ORH): 34"
Concord (CON), 28"
Augusta ME (AUG), 18"
Portland ME (PWM), 21"
Albany (ALB), 13"
LaGuardia (LGA), 20"
Scranton (AVP), 9"
Philadelphia (PHL), 12"
Atlantic City (ACY), 12"
Trenton (TTN), 16"
Baltimore (BWI), 5"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 2"
Providence (PVD), 29"

Manchester, VT: 18"

Giddiup!!

This post has been edited by telejunkie: Jan 25 2015, 04:52 PM


--------------------
Winter '16-'17 Winter Storms of Significance (>4")
11/20-11/22 - 8" 1/24 - 7" 4/1 - 4"
12/11 - 5" 2/9 - 8"
12/17 - 4" 2/12 - 10"
12/29 - 5" 3/14 - 18"

'09-'10 Snowfall: 76"
'10-'11 Snowfall: 117"
'11-'12 Snowfall: 44"
'12-'13 Snowfall: 62"
'13-'14 Snowfall: 88"
'14-'15 Snowfall: 99"
'15-'16 Snowfall: 26"
'16-'17 Snowfall: 85"

Telejunkie's, 100% unofficial yearly snowfall average - 77"
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weatherDCA
post Jan 25 2015, 04:52 PM
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Boston (BOS): 32"
Hartford (HFD): 35"
Worcester (ORH): 34"
Concord (CON), 25"
Augusta ME (AUG), 21"
Portland ME (PWM), 23"
Albany (ALB), 12"
LaGuardia (LGA), 27"
Scranton (AVP), 11"
Philadelphia (PHL), 14"
Atlantic City (ACY), 17"
Trenton (TTN), 19"
Baltimore (BWI), 5"
Wash Dulles (IAD), 2"
Providence (PVD), 33"
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sunday_driver
post Jan 25 2015, 04:57 PM
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Here is my entry, haha!

BOS 25
HFD 29
ORH 31
CON 25
AUG 22
PWM 22
ALB 10
LGA 25
AVP 9
PHL 14
ACY 10
BWI 3
IAD 2
PVD 19


--------------------
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on our New England town
and it's been falling all day long...
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stxprowl
post Jan 25 2015, 05:00 PM
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Boston (BOS) 24"
Hartford (HFD) 28"
Worcester (ORH) 34"
Concord (CON) 28"
August ME (AUG) 22"
Portland ME (PWM) 24"
Albany (ALB) 16"
LaGuardia (LGA) 37"
Scranton (AVP) 10"
Philadelphia (PHL) 12"
Atlantic City (ACY) 20"
Baltimore (BWI) 4"
Wash Dulles (IAD) 2"
Providence (PVD) 40"
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