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> Dec. 10-12 Plains/MW/GL/OV Storm, Reality: Short Range (0-4 Days Out) Forecasts
Juniorrr
post Dec 8 2012, 10:46 AM
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QUOTE(grace @ Dec 8 2012, 10:41 AM) *

NAM =cold wet bias

Though i would not rule out a brief changeover

This post has been edited by Juniorrr: Dec 8 2012, 10:47 AM
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cary67
post Dec 8 2012, 12:30 PM
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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Dec 7 2012, 11:22 PM) *
Sadly, was looking back through local stats, 11/6 was the last time we had measurable precip with near/below normal temps. I'm losing optimism with each week that passes.

I'll go out on a limb and call <6.5" this winter, average is 16'ish

More to the point is November was another month in the string of way below precip. Drought conditions in Northern IL are still there.
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OSNW3
post Dec 8 2012, 12:29 PM
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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Dec 7 2012, 09:22 PM) *
Sadly, was looking back through local stats, 11/6 was the last time we had measurable precip with near/below normal temps. I'm losing optimism with each week that passes.

I'll go out on a limb and call <6.5" this winter, average is 16'ish


STL is projected for just around what you think.
http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/theory...s/1213-STL.html

Up the road in CMI, however, they are projected for a little more.
http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/theory...s/1213-CMI.html

And you are somewhere in between, right?!


--------------------
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WeatherMonger
post Dec 8 2012, 12:57 PM
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QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Dec 8 2012, 11:29 AM) *
STL is projected for just around what you think.
http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/theory...s/1213-STL.html

Up the road in CMI, however, they are projected for a little more.
http://www.theplayerstour.net/osnw3/theory...s/1213-CMI.html

And you are somewhere in between, right?!

Yeah, I'm KSPI
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Niclc123
post Dec 8 2012, 04:32 PM
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Nam kind of looks good for Kentucky, if you are in the mountains .....
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Niclc123
post Dec 9 2012, 11:32 AM
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What is up with the latest NAM run? It has a lot of precipitation hanging back into the cold air.
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wiscsno
post Dec 9 2012, 11:48 AM
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Started snowing around 9am.looks like 3-5" when it's all over.
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Gilbertfly
post Dec 9 2012, 11:55 AM
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Somewhat complicated thread situation....as the pieces that create the phase create storms of their own before they congeal...but the pieces and the phase all affect the region so what ya gonna do?! lol

here's HPC's LP forecast...

Attached Image
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Gilbertfly
post Dec 9 2012, 12:01 PM
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honestly....coming together as the models have been showing it since the pieces of energy were sampled in the roab network...

D1...
Attached Image


D2...
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Hey JD....I keep checking for winter weather flight info...yet I don't even see any mention of Pacific probs for mission...It only shows Atlantic as being negative....and doesn't even have a Pacific title available....any thoughts?

Source
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