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> Winter 2017-18
dsichewski
post Yesterday, 07:42 PM
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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Jan 18 2018, 08:18 PM) *
well let's hope today's GFS is wrong....shows me getting 90mm of rain the next 2 weeks, zero snow and temps surging into the teens during the largest of 2 cutters.


Waving the white towel then if this come to be true? Lol
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Lake effect
post Yesterday, 08:23 PM
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Second crappy January in a row. That early thaw really killed it, and unusually Barrie didn't get a top up straight after. January for me is the make or break month, if it's rubbish then, then the base never really recovers. Think our totals for the winter are running behind average now. December was good but a bit below average, and this January is turning into a triple whammy of cutters followed by cold East winds. May get lucky next week and get some LES behind the rain, but it will only get washed away by the following cutter. All my hope now is in for the signposted cold spell in February. As long it's not a suppressive high like we've had, it will hopefully yield something.
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snowgeek93
post Yesterday, 09:23 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jan 18 2018, 08:23 PM) *
Second crappy January in a row. That early thaw really killed it, and unusually Barrie didn't get a top up straight after. January for me is the make or break month, if it's rubbish then, then the base never really recovers. Think our totals for the winter are running behind average now. December was good but a bit below average, and this January is turning into a triple whammy of cutters followed by cold East winds. May get lucky next week and get some LES behind the rain, but it will only get washed away by the following cutter. All my hope now is in for the signposted cold spell in February. As long it's not a suppressive high like we've had, it will hopefully yield something.

I think this January is a vast improvement over last year's and a pretty good one overall. By the time we lose the snow on Saturday, it will mark 20 days this month and 41 straight days with at least a trace of snow on the ground, the majority of those days having snow cover.

Everyday since Dec 11th there's been at least a trace of snow on the ground here with 90% of those days having snow cover. We're also at 50% of our average snowfall now with plenty more time to go and boost those totals.


--------------------
Buttonville Airport 2017/2018 Snowfall: 71.4cm

First Flakes: Nov 9th/10th
First Snowfall: Nov 9th/10th (2cm)
Biggest Snowfall: Dec 11th/12th (15.8cm)
Days with Snow on Ground: 42
Days with Snow Cover: 32

November 2017: 2.8cm (12.1cm)
December 2017: 45.2cm (34.2cm)
January 2018: 23.4cm (38.9cm)

Average Snowfall (Buttonville Airport): 142.6cm
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travis3000
post Yesterday, 10:18 PM
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The 18z GFS shows a monster cutter around the 27th-28th, with highs in the double digits. Lots of time for that to change though. To put in perspective the CMC has a snowstorm for all of Southern ON during the same time frame.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 39cm (18cm)


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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SNOWBOB11
post Yesterday, 10:44 PM
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I think we will be going into a fairly volatile pattern as we get into the last week of Jan first week of Feb and after we get the cutter system out of the way. Although the ensembles are hinting at warmer that avg temps during this time frame there could be several chances for storms for ON. Mixing will definitely be possible with these systems but I wouldn’t count out the chance for snow as well. Even though the general theme is for warmer than avg condition all it takes is for a storm to track to the south and bring in colder air for us to be in the cold sector and snow sector.

Latest run of the euro weeklies came out today and it’s showing a return to avg to colder than avg conditions for ON as we go through the first week of Feb and continuing until the end of the run.

Winter will be coming back with more cold and snow as we get into Feb. We’ll have to see if we can get one of these potential storms to give us snow even before the inevitable full come back of winter.


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markj138
post Yesterday, 11:39 PM
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QUOTE(SNOWBOB11 @ Jan 18 2018, 10:44 PM) *
I think we will be going into a fairly volatile pattern as we get into the last week of Jan first week of Feb and after we get the cutter system out of the way. Although the ensembles are hinting at warmer that avg temps during this time frame there could be several chances for storms for ON. Mixing will definitely be possible with these systems but I wouldn’t count out the chance for snow as well. Even though the general theme is for warmer than avg condition all it takes is for a storm to track to the south and bring in colder air for us to be in the cold sector and snow sector.

Latest run of the euro weeklies came out today and it’s showing a return to avg to colder than avg conditions for ON as we go through the first week of Feb and continuing until the end of the run.

Winter will be coming back with more cold and snow as we get into Feb. We’ll have to see if we can get one of these potential storms to give us snow even before the inevitable full come back of winter.


If we can some how pull of another 10-15 cm of snow before the end of January that would make 2 solid months in the book,we got lucky the past few days with the lake affect in the east end of Toronto,i see Pearson didnt get much in the west end.
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Lake effect
post Today, 01:01 AM
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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Jan 18 2018, 09:23 PM) *
I think this January is a vast improvement over last year's and a pretty good one overall. By the time we lose the snow on Saturday, it will mark 20 days this month and 41 straight days with at least a trace of snow on the ground, the majority of those days having snow cover.

Everyday since Dec 11th there's been at least a trace of snow on the ground here with 90% of those days having snow cover. We're also at 50% of our average snowfall now with plenty more time to go and boost those totals.


Toronto has definitely had a good January, but Barrie not so. It was OK up to the 12th, but that's it. Compared to what it can be like, it's not great. I'm used to much better.
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MrMusic
post Today, 08:22 AM
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QUOTE(dsichewski @ Jan 18 2018, 07:42 PM) *
Waving the white towel then if this come to be true? Lol


Not at that point yet. haha.
But January is turning out quite crappy.
Hoping this thaw doesn't have staying power, and maybe we snag a snowstorm somewhere before end of the month.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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Lake effect
post Today, 08:52 AM
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The Euro seasonal summary posted on weartherlovers by Mike retains the theme of a cold period in February followed by a very warm March and April. I personally would love this scenario. Early springs are very welcome to me. The lack of base would mean the land would warm up quick and we could see some weather to rival March 2012.

Really hoping we have a decent 2-3 week spell with some good accumulations in February though.
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