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> Summer 2018
Lake effect
post Jun 23 2018, 06:29 AM
Post #21




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QUOTE(Stl @ Jun 22 2018, 08:18 PM) *
GFS see a 3 days stretch for here above 32C , can't imagine how bad it will be for people who have to move on July 1st.


Just hideous. Our church is planning an outdoor service and BBQ...think I might give it a miss and wallow in the pool. Our move date is late August, and we will just be watching 😁
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Stl
post Jun 23 2018, 11:42 AM
Post #22




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jun 23 2018, 07:29 AM) *
Just hideous. Our church is planning an outdoor service and BBQ...think I might give it a miss and wallow in the pool. Our move date is late August, and we will just be watching ��


I think the pool is a better choice laugh.gif or watch the World Cup round of 16 who are starting at these dates.

Good thing you don't have to move , here it will be a nightmare for sure for everyone who moves next Sunday.

This post has been edited by Stl: Jun 23 2018, 11:43 AM
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Lake effect
post Jun 23 2018, 02:00 PM
Post #23




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QUOTE(Stl @ Jun 23 2018, 11:42 AM) *
I think the pool is a better choice laugh.gif or watch the World Cup round of 16 who are starting at these dates.

Good thing you don't have to move , here it will be a nightmare for sure for everyone who moves next Sunday.


Yes, hoping England get through to the next stage. Harry Kane looked awesome the other day.
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Stl
post Jun 23 2018, 07:23 PM
Post #24




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jun 23 2018, 03:00 PM) *
Yes, hoping England get through to the next stage. Harry Kane looked awesome the other day.


They should without any problems , Belgium will rest some of their players and i think England too as i expect them to beat Panama tommorow or else it will be a different game and qualification will be a bit more difficult.

Kane is in great form , he had a good season with Tottenham.

This post has been edited by Stl: Jun 23 2018, 07:37 PM
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travis3000
post Jun 24 2018, 09:55 AM
Post #25




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Looks like a very hot and humid Canada Day weekend.... I can see a multi day 30C+ stretch setting up across Southern and Eastern ON beginning Friday and rolling right into the following week. Temps with humidity around the 30th-1st could reach 43-45C.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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MrMusic
post Jun 24 2018, 01:13 PM
Post #26




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absolutely great weekend of rain!! My backyard reading is over 20mm now since Friday evening. So good to see, especially before this huge heat wave.
Some long range models keep my area above 30 for 7-10 straight days. Can't say I'm buying that yet.

Nor am I buying these projected humidex values in the 45-53 degree range being pumped out the last few days by the GFS. Regardless, it's gonna be hot!

For example, here is today's GFS output:

Fri: 32 feeling like 43
Sat: 35 feeling like 52
Sun: 36 feeling like 54
Mon: 35 feeling like 51
Tues: 36 feeling like 50

I'd have to dig around, but has anything like this ever happened here before?? One day at those readings would be crazy. 5 straight days is downright obscene.


This post has been edited by MrMusic: Jun 24 2018, 01:15 PM


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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travis3000
post Jun 24 2018, 04:23 PM
Post #27




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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Jun 24 2018, 02:13 PM) *
absolutely great weekend of rain!! My backyard reading is over 20mm now since Friday evening. So good to see, especially before this huge heat wave.
Some long range models keep my area above 30 for 7-10 straight days. Can't say I'm buying that yet.

Nor am I buying these projected humidex values in the 45-53 degree range being pumped out the last few days by the GFS. Regardless, it's gonna be hot!

For example, here is today's GFS output:

Fri: 32 feeling like 43
Sat: 35 feeling like 52
Sun: 36 feeling like 54
Mon: 35 feeling like 51
Tues: 36 feeling like 50

I'd have to dig around, but has anything like this ever happened here before?? One day at those readings would be crazy. 5 straight days is downright obscene.


I do agree the GFS is too hot. The Euro is not nearly as tropical, showing more like 30-32C highs with humidex values of 37-40C. So time will certainly tell.

We missed most of the rain up here in the Alliston/Barrie area. Only got a few hours of light showers early Sat AM but the entire day was dry. All last night as also dry here. Despite models showing lots of rain today, we were dry. Had a 15 minute shower around 3pm but that was it. A total of about 5mm the entire weekend. Sun has been out since 4:30pm here, humidex up to 25-26C, pure blue skies. Not nearly as bad as I was expecting.

This post has been edited by travis3000: Jun 24 2018, 04:23 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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MrMusic
post Jun 24 2018, 09:40 PM
Post #28




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backyard rain gauge got 50mm this weekend. So needed too!
I'd like to see the rain totals north of London, near the Exeter radar station...radar was loaded there this weekend.


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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Removed_Member_puttin_*
post Jun 25 2018, 08:59 AM
Post #29







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QUOTE(MrMusic @ Jun 24 2018, 10:40 PM) *
backyard rain gauge got 50mm this weekend. So needed too!
I'd like to see the rain totals north of London, near the Exeter radar station...radar was loaded there this weekend.

I caught the tail end of a weather report this morning about severe and strong thunderstorms but didn't catch when... I know it was something to do with the humidity but was wondering the time frame. I fooled around on the GFS models on Tropical Tidbits but I know as much about finding a thunderstorm on there as I do about changing oil on a car. Going to be up north on the weekend and would like to be prepared . Anyone have any thoughts? 50 degrees humidex is insane and dangerous !! Thanks all.
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snowgeek93
post Jun 25 2018, 02:41 PM
Post #30




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Spectacular, perfect day outside today. 21C and clear skies with a nice cool breeze and strong June sunshine. Doesn't get any better than this.

Enjoy it while it lasts before nature turns on the furnace this weekend.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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newfiebrit
post Jun 25 2018, 02:58 PM
Post #31




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Well we had a few nice days last week around 19-22c on 3 or 4 days, probably seen as cool by everyone else here! Then it cooled right off again yesterday, a high of 5c today basically winter out again, same again tomorrow along with alot of rain, even some snowfall talk still in the forecast for some parts of Newfoundland! blink.gif Then the weather seems to flip again back into the 20+c Thur/Friday before a bit cooler for the weekend, Wonder if this will be our summer here, flipping between nice to downright dismal weather without any majorly long stretches of warm weather? The overall theme looks to be below normal in the long range at least towards the end of July.

These are the current wind chill temps:



Yes we still do talk about windchill in late June in NL!

This post has been edited by newfiebrit: Jun 25 2018, 03:01 PM
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travis3000
post Jun 25 2018, 09:57 PM
Post #32




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QUOTE(puttin @ Jun 25 2018, 09:59 AM) *
I caught the tail end of a weather report this morning about severe and strong thunderstorms but didn't catch when... I know it was something to do with the humidity but was wondering the time frame. I fooled around on the GFS models on Tropical Tidbits but I know as much about finding a thunderstorm on there as I do about changing oil on a car. Going to be up north on the weekend and would like to be prepared . Anyone have any thoughts? 50 degrees humidex is insane and dangerous !! Thanks all.


I dont see any thunderstorms developing this weekend, biggest threat IMO is on Monday, even then they will be scattered. No big line.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Removed_Member_puttin_*
post Jun 26 2018, 07:41 AM
Post #33







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dry.gif
QUOTE(travis3000 @ Jun 25 2018, 10:57 PM) *
I dont see any thunderstorms developing this weekend, biggest threat IMO is on Monday, even then they will be scattered. No big line.


Thank you Travis for your insight....
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Lake effect
post Jun 26 2018, 03:40 PM
Post #34




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QUOTE(newfiebrit @ Jun 25 2018, 02:58 PM) *
Well we had a few nice days last week around 19-22c on 3 or 4 days, probably seen as cool by everyone else here! Then it cooled right off again yesterday, a high of 5c today basically winter out again, same again tomorrow along with alot of rain, even some snowfall talk still in the forecast for some parts of Newfoundland! blink.gif Then the weather seems to flip again back into the 20+c Thur/Friday before a bit cooler for the weekend, Wonder if this will be our summer here, flipping between nice to downright dismal weather without any majorly long stretches of warm weather? The overall theme looks to be below normal in the long range at least towards the end of July.

These are the current wind chill temps:



Yes we still do talk about windchill in late June in NL!


Do you ever hear the word "humidex" there? I saw the pics of snow, and nearly puked to be honest...wrong in so many ways.
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newfiebrit
post Jun 26 2018, 06:08 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jun 26 2018, 05:10 PM) *
Do you ever hear the word "humidex" there? I saw the pics of snow, and nearly puked to be honest...wrong in so many ways.


Yes sometimes! Some summers can have some decent spells though we dont generally get much above 35c Humidexes in St Johns , June is still a bit of a hit and miss month here for warmth though the snow seen today in some parts has never happened so late in the season before (think I read June 12th was the latest record date for accumulating snow). Seems weird weather even for us after what was a pretty mild winter. Hope this isn't climate change in action...milder winters and colder Springs would be the worst of both worlds. You just know come late fall we will be stuck in an above normal pattern (way warmer than some June days) on into early winter!

This post has been edited by newfiebrit: Jun 26 2018, 06:09 PM
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Lake effect
post Jun 26 2018, 06:25 PM
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QUOTE(newfiebrit @ Jun 26 2018, 06:08 PM) *
Yes sometimes! Some summers can have some decent spells though we dont generally get much above 35c Humidexes in St Johns , June is still a bit of a hit and miss month here for warmth though the snow seen today in some parts has never happened so late in the season before (think I read June 12th was the latest record date for accumulating snow). Seems weird weather even for us after what was a pretty mild winter. Hope this isn't climate change in action...milder winters and colder Springs would be the worst of both worlds. You just know come late fall we will be stuck in an above normal pattern (way warmer than some June days) on into early winter!


I will be back in the UK by then with a long season of wind of rain ahead of me sad.gif . I can guarentee this year will be epic in Ontario at least because I am going! In the meantime we will be going into the oven from Saturday onwards...32-35 daytime highs with lows in the 20s...I will be wallowing in the pool.
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plowguy
post Jun 27 2018, 10:17 AM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jun 26 2018, 07:25 PM) *
I will be back in the UK by then with a long season of wind of rain ahead of me sad.gif . I can guarentee this year will be epic in Ontario at least because I am going! In the meantime we will be going into the oven from Saturday onwards...32-35 daytime highs with lows in the 20s...I will be wallowing in the pool.

I hope your move goes well! I also expect a heavy winter as I have officially retired. building is sold and equipment is going. I will be checking in from time to time.
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MrMusic
post Jun 27 2018, 06:57 PM
Post #38




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a few sweet t-storms last night around 3am. Picked up another 10mm of rain. Super grateful for this couple bouts of rain last weekend and today before we hit the sauna


--------------------
Winter 2017-2018

December 12, 2017: 10cm - Welcome back winter!!
13: 5cm
14: 12cm
22: 9cm
23: 9cm
24: 16cm

JAN 2018
1: 5cm
8: 10cm
15: 6cm
29: 16cm

FEB 2018
8: 13cm
10-11: 18cm



Winter 2016-2017

Dec 2016: 30cm
Jan 2017: 5cm
Feb 2017: 7cm
March 2017: 35cm!! Finally!

Days with snow on the ground: 25
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travis3000
post Jun 27 2018, 07:17 PM
Post #39




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From: Alliston,Ontario
Member No.: 12,822





Barely had any rain up this way. Seems like you guys down there got the majority of it. Just a couple passing showers but it stops as quick as it starts.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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newfiebrit
post Jun 28 2018, 09:01 AM
Post #40




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Jun 26 2018, 07:55 PM) *
I will be back in the UK by then with a long season of wind of rain ahead of me sad.gif . I can guarentee this year will be epic in Ontario at least because I am going! In the meantime we will be going into the oven from Saturday onwards...32-35 daytime highs with lows in the 20s...I will be wallowing in the pool.


Must be hard to leave for sure. It looks pretty toasty in the UK at the moment too, infact most of the Northern hemisphere has been on the warm side in general apart from NL!

SST are well below normal here despite a mild winter (with barely any sea ice), is this evidence of increased glacial melt into the North Atlantic?



I honestly thought after the mild winter and signs of some early Spring warmth in April we would be setting up for a warmer Spring/Summer but at the moment it's been pretty chilly so far. Now today is a much better day with sunshine but only looks a high of 19c (when the forecast was 25c a couple of days ago, and still can feel the coolness in the breeze with dewpoints in the single digits. Maybe next week looks a little warmer though only really around seasonable at best.
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