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WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 05:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
0717 AM CDT FRI SEP 22 2017

...RECORD HIGH LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT SPRINGFIELD IL...

A RECORD HIGH LOW TEMPERATURE OF 72 DEGREES WAS SET AT SPRINGFIELD
IL YESTERDAY. THIS TIED THE OLD RECORD OF 72 LAST SET IN 1980.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2247993 · Replies: · Views: 623

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 21 2017, 06:25 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Ugh, hoping this does not come back all winter. Hit 95 today

Makes it 5 days in September of above 90 temps with 3 more days forecast and potential for an additional 2

Yesterday

QUOTE
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
0435 PM CDT WED SEP 20 2017

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT SPRINGFIELD IL...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 96 DEGREES WAS SET AT SPRINGFIELD IL TODAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 96 SET IN 1931.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2247898 · Replies: · Views: 623

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 20 2017, 08:06 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


The last image SanJuan radar recorded befire failure. Minutes from declarable landfall.

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247778 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 20 2017, 01:43 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Attached Image
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247581 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 19 2017, 09:50 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Kinda taken a more westnorthwesterly jog this last hour

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247526 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 19 2017, 08:58 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Movement over the past 2 hours

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247507 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 19 2017, 05:49 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(rtcemc @ Sep 19 2017, 05:43 PM) *
Winds were very likely to increase with this serious pressure drop over the last several hours. will be curious to see if that double eye wall will counteract it at all?

Has a bit of dry air entrenched as well, been in a class all day so haven't been following radar to see how long it has been there


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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247451 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 07:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(rtcemc @ Sep 18 2017, 07:34 PM) *
Sad thing here is with that blowup, I'm sure many thought to ride it out with CAT3 status for many reasons, including lack of means, etc. This just blows it up exponentially. Worse than Irma hit to Barbuda perhaps. Ron from Miami just posted bulletin that for the first time in its 300 year history, the island is now completely uninhabited. Not a single person remaining!! Now you have a much larger populated island with less warning, and possibly even bigger hit than Irma...


Yeah, I posted a quote from the US ambassador for that region who used the word "extinguished" when referring to living on the island.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247143 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 07:07 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Sep 18 2017, 06:57 PM) *
[/b]
21mb drop in under 3 hours blink.gif



Source


QUOTE
2. Which tropical cyclone intensified the fastest?


Typhoon Forrest in September 1983 in the Northwest Pacific Ocean deepened by 100 mb (976 to 876 mb) in just under 24 hr (Roger Edson, personal communication). Estimated surface sustained winds increased a maximum of 15 m/s (30 kt, 35 mph) in 6 hr and 44 m/s (85 kt, 98 mph) in one day (from 33 to 77 m/s [65 to 150 kt, 75 to 173 mph]).


In the Atlantic, Hurricane Wilma went from 954 mb to 901 mb over a 4 1/2 hour period, a rate of 9.9 mb per hour.The largest 6, 12 and 24 hour pressure drops recorded in the Atlantic are associated with Hurricane Wilma as well.See the NHC archives for details.


Hurricane Gilbert went from 960 mb to 888 mb in a 24 hour period for a 3 mb/hr pressure drop. The winds went from 57 to 82 m/s (110 kt to 160 kt, 127 mph to 184 mph) in that 24 hour period. And Hurricane Beulah in 1967 underwent a 6.33 mb/hr drop over a six hour period.
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247123 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 06:57 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE
BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
500 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

...MARIA BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...THE EYE AND THE INTENSE INNER CORE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR
DOMINICA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES


QUOTE
Hurricane Maria Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
745 PM AST Mon Sep 18 2017

...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FIND MARIA AS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE...



MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.43 INCHES



21mb drop in under 3 hours blink.gif
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247116 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 18 2017, 01:44 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Attached Image


Attached Image


Attached Image
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2247024 · Replies: · Views: 156,637

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 15 2017, 07:56 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Wow

Source

QUOTE
"Not a single living person" remains on the Caribbean island of Barbuda following the devastation of Hurricane Irma, the island's ambassador to the U.S. says.


“The damage is complete,” Ronald Sanders, who has been Antigua and Barbuda’s ambassador to the United States since 2015, told USA Today.

“For the first time in 300 years, there’s not a single living person on the island of Barbuda — a civilization that has existed on that island for over 300 years has now been extinguished.”


  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2246376 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 11 2017, 09:55 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(todd305 @ Sep 11 2017, 08:29 PM) *
Cell service is awful right now, he's fine I'm sure.. I'm riding my bike around block in circles and in the pitch dark, just to feel a breeze. It's 1,000 degrees in my house now. No excuse that in 2017 there are 7 million people without power, 95% of them who only saw a TROPICAL STORM.

I rarely call members out, but you have been something else through this event.

Woe is me "I'm riding it out and might die" and now to "I rode it out and no reason I should be living in discomfort".

You realize you are at or near sea level, as is the entire peninsula of Florida. Burying lines only goes so far in protecting the grid. You still have transformers, substations and other key components to protect. Some of which are meant to fail when placed under duress, much like a fuse or circuit breaker to protect the entirty in whole.

After this reply I place you on ignore, don't care to hear/read your rebuttal. Your commentary throughout has illuminated your holier than though attitude.

Good day sir
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245810 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 11 2017, 11:27 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(todd305 @ Sep 11 2017, 11:16 AM) *
When things slow down can someone do a synopsis on why this hurricane didn't cause the catastrophic damages im the Keys/SW that were expected just as recently as of yesterday. E.g., Track, Cuba, Rapid decrease intensification, etc. I mean when reports are of 130 and 140 gusts in Naples/Marco but damages are relatively not major, this doesnt make much sense. Very glad to hear mostly everyone is ok, just want to better understand the doom predictions vs. What actually took place. Fascinating stuff trying to learn from these storms.

Also is there anything to the NHC doing a last moment raise to "Cat 4 at landfall" for anything other than legit reasons ?

One of the unforeseens for the peninsula landfall was the backside winds weren't as significant dye to lack of eyewall. Less surge and windshift

  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245689 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 10:24 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Might be making a turn now. East and/or north of guidance

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245603 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 09:37 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
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Track is not going to verify

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Attached Image


Track thus far

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245585 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 06:08 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(Burr@Work @ Sep 10 2017, 05:59 PM) *
I dunno... going to have to recurve back to the west to hug the coast... not sure I'm buying that for several hours more...

Unless something changes, looks to me like the eyewall will come closer to Orlando than Tampa
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245539 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 04:03 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Bettes almost got vlown over with irma's last breathe lol
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245491 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:56 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Now a Cat 2 110mph winds
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245489 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:49 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Now saying may be a Cat 4 at landfall after data analyzed
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245482 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:48 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(stretchct @ Sep 10 2017, 03:43 PM) *
Mikes by the Hilton, sorta in North Naples. Stayed there for a week once.

About here using mapquest
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245480 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:43 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


3ft storm surge in 18 minutes in Naples
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245477 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Sep 10 2017, 03:28 PM) *
If you watch radar the eye is collapsing or maybe wobbled east keeping him in the eyewall laugh.gif was told 12 minutes over 18 minutes ago and lools like at least another 10 or maybe more to break the eye

They just broke the news to him lmao
  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245475 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:36 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
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Just about through it now

  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245471 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Sep 10 2017, 03:30 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 21,304
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
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Eyewall movement. Wobble or jog NE

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  Forum: Current Tropical Season Weather · Post Preview: #2245465 · Replies: · Views: 1,269,813

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