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> How many hurricanes will develop in the Atlantic in 2014?
2014 Atlantic hurricanes
How many hurricanes will develop in the Atlantic basin in 2014?
None [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
1-2 [ 1 ] ** [16.67%]
3-4 [ 2 ] ** [33.33%]
5-6 [ 2 ] ** [33.33%]
More than 6 [ 1 ] ** [16.67%]
Total Votes: 6
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NYCSuburbs
post May 15 2014, 08:37 AM
Post #1




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Just for fun, since barring some unexpected development this hurricane season looks to be on track for another year of relative inactivity thanks to the developing strong El Nino... I'm not so sure last year's almost-record setting late first hurricane would be matched by this year, although I would think the strong El Nino also helps to suppress the number of hurricanes (2009 and 2006 had a relatively low number of hurricanes, most of them weak).
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east coast storm
post May 15 2014, 11:14 AM
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QUOTE(NYCSuburbs @ May 15 2014, 09:37 AM) *
Just for fun, since barring some unexpected development this hurricane season looks to be on track for another year of relative inactivity thanks to the developing strong El Nino... I'm not so sure last year's almost-record setting late first hurricane would be matched by this year, although I would think the strong El Nino also helps to suppress the number of hurricanes (2009 and 2006 had a relatively low number of hurricanes, most of them weak).

Hopefully this will be an inactive atlantic hurricane season. No one wants to see a
landfalling hurricane so again hopefully any hurricane would stay out at sea.
I think you would agree.

This post has been edited by east coast storm: May 15 2014, 11:30 AM
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MaineJay
post May 18 2014, 07:32 AM
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I went with 5-6, after so few last year, going with the of averages i guess. I'm thinking we get a few weak ones, perhaps early in the season, before any potential El Niņo tries to exert it's influence. There has to be more than last year, right? Let's just hope that there are no trouble makers.


--------------------
"z = z2 + c" - Benoit Mandelbrot

"Speak softly and carry a big stick; you will go far" - Theodore Roosevelt.

MJ SN-o-meter. Each dash represents 1", 84 in total for 7', my average
//////////////////////////////////////////
//////////////////////////////////////////

***bonus snow***
////////////////////////////////

118" season to date
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BLIZZARD_OF_79
post Jan 10 2015, 11:53 AM
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From: sparrows point, MD
Member No.: 26,943





we had very low hurricane activity this past season. probably due to the light-mod elnino


--------------------
Garry
]skywarn spotter, NWS.
sparrows point , md. 21219

snow totals imby
Winter 2016-2017...
Dec 7th...TRACE
Dec 30th...TRACE
Jan 5-6th... .25 inches
Jan 7th... 1.0 inches
-----------------------------------
Season snow total so far..... 1.25 inches




last 7 previous winter snow totals...
09-10....79.5inches
10-11....21.7inches
11-12....2.5inches
12-13....11.3inches
13-14....44.1inches
14-15....28.25inches
15-16....32.50 inches
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BLIZZARD_OF_79
post Jan 10 2015, 11:53 AM
Post #5




Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Member
Posts: 2,147
Joined: 22-September 12
From: sparrows point, MD
Member No.: 26,943





we had very low hurricane activity this past season. probably due to the light-mod elnino


--------------------
Garry
]skywarn spotter, NWS.
sparrows point , md. 21219

snow totals imby
Winter 2016-2017...
Dec 7th...TRACE
Dec 30th...TRACE
Jan 5-6th... .25 inches
Jan 7th... 1.0 inches
-----------------------------------
Season snow total so far..... 1.25 inches




last 7 previous winter snow totals...
09-10....79.5inches
10-11....21.7inches
11-12....2.5inches
12-13....11.3inches
13-14....44.1inches
14-15....28.25inches
15-16....32.50 inches
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