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> February Cold/LES/clippers<10cm thread, Lot's of bits and pieces coming up with a month of cold
travis3000
post Feb 1 2018, 10:15 PM
Post #41




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It finally hit SW Barrie around 9ish , 3cm down here from that band. It is weakening and pushing south slowly.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 2 2018, 07:37 AM
Post #42




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We ended up with 7 cms here. Think we may get another 2-3cms this afternoon, which means we will come in much lower than I was hoping from this. Like you say in the storm thread, if the NAM trajectory for the next storm is right, it will be a bust for here...a few cms at most, and I wouldn't say I'm as optimistic as I was for the potential of further significant LES in the near term. Looks mostly West to East, so cottage country will get it...and Georgian Bay is starting to close up a bit now, so if the cold endures, we may only have another couple of weeks of LES opportunity left.

This post has been edited by Lake effect: Feb 2 2018, 07:38 AM
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TriC
post Feb 2 2018, 12:10 PM
Post #43




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almost a foot here in london this am.


--------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------

Live HD Webcam view from London, Ontario. With Time Lapse Loop.
Click to see current weather conditions.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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travis3000
post Feb 2 2018, 08:42 PM
Post #44




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From: Alliston,Ontario
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 2 2018, 07:37 AM) *
We ended up with 7 cms here. Think we may get another 2-3cms this afternoon, which means we will come in much lower than I was hoping from this. Like you say in the storm thread, if the NAM trajectory for the next storm is right, it will be a bust for here...a few cms at most, and I wouldn't say I'm as optimistic as I was for the potential of further significant LES in the near term. Looks mostly West to East, so cottage country will get it...and Georgian Bay is starting to close up a bit now, so if the cold endures, we may only have another couple of weeks of LES opportunity left.


I measured 6cm here in SW Barrie from the squall last night. Nice little surprise if you ask me. Everything is white again here with no grass showing, not even the tips. Looks like another 8-12cm on the way this weekend from these low pressure systems. I said it before, we are going to nickel and dime our way to an above normal winter snowfall wise.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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travis3000
post Feb 2 2018, 08:43 PM
Post #45




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QUOTE(TriC @ Feb 2 2018, 12:10 PM) *
almost a foot here in london this am.


That's crazy! You guys got nailed from that band. It must have been putting down 6-8cm per hour!


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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TriC
post Feb 3 2018, 01:11 PM
Post #46




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 2 2018, 08:43 PM) *
That's crazy! You guys got nailed from that band. It must have been putting down 6-8cm per hour!


Yes parked over the city for about 4-5..hours woke up not expecting that much.. thats for sure!


--------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------

Live HD Webcam view from London, Ontario. With Time Lapse Loop.
Click to see current weather conditions.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Lake effect
post Feb 3 2018, 05:31 PM
Post #47




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 2 2018, 08:42 PM) *
I measured 6cm here in SW Barrie from the squall last night. Nice little surprise if you ask me. Everything is white again here with no grass showing, not even the tips. Looks like another 8-12cm on the way this weekend from these low pressure systems. I said it before, we are going to nickel and dime our way to an above normal winter snowfall wise.


I doubt that. We are a long way behind here (about 50cms), and we usually have the nickle and dime AND big events. The lakes will only be open so long. We would need a really big storm, or LES outbreak very soon to turn things around. I doubt we will make it past 2m. So far here we have had about 120cms. Need another meter to get into range.
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snowgeek93
post Feb 3 2018, 07:24 PM
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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 2 2018, 08:42 PM) *
I measured 6cm here in SW Barrie from the squall last night. Nice little surprise if you ask me. Everything is white again here with no grass showing, not even the tips. Looks like another 8-12cm on the way this weekend from these low pressure systems. I said it before, we are going to nickel and dime our way to an above normal winter snowfall wise.

I was up in Barrie today and it looks great up there. Not an enormous difference from us but still significantly more snow than down here. Although we'll be catching up over the next few days with our snowpack.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Lake effect
post Feb 3 2018, 08:16 PM
Post #49




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QUOTE(TriC @ Feb 2 2018, 12:10 PM) *
almost a foot here in london this am.


Holy cow! You guys done good down there this year.
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travis3000
post Feb 3 2018, 09:18 PM
Post #50




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 3 2018, 05:31 PM) *
I doubt that. We are a long way behind here (about 50cms), and we usually have the nickle and dime AND big events. The lakes will only be open so long. We would need a really big storm, or LES outbreak very soon to turn things around. I doubt we will make it past 2m. So far here we have had about 120cms. Need another meter to get into range.


Only 120? We are approaching 160 here in SW Barrie. Not a bad winter overall. Lack of big storms though sad.gif Just a lot of small events and a few moderate snowfalls. Nothing compared to the big Barrie storms Im used to hearing about. I have been very diligent though measuring every snowfall all the way from October, even the little 2-4cm events. Im sure if you added those in you'd be closer to 140-150. I know the south end has had some lucky breaks this winter.

This post has been edited by travis3000: Feb 3 2018, 09:20 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 3 2018, 11:04 PM
Post #51




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 3 2018, 09:18 PM) *
Only 120? We are approaching 160 here in SW Barrie. Not a bad winter overall. Lack of big storms though sad.gif Just a lot of small events and a few moderate snowfalls. Nothing compared to the big Barrie storms Im used to hearing about. I have been very diligent though measuring every snowfall all the way from October, even the little 2-4cm events. Im sure if you added those in you'd be closer to 140-150. I know the south end has had some lucky breaks this winter.


Mate, I've been living here 6 years, and tbis is the second worst (2011/12 was the worst). At least two winters had sustained compacted snow depth over 60cms. Some miracles going on down there in south Barrie! I have hardly used the snow blower, and hardly shovelled. My front yard snow bank is only 3 feet deep...some years my blower can't clear it because it's six feet! The plows have been going out when there's only been 1cm as they are desperate to keep their hours up...usually they don't bother on our street unless it's 3 inches or more. Seriously, 1 inch of plow poop! I'm used to being shut into my house by the bastards!
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dsichewski
post Feb 3 2018, 11:28 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 4 2018, 12:04 AM) *
. Seriously, 1 inch of plow poop!


Lmao! Best line EVER! 😜😂😂😂
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Lake effect
post Feb 4 2018, 07:25 AM
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QUOTE(dsichewski @ Feb 3 2018, 11:28 PM) *
Lmao! Best line EVER! 😜😂😂😂


Shame I can't spell thoigh! 😁
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Lake effect
post Feb 4 2018, 04:39 PM
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Could be the last week when serious LES is possible off GB. Defintely a few opportunities for a quick 5-10cms, particularly Thursday and Friday.

Attached File  hicecon_00__3_.gif ( 25.19K ) Number of downloads: 1
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Lake effect
post Feb 6 2018, 06:29 PM
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Chance of a quick 5-10cms of LES for areas that benefit from a NW to SE wind tomorrow night. All of Barrie should be affected as it passes across the city starting in the Southwest around 9.00pm and ending up over northern sections by midnight. 1-2 hours of moderate intensity squall. Nice.

Winds look good:

Attached File  hwn_39.gif ( 30.04K ) Number of downloads: 0


NAM 3k is showing a decent little beasty:

Attached File  nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_32.png ( 221.95K ) Number of downloads: 3
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Lake effect
post Feb 7 2018, 10:46 AM
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The NAM has ditched any chance of LES tonight. The winds are forecast to be lighter now, but I still think that a reasonable squall will set up off GB this evening, probably just reaching Barrie, giving maybe 2-5cms. Off Huron there should be a better squall as winds are stronger and there is more open water.

7pm

Attached File  hwn_12__1_.gif ( 29.37K ) Number of downloads: 0


10pm the winds are stronger, this is when Barrie may get a decent blast for an hour, dropping 5cms, maybe more locally.



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Lake effect
post Feb 7 2018, 07:39 PM
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Nice band just forming over GB that should hit Barrie for a few hours...maybe as much as 10cm for some:

Attached File  Screenshot_20180207_193715.jpg ( 261.56K ) Number of downloads: 1


This post has been edited by Lake effect: Feb 7 2018, 07:39 PM
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puttin
post Feb 7 2018, 08:47 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 7 2018, 07:39 PM) *
Nice band just forming over GB that should hit Barrie for a few hours...maybe as much as 10cm for some:

Attached File  Screenshot_20180207_193715.jpg ( 261.56K ) Number of downloads: 1

Hey Lakie, coming down for the last hour pretty good here..big " mood" flakes....lol, nite! Sorry the picture is grainy, older iPad

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richard
post Feb 7 2018, 09:13 PM
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A little streamer down Highway 6 dropped a fluffy surprise 3+cm between 4-7pm, here in Fergus!


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It's what you learn, after you know it all, that counts.
- John Wooden
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Lake effect
post Feb 8 2018, 06:54 AM
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Yes all the models missed this...wasn't a huge amount although a squall did set up overnight hitting wassaga down to Angus, so they pribably got a good 10cms. Wind + cold + lake = lake effect. I do wonder if the NAM 3k takes satellite ice into account, this would be misleading. Barrie had about 3 cm, but missed the best of it.
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