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> February Cold/LES/clippers<10cm thread, Lot's of bits and pieces coming up with a month of cold
Lake effect
post Feb 8 2018, 07:14 AM
Post #61




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QUOTE(puttin @ Feb 7 2018, 08:47 PM) *
Hey Lakie, coming down for the last hour pretty good here..big " mood" flakes....lol, nite! Sorry the picture is grainy, older iPad


Purdy.
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snowgeek93
post Feb 8 2018, 08:24 AM
Post #62




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Some moderate snowfall in Thornhill morning. Looks fantastic out there smile.gif

This really has been a fantastic stretch here over the last week or so.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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Lake effect
post Feb 10 2018, 09:58 AM
Post #63




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Quick burst of LES Monday morning. Will start in southern cottage country, swing down through Orillia and Barrie before weakening and settling over Angus up to GB. Quick 5cms or so. May be one of the last as GB is nearly closed up.

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travis3000
post Feb 10 2018, 12:04 PM
Post #64




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This winter has been absent of large LES outbreaks which is surprising. The lakes were relatively warm this year. There have been a few decent outbreaks which affected the London area, as well as Midland and Orillia. But the Barrie to Alliston corridor has been very quiet for LES. Barrie almost always gets a 30cm+ LES outbreak each season, but this year the max is only around 20cm.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 10 2018, 12:18 PM
Post #65




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 10 2018, 12:04 PM) *
This winter has been absent of large LES outbreaks which is surprising. The lakes were relatively warm this year. There have been a few decent outbreaks which affected the London area, as well as Midland and Orillia. But the Barrie to Alliston corridor has been very quiet for LES. Barrie almost always gets a 30cm+ LES outbreak each season, but this year the max is only around 20cm.


Yeah and that was in November if I remember. It has been rubbish for LES, and unlikely to change much now. I think you must have jinxed it tongue.gif
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Lake effect
post Feb 12 2018, 08:44 AM
Post #66




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As I predicted, LES bands forming, will probably settle and hit somewhere between Barrie and GB for a few hours. Because the Bay isn't fully open, may be patchy at times, but somewhere will end up with 5cms.

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Lake effect
post Feb 14 2018, 12:50 PM
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Could be a decent band forming on Friday morning off GB, and one off Huron. Depends on the amount of melt and break-up over the next 48 hours. Winds fix in NW to SE for about 6 hours. As with Monday, someone will benefit, but as always hard to predict exactly, but could be as much as 10cms for some if temps are low enough:

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Lake effect
post Feb 14 2018, 08:06 PM
Post #68




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A day of south westerlies exposes the frozen solid BS of these maps. Still LES life in these waters, I am hopeful for my neck of the woods Friday.

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TriC
post Feb 14 2018, 09:36 PM
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Ice is breaking up fast in one day!
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--------------------
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Live HD Webcam view from London, Ontario. With Time Lapse Loop.
Click to see current weather conditions.


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Lake effect
post Feb 15 2018, 04:09 AM
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QUOTE(TriC @ Feb 14 2018, 09:36 PM) *
Ice is breaking up fast in one day!


Yes, hopefully will still yield some LES.
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Lake effect
post Feb 16 2018, 08:53 AM
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No models are showing this, but I predict a feisty squall to form off GB late morning, hitting Western sections of Barrie across to Angus. This will then move north East, and depending how quickly the temps drop, be quite active, maybe giving a 5-10 cm freshen up for Barrie. Something similar should form off Huron.
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travis3000
post Feb 16 2018, 05:35 PM
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A few light flurries did develop earlier this afternoon but no accumulations anywhere. The LES season is over.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 16 2018, 06:13 PM
Post #73




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 16 2018, 05:35 PM) *
A few light flurries did develop earlier this afternoon but no accumulations anywhere. The LES season is over.


Yep, those winds would have brought something, but they didn't. The worst LES season I can remember.
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travis3000
post Feb 16 2018, 07:16 PM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 16 2018, 06:13 PM) *
Yep, those winds would have brought something, but they didn't. The worst LES season I can remember.


Of course the year I move to Barrie.... ugh! I will say that while this year outperformed 90% of the seasons down in Alliston, it was still a letdown given Barrie's reputation. The largest snowfall was 21cm.... horrible for Barrie. Barring some crazy March blizzard this winter will be remembered for a lack of any big storms or LES outbreaks.

This post has been edited by travis3000: Feb 16 2018, 07:18 PM


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 17 2018, 08:13 AM
Post #75




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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 16 2018, 07:16 PM) *
Of course the year I move to Barrie.... ugh! I will say that while this year outperformed 90% of the seasons down in Alliston, it was still a letdown given Barrie's reputation. The largest snowfall was 21cm.... horrible for Barrie. Barring some crazy March blizzard this winter will be remembered for a lack of any big storms or LES outbreaks.


My first year in Barrie was 2011/2012...however, in spite of a general underperform, we had one LES outbreak in February that dumped 45cm on a strip of land 1.5km wide between here and GB...overnight! Went to South Barrie...nothing, Oro, nothing. If it wasn't for that, I would have been seriously peaved having come all the way from the UK to live somewhere snowy! So you still could get in the money this year...I think yesterdays lack of LES was temp related, not ice related. However, even if we don't, in the long run you will...the stats will be with you over the years...and we could still get that big late storm (06z run looks interesting for next week).
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travis3000
post Feb 17 2018, 11:47 AM
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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 17 2018, 08:13 AM) *
My first year in Barrie was 2011/2012...however, in spite of a general underperform, we had one LES outbreak in February that dumped 45cm on a strip of land 1.5km wide between here and GB...overnight! Went to South Barrie...nothing, Oro, nothing. If it wasn't for that, I would have been seriously peaved having come all the way from the UK to live somewhere snowy! So you still could get in the money this year...I think yesterdays lack of LES was temp related, not ice related. However, even if we don't, in the long run you will...the stats will be with you over the years...and we could still get that big late storm (06z run looks interesting for next week).



I dunno, Im seeing double digits here next weekend in another massive warmup.


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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Lake effect
post Feb 17 2018, 02:53 PM
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QUOTE(travis3000 @ Feb 17 2018, 11:47 AM) *
I dunno, Im seeing double digits here next weekend in another massive warmup.


Yeah...they've either gone NW or SE of us this season...12z is a soaker with warmth, cold air straight afterwards. Bring on the spring, write this winter off and hope it's a el nada next winter.
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