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> March 1st-2nd Winter Storm For Southern ON, Will this finally be the "the big one"?
Apocalypse
post Feb 28 2018, 04:47 PM
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Attached File  18gfs.png ( 150.77K ) Number of downloads: 7


GFS 18z doesn't look like a direct hit.

This post has been edited by Apocalypse: Feb 28 2018, 04:48 PM
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snowgeek93
post Feb 28 2018, 04:55 PM
Post #42




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We're still likely to get some snow here, just not the heaviest amounts. Unless of course the NAM comes true but Brett's forecast looks alright.


--------------------
Thornhill, Ontario Snowfall (Buttonville Airport):

2017/2018: 151.5cm (Weak La Nina)
2016/2017: 142.6cm (Weak La Nina)
2015/2016: 96.4cm (Strong El Nino)
2014/2015: 118.7cm (Weak El Nino)
2013/2014: 184.8cm (Neutral)
2012/2013: 151.6cm (Neutral)
2011/2012: 99.9cm (Weak La Nina)
2010/2011: 168.1cm (Moderate La Nina)
2009/2010: 71.3cm (Moderate El Nino)
2008/2009: 253cm (Weak La Nina)
2007/2008: 251.6cm (Moderate La Nina)
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 05:04 PM
Post #43




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QUOTE(Apocalypse @ Feb 28 2018, 04:47 PM) *
Attached File  18gfs.png ( 150.77K ) Number of downloads: 7


GFS 18z doesn't look like a direct hit.


The GFS is playing catch up,its best to looks at the short range models this close to the event
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plowguy
post Feb 28 2018, 05:25 PM
Post #44




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QUOTE(snowgeek93 @ Feb 28 2018, 04:55 PM) *
We're still likely to get some snow here, just not the heaviest amounts. Unless of course the NAM comes true but Brett's forecast looks alright.

Do you think Brantford will be in the 6-12 inch range? With the shift, I thought we were lower? Brett has me in that range
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 05:47 PM
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18z rgem

Attached File  rgem_asnow_neus_54.png ( 146.4K ) Number of downloads: 6
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markj138
post Feb 28 2018, 05:49 PM
Post #46




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18 z hrdps

Attached File  hrdps_asnow_neus_48.png ( 156.13K ) Number of downloads: 10
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SNOWBOB11
post Feb 28 2018, 05:52 PM
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Odd looking dry slot on the HRDPS. Good to see the RGEM still have S ON in the game.
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BIG Snowstorms
post Feb 28 2018, 06:10 PM
Post #48




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Can someone post Brettís map?
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Astronomer
post Feb 28 2018, 06:39 PM
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QUOTE(BIG Snowstorms @ Feb 28 2018, 06:10 PM) *
Can someone post Brettís map?



It's on page 2 of this thread almost 2/3 the way down the page.
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frosty
post Feb 28 2018, 06:41 PM
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QUOTE(BIG Snowstorms @ Feb 28 2018, 06:10 PM) *
Can someone post Brettís map?

Take a look at post 31 of this thread , itís there
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Lake effect
post Feb 28 2018, 07:04 PM
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QUOTE(plowguy @ Feb 28 2018, 04:31 PM) *
I'll take the miss.
Had some surgery last Friday going to be out for a while. Either way...I'm on the couch watching Magnum PI reruns. No snow in Hawaii cool.gif


Classic, if a little dated now. I used to drool over his Ferrari...and the ladies he encountered. Wishing you a speedy recovery.
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puttin
post Feb 28 2018, 07:23 PM
Post #52




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QUOTE(Lake effect @ Feb 28 2018, 04:04 PM) *
Really? you find it amazing after every single storm has either gone SE or NW this season since Christmas...cursed I tells you, we're cursed to forever watch storms go to our gun slinging neighbors.

I am amazed from the noon run to 4 hours later being out of the park...I get it. Winter is a sad mess for actual storms...today was beautiful. I will take more please..
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snowball
post Feb 28 2018, 07:37 PM
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Don't get me wrong I really don't care if we get snow or not..

But I remember a time when models were a heck of a lot more consistent and further out to boot.

Next year we should start a rule where under 24 hours to start a thread it's that bad.

I do like Brett's map for what it's worth!
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puttin
post Feb 28 2018, 07:44 PM
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QUOTE(snowball @ Feb 28 2018, 07:37 PM) *
Don't get me wrong I really don't care if we get snow or not..

But I remember a time when models were a heck of a lot more consistent and further out to boot.

Next year we should start a rule where under 24 hours to start a thread it's that bad.

I do like Brett's map for what it's worth!

The funny thing is on Global News they said it had not developed yet...how do the models know? Can they be wrong this close? Thanks Travis, it was a fun ride to hear your take! No jinx here...

This post has been edited by puttin: Feb 28 2018, 07:48 PM
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travis3000
post Feb 28 2018, 07:49 PM
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00z models will hopefully clear some things up. After that its nowcasting really. System pushes in tomorrow afternoon. Models have my area down for 1 inch to 8 inches. So who knows!


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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kush61
post Feb 28 2018, 08:13 PM
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WeatherDudeNYC posted this on the American forum.

This post has been edited by kush61: Feb 28 2018, 08:15 PM
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Attached File  post_20929_1519860892.gif ( 1.95MB ) Number of downloads: 1
 
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travis3000
post Feb 28 2018, 08:25 PM
Post #57




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^ Yep that was the 18z HRDPS model. Its the one that shows 20cm here!


--------------------
Barrie ,ON 2017/2018 Snowfall:
Alliston in ( )
October: 2cm (0cm)
November: 30cm (13cm)
December: 70.5cm (52cm)
January: 49.5cm (27cm)
February: 39cm (30cm)
March: 20cm (18cm)
April: 33cm (19cm)
SEASON TOTAL...
Barrie: 244cm
Alliston: 159cm


--
Alliston history
2016/2017: 148cm
2015/2016 Total: 121cm
2014/2015 Total: 113.5cm
2013/2014 Total: 200cm
2012/2013: 140cm
2011/2012: 103cm
2010/2011: 213.5cm
2009/2010: 97cm
2008/2009: 232cm
2007/2008: 291cm
2006/2007: 84.8cm
LAST 11 YEAR AVERAGE: 158cm

Travis
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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Feb 28 2018, 08:54 PM
Post #58




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Nam running let's see what model mayhem we will have
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cards101
post Feb 28 2018, 09:09 PM
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00z NAM is going to be much much better
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GreatWhiteTornad...
post Feb 28 2018, 09:15 PM
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Looks more north,
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