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RobB
Posted on: Jul 22 2017, 03:25 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


It has finally hit 90 smile.gif
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2232710 · Replies: · Views: 47,528

RobB
Posted on: Jul 22 2017, 06:50 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Due to all the periods of rain and high soil moisture content, still haven't hit 90 IMBY in the month of July. Still only 1 day of day on the year. Definitely has been plenty of high dew points though which is worse than a decent drier heat.

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for JUL. 2017

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  74.0  82.0   5:31p  67.7   5:04a   0.0   8.9  0.02   1.7  17.0   1:59p   WSW
2  75.4  84.9   3:43p  63.5   6:31a   0.1  10.3  0.01   1.9  17.0  12:21p     W
3  75.8  87.4   3:06p  61.3   5:57a   0.5  11.1  0.00   0.8  11.0   3:36p     W
4  75.2  85.3   1:33p  67.2   6:16a   0.0  10.0  0.22   0.7  11.0   2:30p   ESE
5  74.7  84.9   5:09p  63.3   6:18a   0.1   9.7  0.00   0.4   7.0   3:06p   ESE
6  73.5  77.9   4:23p  69.1  11:54p   0.0   8.3  0.46   0.3   8.0  11:34a   NNE
7  70.7  85.9   1:14p  64.3  11:56p   0.0   5.6  1.15   1.5  25.0   5:40p    SW
8  71.8  80.3   2:34p  64.3  12:01a   0.0   6.7  0.00   1.7  14.0   5:15p   WNW
9  69.3  80.5   5:27p  54.3   6:50a   2.2   6.5  0.00   1.0  16.0  12:36p   WNW
10  76.2  85.5   3:00p  65.9   1:30a   0.0  10.9  0.11   2.4  19.0   4:07p    SW
11  75.3  79.7   1:33a  69.1   6:02a   0.0  10.1  0.23   2.6  39.0   3:26p    SW
12  80.3  89.7   4:27p  72.5   6:53a   0.0  15.1  0.00   1.9  17.0   6:10p    SW
13  78.9  86.1   4:21p  73.0  10:10a   0.0  13.7  0.70   1.7  26.0   1:35p    SW
14  78.0  85.5   4:02p  70.7  11:59p   0.0  12.8  0.00   2.0  16.0   2:14p   WNW
15  71.7  81.2   5:49p  61.3   6:28a   0.6   7.1  0.00   0.9   8.0  12:17a   NNW
16  73.8  83.4   4:42p  62.2   5:18a   0.4   9.0  0.00   1.1  12.0  11:44a   WNW
17  76.5  87.4   5:35p  66.4   6:15a   0.0  11.3  0.01   0.5   7.0   1:06a     N
18  79.4  88.0   2:04p  68.2   6:17a   0.0  14.1  0.00   0.7  11.0   2:22p   WSW
19  79.1  88.6   4:37p  68.4   6:40a   0.0  13.8  0.00   1.1  11.0   1:07p   WNW
20  78.7  87.0   6:28p  70.2   3:07a   0.0  13.4  0.05   1.3  16.0   1:49p   WSW
21  78.1  85.5   5:34p  71.8  10:04a   0.0  12.9  0.13   1.2  35.0   7:36a    SW
22  74.6  75.9  12:01a  72.8   7:36a   0.0   3.0  0.37   0.2   7.0   6:04a   SSE
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    75.5  89.7    12    54.3     9     3.9 224.3  3.46   1.3  39.0    11     WSW

Max >=  90.0:  0
Max <=  32.0:  0
Min <=  32.0:  0
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 1.15 ON 07/07/17
Days of Rain: 10 (>.01 in) 8 (>.1 in) 1 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2232668 · Replies: · Views: 47,528

RobB
Posted on: Jul 15 2017, 08:43 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Half way into July and there has yet to be a 90 degree day this month IMBY. heck, I have only seen one 90 degree day this year! Not that I am complaining smile.gif
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2232212 · Replies: · Views: 47,528

RobB
Posted on: Jul 8 2017, 09:54 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(Snow____ @ Jul 8 2017, 05:35 AM) *
Power is still out. 11 hours now.

sad.gif Glad that the temps are mild at least. Hope it comes up soon!
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231745 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 04:22 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Tornao warning near Camden
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231695 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 02:14 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


With the first round, I saw pea sized hail IMBY. More storms in Indiana..

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231678 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 11:37 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Expanded the Enhanced area:

QUOTE
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1119 AM CDT Fri Jul 07 2017

Valid 071630Z - 081200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF
OH/IN/KY...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MIDWEST/OH
VALLEY...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS...OZARK PLATEAU...WI...AND NORTHEAST...

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
Severe storms producing scattered swaths of damaging winds and large
hail are likely over the Midwest centered on portions of Indiana and
Ohio this afternoon.

...Midwest...
Strong to severe storms are ongoing across parts of northern IN and
northwest OH. Robust diabatic heating is underway to the south of
this activity, including in the wake of weak outflow near the upper
OH River associated with decaying convection approaching the
northern/central Appalachians. With widespread lower 70s surface dew
points overlapping the eastern periphery of steep mid-level lapse
rates around 7 degree C/km from 700-500 mb as sampled by 12Z
Davenport and Lincoln RAOBs, large buoyancy will likely develop at
peak heating with MLCAPE reaching 2000-3000 J/kg across IL/IN into
southwest OH.

While stronger mid-level northwesterlies associated with a shortwave
trough near the MN/ON border will lag to the northwest of the
Midwest storms, moderate west-northwesterlies will be sufficient for
organized structures, including embedded supercells and bowing line
segments. Multiple MCSs appear probable with the ongoing activity
spreading southeast across OH, with additional storms likely forming
westward in IN near the intersection of early-day outflow and a
southeastward-progressing cold front. Given the dominant
linear/cluster modes, damaging winds appear to be the primary
hazard, with severe hail a secondary threat.

...Central High Plains...
Between a southeast Canada trough and Great Basin anticyclone,
modest mid-level northwesterlies will prevail, with a couple
embedded disturbances topping the ridge over the northern Rockies.
Isolated storms will develop over the Rockies and Black Hills by
late afternoon. Effective shear of 25-35 kt may yield a few
organized storms as they spread onto the adjacent plains. Sporadic
occurrences of hail and wind are probable, but confidence is low in
identifying a more concentrated area of storm development for a
Slight risk this outlook.

...Elsewhere...
Generally isolated strong to severe storms mainly with damaging wind
and some hail will be possible across the Northeast, Ozark Plateau,
Carolinas, and Wisconsin.

..Grams/Mosier.. 07/07/2017

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1636Z (12:36PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231662 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 11:10 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Tornado Warning north of Marion:

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231658 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 10:40 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Can you say "Unstable"?

MUCAPE and MLCAPE:


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231652 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 10:25 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Newest Mesoscale Discussion:

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231650 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 10:11 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Forgot to post the watch area:

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231648 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 7 2017, 09:55 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(MichelleOH @ Jul 7 2017, 10:34 AM) *
Now we are under an ENHANCED risk and have a severe thunderstorm watch until 5pm. Seems crazy they issued it at 10am....


Indeed. SPC:

QUOTE
...Ohio Valley/Great Lakes...
Strengthening mid/high-level west-northwesterly winds are expected
today amidst cyclonic upper flow. Several subtle and/or convectively
related disturbances will cross the region today ahead of a more
consequential disturbance/speed max that will spread southeastward
from northern MN and reach the Lake MI vicinity by early evening.
Increasing early-day storms across northern IN could persist
southeastward today, especially in areas along and west of
MCS-related early-day outflow across OH, with other peripheral
development expected near a southeastward-moving front within an
increasingly moist and unstable environment especially from southern
IL into IN/OH. For additional early-day details, see Mesoscale
Discussions 1253 and 1254.

12Z observed soundings from Davenport IA/Lincoln IL sample a plume
of relatively steep mid-level lapse rates that will continue to
advect east-southeastward across the region today, while the
Davenport IA sounding in particular sampled 40-55 kt high-level
northwesterly winds. Steepening lapse rates/moderate buoyancy in
conjunction with strengthening wind aloft will support some
supercells aside from more prevalent line segments/bows. Bouts of
severe hail and damaging winds will be possible as storms spread
southeastward through the afternoon and evening hours, with parts of
IN/OH into northern KY currently expected to have the greatest
concentration of severe-caliber storms.



  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2231646 · Replies: · Views: 3,711

RobB
Posted on: Jul 1 2017, 01:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


[quote name='NorEaster07' date='Jul 1 2017, 11:48 AM' post='2231353']
Nice couple of 40s in there. Wow at 6.78" of rain.
Only 1 90s?

Here's mine. Ignore the precip. Electronic garbage and an old station I need to replace soon. Had 3.18" for the month.

The number is correct. I have only seen one 90 degree day IMBY this year so far. Have had over 26 inches of liquid so far this year also.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2231364 · Replies: · Views: 47,528

RobB
Posted on: Jul 1 2017, 08:05 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


June weather stats IMBY:

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for JUN. 2017

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  65.9  79.0   4:33p  48.7   6:42a   4.4   5.3  0.00   1.1  13.0   1:09p   WNW
2  68.4  83.4   5:44p  50.3   6:34a   3.7   7.1  0.00   0.7  11.0   4:46p   WNW
3  71.8  87.0   3:45p  52.4   6:26a   3.0   9.7  0.00   0.9  11.0   4:24p   WSW
4  75.0  87.6   4:38p  59.9   6:14a   0.9  10.7  0.00   1.7  17.0   4:39p    SW
5  72.8  81.8   2:19p  65.1  11:59p   0.0   7.6  0.16   0.9  17.0   6:16p    SW
6  65.5  77.2   5:35p  53.3   5:45a   2.7   3.3  0.00   2.0  18.0  12:19p     N
7  60.7  64.5  12:15p  56.5  10:32p   4.2   0.0  0.00   1.8  17.0   1:29p     N
8  63.7  76.8   6:09p  48.9   5:27a   4.9   3.6  0.00   1.0  11.0  10:33a     N
9  68.8  83.0   5:12p  50.3   5:54a   4.0   7.7  0.00   2.0  18.0   3:27p    SW
10  76.0  85.7   5:46p  65.1   6:36a   0.0  10.8  0.00   2.4  17.0   4:06p    SW
11  78.2  88.6   4:50p  66.9   6:49a   0.0  13.0  0.00   2.3  19.0   2:29p    SW
12  80.4  91.2   5:08p  66.6   5:11a   0.0  15.2  0.00   2.0  13.0   4:33p    SW
13  77.5  86.8  12:08p  72.6   3:58p   0.0  12.3  0.05   0.8  20.0   1:01p   WSW
14  71.4  77.5   7:21p  67.2   2:36p   0.0   6.3  2.03   0.5  17.0   1:00p    SW
15  74.0  82.8   5:05p  67.1   5:59a   0.0   8.8  0.17   1.1  12.0  10:17a   WNW
16  77.7  88.6   4:40p  67.1   6:14a   0.0  12.6  0.00   0.8  10.0   4:13p   SSE
17  78.4  88.2   4:37p  66.7   6:28a   0.0  13.3  0.00   2.1  17.0   1:22p    SW
18  76.2  83.0   2:16p  68.6  11:51p   0.0  11.0  0.99   3.0  24.0   4:35p    SW
19  71.2  79.6   2:17p  62.9  11:56p   0.1   6.1  0.10   1.8  19.0   5:04p   WSW
20  71.1  82.4   5:00p  57.0   6:32a   1.6   7.7  0.00   1.9  17.0  11:56p   WNW
21  76.6  88.2   5:40p  64.3   6:35a   0.0  11.4  0.15   1.6  17.0   3:58p   WNW
22  76.5  83.0   3:13p  70.7   6:32a   0.0  11.2  0.01   2.3  18.0   4:12p    SW
23  70.5  74.2   7:57a  65.8  12:00m   0.0   5.5  2.58   1.2  18.0  10:00a    SW
24  69.3  78.1   4:22p  60.0   5:23a   1.0   5.1  0.01   1.9  17.0   1:35p   WNW
25  66.3  75.8   2:45p  52.9   6:52a   2.7   3.9  0.00   2.7  21.0   3:03p   WNW
26  63.9  73.0   4:03p  53.9   6:21a   3.1   2.1  0.02   1.9  18.0   1:08p   WNW
27  63.0  73.5   5:36p  52.3   6:11a   4.2   2.2  0.00   1.0  13.0   9:38a   WNW
28  66.8  80.1   4:53p  49.6   6:10a   4.3   6.1  0.00   1.6  14.0  12:46p     S
29  77.4  87.6   5:39p  66.7   2:36a   0.0  12.1  0.00   3.0  22.0  11:39a    SW
30  77.4  84.3   6:01p  69.2  11:49p   0.0  12.2  0.51   2.5  24.0  10:33p    SW
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    71.7  91.2    12    48.7     1    44.8 243.9  6.78   1.7  24.0    18      SW

Max >=  90.0:  1
Max <=  32.0:  0
Min <=  32.0:  0
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 2.58 ON 06/23/17
Days of Rain: 10 (>.01 in) 7 (>.1 in) 2 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2231352 · Replies: · Views: 47,528

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 04:57 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


My final rain tally was 2.57 inches. I stand at 6.23 inches of rain for the month of June.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230972 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 03:27 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Currently at 2.36 inches of rain. Not much rain left to fall...
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230952 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 01:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


I stand at 2.01 inches of rain IMBY. Soggy..
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230935 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 11:36 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Impressive totals to the north..
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230920 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 11:16 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Heaviest rains are north of my back yard. So far I have seen 1.65 inches of rainfall.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230918 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 09:06 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


1.23 inches of rain has fallen IMBY. Checking my camera from work showed some very heavy rains. My Vantage Pro measured 6.26 inches per hour rate at the heaviest..
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230911 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: Jun 23 2017, 08:35 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Not taking long for that rain to add up IMBY with that heavy area in Montgomery County..
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2230904 · Replies: · Views: 3,600

RobB
Posted on: May 18 2017, 08:08 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(Juniorrr @ May 18 2017, 09:04 AM) *
+1. Ruined my beauty sleep though mad.gif


smile.gif That stinks. At its heaviest, the rain rate was 6.26 inches an hour. Glad I mowed yesterday as we got a quick .72 inches IMBY.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2228493 · Replies: · Views: 21,726

RobB
Posted on: May 18 2017, 07:59 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Quite the heavy rain and lots of lightning through the Dayton area. Very nice!
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2228491 · Replies: · Views: 21,726

RobB
Posted on: May 8 2017, 06:31 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Temperature got down to 29.9 degrees IMBY this morning. Beautiful yet frosty morning.


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227700 · Replies: · Views: 5,011

RobB
Posted on: May 7 2017, 07:43 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 39,684
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Got fairly chilly this morning IMBY. Hit a low of 35.8 degrees. I could do without all the rain but I find the cooler air nice smile.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2227638 · Replies: · Views: 5,011

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