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Solstice
Rank: F5 Superstorm
17 years old
Male
New Canaan, CT (550 ft)
Born Jan-28-2001
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Weather (of course), cycling, hiking, etc.
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Joined: 8-December 17
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Last Seen: Today, 01:24 PM
Viewing Topic: June 27 2018 MidAtl/NE severe weather
Local Time: Jun 24 2018, 02:35 PM
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Solstice

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15 Jun 2018
Tropical Storm Carlotta Intermediate Advisory Number 4A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042018
100 PM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

CODE
...CARLOTTA FORMS JUST SOUTH OF MEXICO...
...CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN THREAT...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 99.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


Attached Image
5 Jun 2018
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Tue Jun 5 2018


QUOTE
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have become more concentrated overnight
near an elongated area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are
conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical
depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next
couple of days while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. An area of low pressure could form by Friday a few hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Upper-level winds are forecast
gradually become more favorable for development, and a tropical
depression could form over the weekend while the system moves
slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Blake


GOES 16 - Band 2 - 1 minute imagery
10 May 2018
05/11/18 0045 UTC Radar
Attached Image


OKX - Special Weather Statement
QUOTE
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service New York NY
839 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HUDSON...NORTHERN
UNION...SOUTHEASTERN BERGEN...ESSEX...QUEENS...BRONX...WEST CENTRAL
SUFFOLK...KINGS...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) AND NORTHERN NASSAU
COUNTIES...


At 837 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Basking Ridge to Co-
op City. Movement was east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

These storms will be near...
East Tremont and Throgs Neck Bridge around 840 PM EDT.
Great Neck and Sands Point around 845 PM EDT.
Glen Cove and Summit around 855 PM EDT.
Millburn and Bayville around 900 PM EDT.
Orange and Plainview around 910 PM EDT.
Newark and Elizabeth around 915 PM EDT.
Jersey City and Commack around 925 PM EDT.
Hoboken and Crown Heights around 930 PM EDT.


Currently hearing some serious "boom" coming from the southwest... not much here.
4 May 2018
Been a while! I'll keep it concise.

BSR
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SOI and SOID
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EAR
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Edit History:
05/04/2018 - Updated formatting.
05/06/2018 - Changed dates.
3 Apr 2018
My posts have been relatively bad lately, so I'm trying to up my game a bit. Hope you'll enjoy. smile.gif.

Link to Previous Cold Wave.
Link to Previous Temperature-Related Thread.


GFS - starting date.
Attached Image


GEM - most widespread cold.
Attached Image


SOI and SOID.
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4 Indices - 04/02/2018.
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GEFS - ensemble inclusion.

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GEPS - ensemble inclusion.
Attached Image
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