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RobB
Posted on: Yesterday, 09:48 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


Not even 11:00 and it is pretty uncomfortable out

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330308 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

RobB
Posted on: Yesterday, 08:51 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


June so far including 3 straight days of 90s IMBY. Pretty oppressive.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330306 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

RobB
Posted on: Yesterday, 08:50 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


June so far IMBY. Last three days were in the 90s.

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for JUN. 2018

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  72.3  81.4   2:49p  68.1   4:37a   0.0   7.2  0.14   0.8  13.0   4:10p    SW
2  74.7  84.5   5:45p  65.0   5:57a   0.0   9.5  0.00   1.0   8.0   7:58a     N
3  74.5  81.6   4:06p  67.1  11:57p   0.0   9.3  0.00   2.4  20.0   4:42p   WNW
4  67.9  76.5   6:05p  57.0   6:21a   1.3   4.1  0.00   2.5  18.0   3:02p   WNW
5  64.9  79.6   2:30p  53.7   4:20a   3.1   3.0  0.13   0.9  16.0   2:08p   WSW
6  64.2  75.1   5:35p  53.0   6:45a   3.1   2.3  0.00   1.2  13.0   1:09p     N
7  70.9  85.7   6:05p  56.0   5:50a   2.5   8.2  0.08   1.3  13.0   1:25p    SW
8  73.8  85.7   4:30p  67.1   6:32a   0.0   8.3  0.72   1.2  16.0   7:15p   WSW
9  73.6  87.4   3:29p  65.4   6:37a   0.0   6.7  0.05   0.8  28.0   5:19p   SSE
10  71.3  78.8  11:35a  65.0   5:18a   0.0   6.2  0.02   1.3  14.0   1:38p   WNW
11  70.6  77.2   6:41p  68.2   6:03a   0.0   5.5  0.15   0.3   8.0  10:59p   ESE
12  72.3  81.6   4:50p  67.6   1:20a   0.0   7.2  0.18   1.3  13.0   2:08p    SW
13  75.0  84.7   3:22p  69.4  12:00m   0.0   9.8  0.00   1.9  17.0   2:53p    SW
14  70.7  83.4   6:08p  54.2   6:24a   2.2   7.8  0.00   0.7   8.0   3:38p     N
15  74.6  87.2   4:02p  60.0   6:12a   0.9  10.3  0.00   0.8   8.0  12:42p   SSE
16  76.1  91.0   3:08p  65.1   5:52a   0.0  10.9  0.02   0.8  18.0   4:10p   WSW
17  82.0  94.3   4:45p  69.6   5:52a   0.0  16.7  0.00   1.2  11.0   1:57p   WSW
18  83.6  93.8   4:20p  71.9   6:19a   0.0  18.2  0.00   2.2  19.0   5:28p   WSW
19  78.3  82.0   9:47a  75.6   6:42a   0.0   5.3  0.00   0.6  11.0   9:34a    SW
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    73.2  94.3    17    53.0     6    13.1 156.5  1.49   1.2  28.0     9     WSW

Max >=  90.0:  3
Max <=  32.0:  0
Min <=  32.0:  0
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 0.72 ON 06/08/18
Days of Rain: 9 (>.01 in) 5 (>.1 in) 0 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2330305 · Replies: · Views: 17,228

RobB
Posted on: Jun 18 2018, 09:42 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


As of 10:40 this morning IMBY. Yuck!

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2330268 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

RobB
Posted on: Jun 1 2018, 03:00 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


May 2018 stats for my back yard. Quite the warm May indeed!

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for MAY. 2018

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  63.5  81.2   5:00p  41.1   5:46a   7.1   5.7  0.00   2.0  17.0   2:27p    SW
2  72.4  83.6   4:09p  56.4   2:49a   1.1   8.4  0.00   3.4  22.0  11:15a    SW
3  73.6  79.6   4:57p  68.9  12:35p   0.0   8.4  0.11   3.6  22.0   3:11p    SW
4  70.5  80.3   3:28p  57.3  11:59p   0.4   5.8  0.15   3.9  28.0   1:04p    SW
5  60.1  68.2   3:06p  50.9   4:04a   5.4   0.6  0.00   0.5   9.0  12:21p   SSE
6  62.7  78.1   3:19p  53.3   5:59a   4.5   2.2  0.10   0.5  18.0   4:12p   WSW
7  61.1  72.1   4:38p  50.5   6:23a   5.1   1.5  0.00   2.2  14.0  10:47a     N
8  62.2  77.9   5:11p  43.1   6:45a   6.5   3.8  0.00   0.7  11.0   4:04p    SW
9  68.4  81.6   3:40p  52.1   6:25a   3.7   7.0  0.00   2.8  21.0   3:12p    SW
10  71.6  81.4   4:58p  62.2   6:40a   0.4   6.7  0.06   3.2  22.0   2:55a   WNW
11  71.1  86.1   4:18p  57.4   6:35a   1.6   6.9  0.00   1.7  18.0   4:29p    SW
12  76.4  85.7   4:17p  66.6  12:00m   0.0  10.9  0.06   2.6  18.0  10:49a    SW
13  73.6  88.2   4:34p  58.4   6:09a   1.3   8.5  0.00   2.0  20.0   3:14p   WNW
14  76.1  87.2   6:10p  64.1   6:05a   0.0   9.9  0.00   1.6  22.0  12:11p   WSW
15  76.2  88.2   2:58p  67.6  11:51p   0.0  11.0  0.50   1.8  19.0   4:59p   WSW
16  68.7  76.6   2:15p  63.8   6:19a   0.1   3.8  0.04   0.7  11.0   4:19p     N
17  69.5  82.0   3:45p  60.2   5:45a   0.9   5.3  0.18   1.2  17.0   3:33p    NE
18  67.7  73.3   4:17p  62.9   5:10a   0.3   2.9  0.45   1.6  13.0  10:20a     E
19  70.9  78.4   4:26p  66.4   6:14a   0.0   5.6  0.15   1.9  19.0   5:12p    SW
20  72.1  83.0   4:34p  64.8   6:51a   0.0   6.8  0.02   0.7   8.0   9:45a     N
21  71.9  85.5   5:05p  62.7   6:35a   0.3   6.8  0.40   1.3  20.0   8:02p     N
22  73.0  83.6   5:27p  66.1   4:04a   0.0   7.4  0.01   1.9  14.0   1:35p    SW
23  69.8  79.7   4:48p  61.3   6:37a   0.7   5.4  0.00   1.3  12.0   1:13p     N
24  68.5  82.6   5:36p  54.6   6:12a   2.2   5.0  0.00   1.0  12.0  12:28p     E
25  72.5  86.3   4:34p  55.1   6:22a   2.3   9.6  0.00   1.2  14.0   4:08p   WSW
26  72.3  84.9   2:42p  65.1   2:54a   0.0   5.0  0.70   1.1  17.0   2:45p    SW
27  77.8  89.7   4:32p  66.1   3:40a   0.0  12.0  0.01   0.7   8.0  10:10p   WSW
28  80.3  92.1   3:37p  67.1   6:29a   0.0  14.9  0.00   0.9  11.0   1:52p   SSE
29  78.9  87.8   5:32p  69.1   5:27a   0.0  13.6  0.00   2.0  18.0   3:47p    SE
30  77.3  85.3   2:35p  71.3  10:32p   0.0  12.0  0.93   3.4  22.0   3:38p   SSE
31  76.2  86.5   4:25p  71.4   3:42a   0.0  10.8  0.00   2.1  21.0   5:10p    SW
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    71.2  92.1    28    41.1     1    43.9 224.2  3.87   1.8  28.0     4      SW

Max >=  90.0:  1
Max <=  32.0:  0
Min <=  32.0:  0
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 0.93 ON 05/30/18
Days of Rain: 14 (>.01 in) 9 (>.1 in) 0 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2329575 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: May 29 2018, 10:15 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(ohiobuckeye45 @ May 29 2018, 09:23 AM) *
*insert comment comparing April and May* laugh.gif


smile.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2329345 · Replies: · Views: 2,760

RobB
Posted on: May 22 2018, 12:02 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE
Mesoscale Discussion 0489
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1157 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

Areas affected...Eastern Indiana...Ohio...Far Northwest Pennsylvania

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 221657Z - 221930Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...A severe threat appears likely to develop this afternoon
from eastern Indiana east-northeastward across Ohio into far
northwest Pennsylvania. Wind damage and isolated large hail are
expected to be the primary threats. Weather watch issuance will need
to be considered as storms increase in coverage and intensity.

DISCUSSION...Latest surface analysis shows a cold front located from
northwest Ohio southwestward into west-central Indiana. Surface
dewpoints along and just ahead of the front are in the upper 60s to
near 70 F. Surface temperatures are now in the 75 to 80 F range and
the RAP is analyzing a corridor of moderate instability with MLCAPE
of 1000 to 1500 J/k across eastern Indiana and western Ohio.
Thunderstorms have developed over the last hour along the front near
the strongest instability. Thunderstorms will continue to expand in
coverage as low-level convergence increases along the front and as a
shortwave trough moves from west to east across the region. In
addition to the instability, regional WSR-88D VWPs show moderate
deep-layer shear. For example, the Cleveland VWP has 0-6 km shear
near 30 kt with unidirectional winds from the west-southwest. This
wind profile should support a potential for damaging wind gusts with
multicells especially as low-level lapse rates steepen over the next
few hours. Cells that have rotation may also be capable of producing
isolated large hail.

..Broyles/Weiss.. 05/22/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON 42068049 42048150 41878255 41238391 40248550 39818581
39258563 38958505 38788372 39488188 40958016 41657990
42068049
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2328885 · Replies: · Views: 3,884

RobB
Posted on: May 22 2018, 11:42 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2328884 · Replies: · Views: 3,884

RobB
Posted on: May 22 2018, 11:39 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


SPC Update:

QUOTE
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
UPPER OHIO VALLEY AND THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast mainly this
afternoon and evening across parts of the Mid-Atlantic States and
Ohio Valley, as well as over portions of the High Plains and
north-central Rockies.

...Upper Ohio Valley...
Visible imagery indicates thinning cloud cover over Indiana and much
of Ohio which will permit stronger diabatic heating and air mass
destabilization to occur this afternoon, in advance of a
southeastward moving cold front located from extreme northwest Ohio
into southwest Indiana. The decrease in cloud cover will spread
into western Pennsylvania with time and contribute to a gradual
increase in heating. MLCAPE is expected to reach 1000-1500 J/kg,
with greater instability expected with westward extent.

Short bands of mainly shallow convection are developing along/ahead
of the front from northwest Ohio into east central Indiana.
Updrafts within this activity are expected to strengthen with
several bands of northeast-southwest oriented thunderstorms forming
by early-mid afternoon. The storms will be located on the southern
edge of stronger westerly winds aloft, including the right entrance
region of an upper level jet, resulting in deep layer shear of 30-40
kt that will enhance storm organization and intensity. Stronger
cells will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts with isolated
hail also possible mainly with any storms that are able to develop
transient updraft rotation. The activity will spread eastward and
southeastward through the evening hours before storms gradually
weaken as boundary layer cooling and low-level stabilization occurs.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2328882 · Replies: · Views: 3,884

RobB
Posted on: May 15 2018, 11:21 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16






QUOTE
SPC AC 151613

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1113 AM CDT Tue May 15 2018

Valid 151630Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST
PA...FAR NORTHERN NJ...SOUTHERN NY...NORTHWEST CT...SOUTHWEST MA...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Widespread damaging winds, a few tornadoes, and scattered large hail
is expected across parts of the Northeast States this afternoon into
early evening.

...Northeast States...
Convective evolution will be tied to an MCV and small convective
cluster currently ongoing near the OH/PA border. Robust diabatic
heating is underway ahead of this feature with trailing outflow from
a lead convective cluster currently crossing the Hudson Valley. 12Z
Pittsburgh sounding sampled a favorable environment for
destabilization with an EML yielding steep mid-level lapse rates.
Warm-sector buoyancy of 1000-2000 J/kg will become common by peak
heating. This sounding also sampled the southern periphery of strong
700-500 mb winds. As the OH/PA cluster evolves east and becomes
surface-based, convection will organize into a fast-moving QLCS with
embedded bowing structures given the strong mid-level westerlies
nearly orthogonal to the line. Widespread strong to scattered severe
wind gusts appear likely which may yield a derecho, and thus
damaging wind coverage probabilities have been increased this
outlook. A few cells should form ahead of the developing QLCS, most
likely across parts of southern NY/Hudson Valley vicinity into
western New England. Supercell wind profiles will support a tornado
and large hail risk maximized across this region, with this activity
becoming absorbed within the broader QLCS. The severe threat will
quickly wane near the Atlantic Coast once the QLCS impinges on the
stable marine layer.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2328179 · Replies: · Views: 21,728

RobB
Posted on: May 2 2018, 11:53 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(telejunkie @ May 2 2018, 11:23 AM) *
April 2018 was a full 10F colder than April 2017 imby, averaging 39.3F (vs 49.5 F in 2017) according to my neighbors PWS:



Crazy stuff. IMBY, it was 11.8 degrees!

47.4 degree mean this past April compared to 59.6 in 2017.
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2327308 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: May 1 2018, 07:04 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


My back yard Vantage Pro stats. Quite the cool April. Last April, I had one morning with a temp of 32 or below. This past April, I counted around 13.

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2327197 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 15 2018, 11:13 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Apr 15 2018, 11:58 AM) *
Look at the epic bust... severe reports all around the moderate risk, only a few in it.



Funny how that works. Just extend the moderate area out 40 miles in diameter then boom, it looks good. Is a bust, I guess, but not too far off from being right. Funny how bullseyes in weather potential so often don't turn out..At least we remember those more. Psychological fun and games smile.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2326385 · Replies: · Views: 17,707

RobB
Posted on: Apr 14 2018, 09:09 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


April so far IMBY. Was quite nice to see upper 70s the past two days. Cleaned my grill out yesterday evening in preparation for back deck grilling and IPA consumption smile.gif

CODE
MONTHLY CLIMATOLOGICAL SUMMARY for APR. 2018

NAME: South Dayton Bruiser Home   CITY: South Dayton   STATE: Ohio
ELEV:   728 ft  LAT:  39 41' 30" N  LONG:  84 12' 20" W

                   TEMPERATURE (F), RAIN  (in), WIND SPEED (mph)

                                      HEAT  COOL        AVG
    MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  41.3  48.7  12:47a  33.0  12:00m  23.1   0.0  0.00   3.2  24.0   2:44a     N
2  37.2  45.9   4:38p  28.8   7:32a  27.2   0.0  0.17   1.8  13.0   3:12p    SE
3  54.5  65.0   3:31p  42.0   1:41a  10.2   0.0  2.18   2.5  28.0   4:34p    SW
4  37.3  60.3  12:01a  32.9  10:34p  27.3   0.0  0.03   7.1  29.0   1:41a   WNW
5  38.3  47.1   6:07p  27.4   7:42a  25.1   0.0  0.00   1.4  14.0  12:28p   WNW
6  45.0  56.7   2:32p  30.4  11:27p  19.5   0.0  0.06   4.1  22.0   5:29p   WNW
7  33.1  41.1   5:46p  27.7  12:29a  31.6   0.0  0.05   3.0  16.0  12:04a     N
8  34.2  42.4   3:41p  24.2   7:07a  30.6   0.0  0.00   1.7  11.0   9:14a     N
9  35.4  38.6   2:50p  31.3   6:46a  28.8   0.0  0.03   0.7  11.0   3:18p    NW
10  36.9  44.0   2:36p  26.1   5:48a  27.7   0.0  0.00   0.8  11.0  11:06a   WNW
11  45.4  62.2   4:36p  26.5   5:33a  19.3   0.0  0.00   2.4  20.0   2:26p    SW
12  65.9  78.3   5:04p  54.5   5:57a   3.5   4.4  0.00   4.9  28.0  11:31a    SW
13  71.9  79.7   4:39p  64.5   7:36a   0.0   6.8  0.00   4.3  28.0   1:43p    SW
14  68.0  72.1  12:01a  65.0   9:08a   0.0   1.2  0.00   1.8  13.0   4:57a    SW
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    46.0  79.7    13    24.2     8   273.9  12.4  2.52   2.8  29.0     4       N

Max >=  90.0:  0
Max <=  32.0:  0
Min <=  32.0:  8
Min <=   0.0:  0
Max Rain: 2.18 ON 04/03/18
Days of Rain: 6 (>.01 in) 2 (>.1 in) 1 (>1 in)
Heat Base:  65.0  Cool Base:  65.0  Method: Integration
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2326124 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 14 2018, 08:55 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(dissident @ Apr 14 2018, 12:14 AM) *
so far this snow is a bleeping non event like usual. There's a reason so many people ignore these forecasts.. because they always overestimate the bleeping snowfall amounts. Now here I am stuck at home taking off work when I could have worked at least half the night if not the full night for this non event that all the bleeping weather models predicted 12-18 inches, closed all the interstates and issued no travel advised, and so far it's one big bleeping dry slot/non event. Next time they predict a big storm I'm going to ignore them.

This is why people ignore forecasts because they ALWAYS overestimate.. like 80% of the snowfalls in my life and predicting a 70% chance of rain which ends up being maybe a 30% chance to cover their butts, meanwhile everyone just laughs at the forecasts because they are so pathetic.

Don't scare people into thinking we will get a foot of snow when we end up getting 4 inches. People get sick of that *bleep* and then just ignore the forecasts, which is what I'm finally going to start doing.

Yeah I got myself a little drunk to take advantage of the vacation I burned and because I suspected something like this would probably happen because like I mentioned it happens so much. Scare everyone into a non event and then wonder why people complain about forecasting accuracy.



I must admit that I enjoyed this meltdown. Don't hold back smile.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2326121 · Replies: · Views: 12,414

RobB
Posted on: Apr 11 2018, 08:17 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(ClicheVortex2014 @ Apr 11 2018, 08:13 PM) *
Probably Henry Margusity laugh.gif


Actually, he is no longer with AccuWeather. I did (do) think he is better with severe weather than winter storms. He's decent w when it comes to that aspect of weather.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2325737 · Replies: · Views: 17,707

RobB
Posted on: Apr 10 2018, 07:26 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/10 Euro EPS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325605 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 10 2018, 07:24 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/10 0Z GEFS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325603 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 10 2018, 07:24 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/10 0Z NAEFS:
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325602 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 9 2018, 05:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/9 CPC day 8 to 14 probabilities
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325535 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 9 2018, 03:24 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/9 12Z NAEFS:
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325512 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 9 2018, 12:45 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


4/9 12Z GEFS 5 day 2 meter temp anomalies:

  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325488 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 8 2018, 03:07 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


QUOTE(so_whats_happening @ Apr 8 2018, 03:55 PM) *
Well the GFS took off the idea of that sharp cutoff to COD as PSU was alluding to it did take a step to the EURO idea but also the Euro took a step to the GFS kind of playing a middle ground theme. Both essentially have it in 8 and move it into 1 and weakening quite a bit before just glancing 2 and moving into COD but then they both are starting to pick up on the idea of making a entrance for a week or so into COD but then want to bring it back out into 7 again. That would probably help explain why the GFS almost reverts back to a very similar pattern many are experiencing now. It wants to get a push in the atmosphere to get it moving again but as soon as it does it goes right back. So mean troughing locations showing up in NW PAC and NE Asia region England and central Europe as well as SE Canada Eastern US. Im sure this pattern should break but with us closing in on a week before we head into COD region bets seem to be dwindling on east ridge west trough idea besides the 2-3 day time period where we see some warmth before it gets cut again.

Couple severe weather threats showing up as well during the next 2 weeks, at least the more noticeable ones Im kind of surprised we have managed to have this pattern lock in as much as it has. The stagnation is pretty remarkable to see. I still think we manage to just around average for the month overall around midatlantic into NE and GL region well that may be a different story. Will all this hold well who is to say for sure but what we do know is we will be having some type of warming taking place around mid month as we have a slight move in the pattern and then maybe revert back to the below normals towards the end of the month beginning of may. Fits what RRWT was pointing out in LR gotta remember though we have a moving average now at this point not as intense in temp average gains as say through march with the increase but low to mid 60s as average down here at the end of the month and pushing mid to upper 60s going into may Ill take slightly below average!


As always, I enjoy and appreciate your posts!

Thanks...
  Forum: Long-Range U.S. Forecasts · Post Preview: #2325411 · Replies: · Views: 79,899

RobB
Posted on: Apr 8 2018, 02:26 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
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Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


A few local snow reports....
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2325406 · Replies: · Views: 6,219

RobB
Posted on: Apr 8 2018, 02:23 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Founding Member
Posts: 43,032
Joined: 7-March 04
From: Dayton, Ohio
Member No.: 16


I figured, I would post in here despite being in the OV.

41.1 degrees but the dew point is only 10! Crazy..
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2325405 · Replies: · Views: 5,213

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