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> June 19-24th Plains/MW/GL/OV Severe Weather, SPC Risk Level: Day 1 Slight Risk - Forecasts & OBS
jdrenken
post Jun 21 2011, 04:21 PM
Post #461




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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
402 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 PM TSTM WND DMG OKAWVILLE 38.43N 89.55W
06/21/2011 WASHINGTON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SIX TO EIGHT INCH LIMBS DOWN BLOCKING ROADWAYS.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


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jdrenken
post Jun 21 2011, 04:23 PM
Post #462




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QUOTE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
425 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0413 PM TSTM WND GST KEYESPORT 38.74N 89.28W
06/21/2011 E75 MPH CLINTON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE BLOWN ONTO ROOF OF HOME...ESTIMATES THE WIND
GUST WAS 70-80 MPH


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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CentralIllinois
post Jun 21 2011, 04:28 PM
Post #463




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Jun 21 2011, 04:23 PM) *
Ugh, actually it's starting to look like I'm going to get split if current radar follows through. Good Ol' Springfield mad.gif


Looks like I might have a shot at the line south of Taylorville


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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SADBadger
post Jun 21 2011, 04:33 PM
Post #464




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QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jun 21 2011, 04:13 PM) *
Awesome! In the same breath, flash flooding bulletins get placed in the Flooding Thread. wink.gif


I'll remember that the next time. I was just so chuffed I wanted to share! I'm over it now. laugh.gif


--------------------
Bass Drummer, Celtic Nations Pipes & Drums; Tenor drummer, Greater Milwaukee Fire & Police Pipes & Drums

Student, UW-Milwaukee, Biomedical Sciences/Medical Laboratory Technology
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CentralIllinois
post Jun 21 2011, 04:37 PM
Post #465




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Wow blink.gif

QUOTE
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
436 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

ILC005-027-051-119-121-135-212200-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0374.000000T0000Z-110621T2200Z/
MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONTGOMERY IL-FAYETTE IL-BOND IL-CLINTON IL-
436 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHEASTERN
CLINTON...BOND...FAYETTE...SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...MARION AND EAST
CENTRAL MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 429 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 80 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSTOWN...OR 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF VANDALIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. PENNY SIZE
HAIL MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION...AT 410 PM A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED A LARGE TREE
BLOWN DOWN ON TOP OF A HOME IN KEYESPORT.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAMSEY...ST. ELMO...WRIGHTS CORNER...AVENA...ST. JAMES AND LA
CLEDE.


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 04:43 PM
Post #466




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Some clouds to the east of Springfield

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Illinois blizzar...
post Jun 21 2011, 04:37 PM
Post #467




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QUOTE
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
440 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 438 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF RAIN-WRAPPED
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR KINMUNDY...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST
OF SALEM...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FARINA...BROWNSTOWN...ST. ELMO...WRIGHTS CORNER...ST. PETER...
LOOGOOTEE...AVENA...ST. JAMES AND LA CLEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES AND
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE
TORNADO. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

&&


This post has been edited by Illinois blizzard: Jun 21 2011, 04:38 PM


--------------------
2013:
Winter Weather Advisories: 1
Winter Storm Watches: 0
Winter Storm Warnings: 0

9.20" on 12/14/13 first winter storm

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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 04:48 PM
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QUOTE(CentralIllinois @ Jun 21 2011, 04:28 PM) *
Looks like I might have a shot at the line south of Taylorville

Definitely some storms trying to go up, some are failing miserably though

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MDH
post Jun 21 2011, 04:47 PM
Post #469




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That's quite the surprise storm right over the west suburbs of Grand Rapids.
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CentralIllinois
post Jun 21 2011, 04:47 PM
Post #470




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QUOTE(WeatherMonger @ Jun 21 2011, 04:48 PM) *
Definitely some storms trying to go up, some are failing miserably though


Yea I agree some of these are having a hard time getting going.


--------------------

Severe Thunderstorm Watch:3
Severe Thunderstorm Warning:7
Tornado Watch:2
Tornado Warning:1


2017-2018 Snowfall:15.6"
2016-2017 Snowfall:6.3"
2015-2016 Snowfall:14.7"
2014-2015 Snowfall:27.8"
2013-2014 Snowfall:42.8"
2012-2013 Snowfall:24.4"


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SEMIweather
post Jun 21 2011, 04:53 PM
Post #471




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QUOTE(MDH @ Jun 21 2011, 05:47 PM) *
That's quite the surprise storm right over the west suburbs of Grand Rapids.


Fired up right off of the lake breeze.


--------------------
University of Oklahoma Meteorology Major - Class of 2014


Follow me on Twitter.
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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 05:01 PM
Post #472




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QUOTE(CentralIllinois @ Jun 21 2011, 04:47 PM) *
Yea I agree some of these are having a hard time getting going.

Yeah, think I may have been right when I said earlier east of 55 in IL. Seems to be the case thus far. Hopefully some more can get going to the SW around Alton and west. Looks like I'll get to post some more pics of the storms skirting by to the west shortly. Hate to be a Debbie downer but I'm a storm repeler
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Gilbertfly
post Jun 21 2011, 05:02 PM
Post #473




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QUOTE(SEMIweather @ Jun 21 2011, 04:53 PM) *
Fired up right off of the lake breeze.


nice convergence. . .

Attached Image
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jdrenken
post Jun 21 2011, 04:57 PM
Post #474




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Storm crossing I-70 South of Ramsey, IL is developing it's own Mesolow. Look out Shelbyville, IL and anyone on the lake.


--------------------
QUOTE
For the record...I AM THE MISSOURI MAULER!


It's a work in progress!

Have a question? Look at our FAQ first.


The Utility of the Bering Sea and East Asia Rules in Long-Range Forecasting
Organicforecasting Blog


If it is important enough to you, you will find a way. If it is not, you will find an excuse.
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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 05:06 PM
Post #475




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Looks like the storm near Olney here, and now SE of newton mat need a tornado warning soon

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Gilbertfly
post Jun 21 2011, 05:09 PM
Post #476




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MCD 1344. . .

Attached Image

QUOTE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1344
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN IL...NRN AND CNTRL IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 212156Z - 212330Z

AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IN THE WARM SECTOR OF THE OCCLUDING LOW OVER
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY IS GENERALLY WEAK...BUT 30-40 KT
SOUTHERLY DEEP LAYER FLOW AND SHEAR IS AT LEAST MODESTLY STRONG
SOUTHEAST OF THE CYCLONE...OVER MUCH OF MISSOURI INTO ILLINOIS.
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE ALSO STEEPEST ACROSS THAT SAME REGION...
BUT MIXED LAYER CAPE HAS BECOME LARGE OVER MUCH OF OHIO VALLEY/
SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION IN THE PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING.

A DEVELOPING COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH AN EVOLVING MESOSCALE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM SEEMS TO OVER THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR AN ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS INDIANA...AS IT SPREADS ACROSS THE
INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR...INCLUDING INDIANAPOLIS DURING THE 00-02Z
TIME FRAME. OTHERWISE...IN A SOMEWHAT BETTER SEVERE WEATHER
ENVIRONMENT...VIGOROUS CONVECTION WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
NORTHWARD OUT OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF ILLINOIS
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
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Illinois blizzar...
post Jun 21 2011, 05:03 PM
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Pretty big watch..

QUOTE
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 534
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 500
PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST OF
FORT STOCKTON TEXAS TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LONGVIEW TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 531...WW 532...WW 533...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY IN
COVERAGE/STRENGTH OVER CNTRL AND SW TX LATER THIS AFTN AND EVE AS
HEATING FURTHER ERODES CINH ON NRN FRINGE OF WARM/MOIST AIR MASS
LEFT UN-OVERTURNED BY LAST NIGHTS MCS. OTHER STORMS EXPECTED TO
PROPAGATE GENERALLY SW FROM EXISTING STORM CLUSTER SW OF SHV.
DEGREE AND DISTRIBUTION OF SFC-BASED INSTABILITY...AND MODERATE DEEP
SHEAR WITH SIZABLE DIRECTIONAL COMPONENT SUGGEST LIKELIHOOD FOR
SUSTAINED STORMS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL...LOCALLY DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS A TORNADO. THE CNTRL AND W
TX STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO A COUPLE LOOSELY-ORGANIZED CLUSTERS THAT
PERSIST INTO THE NIGHT WITH A GRADUALLY DIMINISHING SVR THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30020.


This post has been edited by Illinois blizzard: Jun 21 2011, 05:05 PM


--------------------
2013:
Winter Weather Advisories: 1
Winter Storm Watches: 0
Winter Storm Warnings: 0

9.20" on 12/14/13 first winter storm

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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 05:10 PM
Post #478




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Seems my EST shot may be te tail end Charlie and the bottom of tenline merging

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The Snowman
post Jun 21 2011, 05:14 PM
Post #479




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Do i see a derecho in South IL??


--------------------
Annual Snowfall

2014-2015: 46"
2013-2014: 69.5"
2012-2013: 37''


Groundhog Day Blizzard 2011: 24"
Super Bowl Sunday Blizzard 2015: 18"
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WeatherMonger
post Jun 21 2011, 05:20 PM
Post #480




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Is the western extent of the ongoing convection the bulk of the forcing from the cold front itself or is there a chance at a second round? Storm to my SW is playing tricks on my eyes, now it may pass through Chatham instead of to my west.

This post has been edited by WeatherMonger: Jun 21 2011, 05:20 PM
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