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WeatherMonger
Posted on: Today, 09:16 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(longislander @ Jul 20 2018, 09:34 PM) *
Yes, they need some work over there. Even the main board for what should be "Current Weather" doesn't seem to have individual threads for current conditions in the specific parts of the country where they are occurring.

I created one thread in the Severe Weather sub forum during the IA tornado breakout.

Didn't realize another thread already existed for the following days(yesterday) event or probably would have just posted in it.

Here we separate regions even though it is the same system, it looks like their thread titles are very similar to what stormtrack does.

If you have a large slight risk it includes all the states included in it regardless of which region they are in. Whereas here we might have 3 separate threads for that same event, one for the MW/OV, one for NE/Mid Atl and one for the Southeast.

Once accuweather shuts down it is gone. It's not as if ww can just go take over someone elses forums and tell them the new way they are going to operate things regardless of which site that emds up being. The current one being tested out has been established for over a decade, just like here. Imagine ifbthey shut down and migrated here expecting us to change our ways to fit theirs.

I know you weren't implying that, and not directing this directly to you. Quoted your post about how I seen differences in the way they generate threads compared to here and went off topic a bit. Just notice there are a lot of complaints about what other sites don't have that accuweather does as a reason they don't like it.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2332157 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 11:06 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(psu1313 @ Jul 20 2018, 10:56 AM) *
I tried yesterday and today and can't get the Captcha picture sliders to work.

What I ultimately had to end up doing is to tap the slide area to get it to move rather than slide the slider. Just tap until all 3 images are upright

Edit, I was using an android phone.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2332016 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 10:06 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


I'm moving to OH
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2332007 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 08:56 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jul 20 2018, 08:34 AM) *
That moderate is literally on my doorstep.

Can you look out the window and see the red line? laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331998 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 08:20 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jul 20 2018, 08:16 AM) *
I did use a gmail account. When I attempted to re-register, now I get a message that someone already has the name jdrenken. Not only that, but to accuse people of "folks with diminished visual acuity" when, in reality, it's the captcha that can't figure out what horizontal vs vertical means is a little bit insulting.

But hey...what do I know.


Odd, doesn't show up in the member list. Must store the user name even if not activated.

Attached Image

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331993 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 08:12 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Moderate creeping towards OH

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331990 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Yesterday, 07:51 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jul 20 2018, 07:49 AM) *
Well I'll be...

Now...about my registration email that I never received. wink.gif laugh.gif

He also posted this yesterday, probably in response to the posts in this thread

QUOTE
Yes, we have TWO separate captcha instances (Google reCaptcha and a noCaptcha) to prevent spambots from autoregistration and flooding the forum with bogus postings. Since we did that, very few miscreants have made it through the gauntlet to annoy the members. We recommend using gmail or hotmail addresses .. due to the shared mail gateway used by our hoster, we sometimes end up on spam blacklists so comcast, sbcglobal, att, rr addresses may bounce the validation email (and so you can never complete the registration/activation process).

But.. the noCaptcha image rotation captcha has a couple of downsides:
1) it doesn't work well on iOS/Safari (can't move the controls easily) and
2) doesn't support folks with diminished visual acuity. For that, send me a note (use the contact form at Saratoga-weather.org ) and I'll help with registration.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331985 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 09:34 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(Solstice @ Jul 19 2018, 09:27 PM) *


laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331951 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 09:33 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(kenmtrue @ Jul 19 2018, 09:04 PM) *
I was a member of WeatherMatrix, but had no special relationship with Jesse either there or here. I liked the old weatherforum.net for the weather software/hardware and website programming stuff. When weatherforum.net died suddenly, four of us worked to resurrect it as wxforum.net in 2006, and two of the original founders are still active on the site.

It's true that wxforum.net tends more to weather software/hardware and website programming stuff, but never to the exclusion of other topics interesting to weather enthusiasts, so the Accuweather forum folks are and should feel quite welcome there.

WXforum.net was founded as an independent (not sponsored by a weather software enterprise) and so is a bit different than specialty forums for Weather-Display, Cumulus, WeatherCat and Meteobridge. We do have members who are primary authors of some of that software, but main support for their producs really exists on their dedicated forums.

Yes, we've had some heated discussions regarding climate change, and some members had to be counseled about bad behavior, but in general, the forum has a lot of knowledgeable, helpful and mostly polite members, and we like it that way smile.gif

Best regards,
Ken (admin WXForum.net)


And you are a member here indeed laugh.gif

Is there a certain format you would like "transients" from here to use when creating new threads or topics?

One thread covering multiple dates for the same system(as is here) or a separate thread for each date of an event unfolding?

I think one of your sites members, Intheswamp, said it best:


Attached Image





  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331950 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 08:35 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(MaineJay @ Jul 19 2018, 08:02 PM) *
I agree, one never knows how well the locals will receive them, weather boy has it set up very similar to the accuweather one. Doesn't look half bad, 1mb limit on attachments will make satellite loops challenging, but can't be too choosy. smile.gif


Agree as well.

Biggest problem with creating a new forum is not only handling the web traffic that this site endures, but also weeding out the china bots amd every other bot that does nothing but infiltrate forums.

I've been on some smaller Vbulletin forums and seen what the bots can do in a matter of 12 hours and the hassles the admins have to go through to both weed out and prevent such occurences.

WXforum.net has both longevity amd safeguards in place.

IMO, it would probably be the accuweather2.0 everyone is seeking, but be another site altogsther. It just had that first impression aspect to it when it was first linked to by another forum member, solistice?. I think a lot of members here seen the same thing, then having the admin state he was a member here, before here was ever here.

They feel they have the capacity in bandwidth, it's just a matter of putting it to the test.


Just a matter of conforming to their way over our way so to speak. I haven't heard of any of them speaking out against our joining, could be the lift they need and the result we need bundled together.

heck, solstice could very well be Jesse incognito and shoving us off to his friend laugh.gif

#tinfoilhat
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331941 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 07:53 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(MaineJay @ Jul 19 2018, 07:17 PM) *
Appreciate your efforts. smile.gif it's probably a good idea to have more than one alternative, who knows how it'll go on the WXforum site...

I'll be postng in the accuweather forum till it's kaput, but I'll gladly register with the one you set up, because once this place is locked up, it'll be difficult to organize.


I signed up as well, never hurts to have a menu of options.

My biggest concern with everyone going to established forums is trying to turn their forum into this one, rather than molding into theirs.

The current forum being considered has welcomed us in, but if we try to make them adhere to this forums ways it might not be a good outcome.

The admin, Ken, over there seems to be very accomodating and willing to help those from here to join and have some of what was offered here.

He has some history with Jesse(WeatherMatrix) before accuweather, not sure of their current standing with each other, but maybe those wanting to transfer some content from here to there could speak with him and see if it is feasible. heck, they may be in talks as we speak for all everyone knows.

I'll be here until the refresh errors out, but still hoping for equal or better things for all of the members here.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331933 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 07:13 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Thought I posted it here as well. Started a thread at the other site as well. Trying to get a handle on how to proceed over there.

  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331930 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 06:42 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Attached Image

QUOTE
Mesoscale Discussion 1091
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0626 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018

Areas affected...Northeast Missouri into western and central
Illinois.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely

Valid 192326Z - 200030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Storms in southeast Iowa are expected to grow upscale
through the evening with an increasing wind damage threat. A
downstream severe thunderstorm watch is likely within the hour.

DISCUSSION...Latest HRRR guidance suggests the storms in southeast
Iowa may continue to grow upscale through the evening. Effective
shear of 40 to 45 knots per the latest RAP mesoanalysis and MUCAPE
of 2000 to 2500 J/kg supports continued growth of these existing
storms. If a strong enough cold-pool develops, a MCS may develop and
persist through much of the overnight period. Wind damage will be
the primary threat as these storms organize into a more linear mode.
Once these storms congeal into a linear segment, the tornado risk
will likely decrease as low-level shear vectors will be oriented
mostly parallel to any linear development. Some hail is possible,
but modest mid-level lapse rates (6 to 6.5 C/km) will preclude a
greater hail threat. A severe thunderstorm watch will likely be
needed within the hour to cover the damaging wind threat into the
overnight period.

..Bentley.. 07/19/2018
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331925 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 05:40 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Wow, twin tornado in this vid



https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid...mp;id=501662735
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331921 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 05:37 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(snowlover2 @ Jul 19 2018, 05:30 PM) *
Catastrophic damage in Marshalltown IA.

Wow, that is some decriptive storm report blink.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331920 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 02:18 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Easiest way would probably be to have forums.accuweather.com/xxxxx links redirect to the forum that is chosen by the majority.


Or if the refugees migrate across different borders maybe just a blank page with multiple choices and the user can search those sites for the members they seek.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331900 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 02:02 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Gonna be much ado about nothing around here. Been cloudy all day and had a brief shower late morning. Was surprised to not be moved out of the slight risk or even marginal at the 1630z update. Suspecting they will trim the eastern edge on the next update.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331899 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 01:15 PM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


A new message from the admin saratogaWX. Should be visible to all regardless of signing up or not.


https://www.wxforum.net/index.php?topic=347...2;boardseen#new

QUOTE
As Accuweather.com forums have published that they are intending to cease operation, we are pleased to offer a 'clean, well lighted place for discussions' so our fellow weather enthusiasts can continue discussions on weather topics.

So, a hearty welcome to you, Accuweather 'refugees' smile.gif

The Accuweather Current Weather - United States was organized as one forum/board with several sub-forums as shown in the image below. We have a slightly different set of boards to use for your topics located under the "General Weather/Earth Sciences Topics" area.

For specific storms (like posts in the accuweather main US forum, I suggest you use the Weather Conditions Discussion or Severe Weather discussion boards for posts. The Tropical Weather and Long-Range U.S. Forecasts boards here match the usage on Accuweather boards.

We have a separate Posting Games section for games (on which post counts for members do not increment).

The Weather Conditions Discussions area is the place to put Personal Weather Discussions.

Non-weather related stuff should go in Chit Chat and non-weather related technical discussions in Tech Corner

Be aware that posting counts do not increment on topics in Posting Games or Chit Chat boards, and posting counts are not indicative of expertise/quality -- only of number of postings.

The forum rules are very simple:


QUOTE
You agree, through your use of this forum, that you will not post any material which is false, defamatory, inaccurate, abusive, vulgar, hateful, harassing, obscene, profane, sexually oriented, threatening, invasive of a person's privacy, adult material, or otherwise in violation of any International or United States Federal law. You also agree not to post any copyrighted material unless you own the copyright or you have written consent from the owner of the copyrighted material. Spam, flooding, advertisements, chain letters, pyramid schemes, and solicitations are also forbidden on this forum



Attached Image




  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331896 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 11:25 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(KnightRaven @ Jul 19 2018, 11:16 AM) *
They just added a Long Range subsection like we have here.

I wonder if there's a way to archive the posts here somewhere before the axe falls....

-Mike


Better start copying and pasting laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331879 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 10:44 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Jul 19 2018, 10:35 AM) *
Where is everyone going to be hanging out now? Is there a long range thread at WXForum?

Just went there and yes, he has already created one

Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331871 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 10:40 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Jul 19 2018, 10:35 AM) *
Where is everyone going to be hanging out now? Is there a long range thread at WXForum?

Not sure if you read the entire thread or not, but I had messaged him to see if his site could hold a sudden influx, here was my question and his response.



QUOTE
Hello,

I'm currently a member of a site that is reporting they will be shutting their forums down. See thread discussing here:

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=33652


The site has a lot of members and during big events has a lot of guest traffic as well.

You may already be familiar with the site but if not this is the highest used forum on it:

http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showforum=11

As you can see by the topics, threads were generally created on a system by system basis separated by regions. The tropical weather forum also generates high traffic when a US landfall/impact is imminent or possible.

I was just wondering whether your site would have the capacity to maintain a high volume, as it has been mentioned as a possibility of finding a new forum for current members about to lose ours.

Appreciate any feedback, or if it is a non issue maybe a thread welcoming accuweather members with maybe a do's or don'ts to what we are accustomed to?


Appreciate your time,
Clinton




QUOTE
Hi Clinton,
WXForum.net was formed in 2006 to replace weatherforum.net (which died abruptly due to DNS expiration and snatch by a domain squatter). Since then, we've grown to 13K members and almost 341K posts. Our community is mostly composed of weather enthusiasts interested in station equipment/software and publishing on personal websites their weather data. We do have areas for severe weather tracking, but they've not been as frequented as other areas of the forum.

Our software is SMF (at current levels with minimal mods), and our hosting is at 1and1 on a shared Linux-based server. One other website shares the account (northamericanweather.net - the home for the global weather networks data collection and distribution). We've not had many issues with the hoster, so there is room for more folks and postings if you wish.

Our moderation duties are quite light as the vast majority of the participants/posters are well behaved (thankfully!).

We do not permit postings that exhibit hate speech, racism, or ad hominem attacks, nor do we encourage 'me too' kinds of posts. There are no 'karma' ratings (deliberately) and threads are generally considered as 'permanent' unless deleted due to administrative action.

So, yes, as one of the founding admins for the forum, I say welcome to Accuweather forum refugees.

BTW.. once upon a time, I was a member of WeatherMatrix when Jesse had that, but didn't move membership when accuweather took it over.

Best regards,
Ken True
Saratoga-weather.org


  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331869 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 10:37 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(OSNW3 @ Jul 19 2018, 10:35 AM) *
Where is everyone going to be hanging out now? Is there a long range thread at WXForum?

The admin seems willing to work with us to see hownit goes


Attached Image
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331868 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 09:13 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(jdrenken @ Jul 19 2018, 09:05 AM) *
Almost two hours have passed and no verification email. I'm going to enjoy my break from forums.

In hindsight, mine took about 2 1/2 hours to come through. Not 45 that I had previously mentioned. Signed up shirtly after the forum link was posted but didn't come through until a little after 2.

With captcha one would think they are not manually reviewed, but wonder if an influx of traffic and sign ups has triggered some sort of protection in the software or something.

Maine jay posted to the "refugee" thread early this morning and I know his was delayed as well last night.

Looks like Maine Jay waited well over 5 hours from his initial oost here to the last one.
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331849 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 08:09 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


QUOTE(RobB @ Jul 19 2018, 07:50 AM) *
LOL...By the way, Bruiser is not a dog name (As I have been asked) but a name I used when playing online deathmatching in the Quake games smile.gif Hope to see some of you there!

Still not sure I can call ya Bruiser though laugh.gif
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331839 · Replies: · Views: 9,506

WeatherMonger
Posted on: Jul 19 2018, 08:08 AM


Rank: F5 Superstorm
***

Group: Member
Posts: 21,593
Joined: 26-January 10
From: Springfield, IL
Member No.: 21,113


Now in the slight risk.

Attached Image


QUOTE
Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0759 AM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018

Valid 191300Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY TONIGHT OVER PARTS OF IOWA...MISSOURI...EASTERN KANSAS
AND ILLINOIS....

...SUMMARY...
The greatest threat for organized severe thunderstorms will be this
afternoon into early tonight over parts of Iowa, Missouri, eastern
Kansas, and Illinois.

...Synopsis...
In mid/upper levels, a persistent and strong high will shift slowly
eastward over the southeastern Great Basin and Four Corners regions
through the period, its eastward-extending ridging contributing to
an expanding area of hot surface conditions over the southern
Plains. As this occurs, a strong, negatively tilted shortwave
trough -- with embedded/compact cyclone evident over the eastern
Dakotas -- will amplify somewhat and shift east-southeastward across
the upper Mississippi Valley. By 00Z the 500-mb low should reside
over southern MN, with troughing southeastward across eastern
IA/northern IL and northward over northern MN. By 12Z, that trough
should extend from northeastern MN to northern KY, with embedded low
over south-central/southwestern WI.

At the surface, 11Z analysis showed a frontal-wave low between
ATY-RWF, with cold front southwestward across northwestern KS, and
warm front southeastward over central portions of IA/MO into the
Mid-South. The warm front is expected to move east-northeastward
across eastern IA/MO and portions of IL through 06Z as the low
shifts east-southeastward across southern MN, and the cold front
crosses IA, northwestern MO, and portions of northern/central KS.
The western frontal segment over the High Plains of KS/CO will
weaken and stall late in the period.

...IA/MO/IL and vicinity...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop along both fronts
from midday through evening across the slight-risk area, as well as
on residual warm-sector boundaries over MO. All severe modes will
be possible, including the potential for very large/damaging hail
from supercells over parts of IA/MO.

Given the strong directional shear, favorable deep shear (e.g.,
effective-shear magnitudes 45-60 kt), and strong buoyancy,
supercells will be possible. Within a warm sector that narrows with
northward extent, moisture from eastern KS northeastward and
eastward will be very rich, with surface dew points commonly upper
60s to mid 70s F, PW 1.5-2 inches, and mean mixing rations commonly
16-17 G/kg (locally approaching 19 g/kg). When diabatic surface
heating is factored in, this yields MLCAPE 3500-5000 J/kg in
modified RAOBs and forecast soundings.

Relatively sustained/discrete supercells with substantial residence
time in the warm sector will have the greatest potential for very
large/damaging hail, given the high inflow-layer water content,
sufficiently steep low/middle-level lapse rates, and storm-scale
hail-nucleus residence time inferred by both the ambient-flow
geometry and very deep buoyant layers. Forecast soundings and hail
model suggest highest LIs and 1/3-1/4 of CAPE will reside in
favorable hail-growth areas aloft. Some tornado potential also
exists, but very conditional and dependent on localized
boundary/storm-scale/vorticity-processing considerations, given
rather modest ambient near-surface flow.

Clustered or QLCS modes may develop and move southeastward along and
southwest of the warm front this evening, offering a lowering threat
for hail but better-organized wind potential. At this time,
specific foci/location/timing for upscale growth appears too
uncertain to highlight a smaller corridor of greater wind
probabilities, but one may be justifiable in subsequent updates as
influential mesoscale factors become more apparent
  Forum: Current Weather - United States · Post Preview: #2331838 · Replies: · Views: 3,566

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